Rayo Vallecano vs Almería Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Joseph King | in LaLiga Prediction
Matchday 34 in the Spanish LaLiga sees 15th-place Rayo Vallecano hosting rock-bottom Almeria. After two encouraging seasons that saw Rayo Vallecano finish 12th and 11th, fans will have been optimistic about their side’s chances in the 2023/24 season. Unfortunately for Los Franjirrojos, it hasn’t worked out as they would have hoped. Despite their struggles, Rayo have still done well to put themselves in a strong position to avoid the drop. They hold an eight-point lead over 18th-place Cadiz and can all but guarantee their top-flight status for next season with a win here. The hosts will be looking to bounce back after suffering a heavy 3-0 away defeat to Villarreal in their most recent outing. The loss snapped a previously positive four match unbeaten streak in which Rayo recorded two wins and two draws. Rayo Vallecano haven’t been great in front of their home support this season. They’ve earned only a single point more at the Campo de Fútbol de Vallecas than they have playing as the visiting team.
Almeria will be playing only for pride on Sunday as their relegation to the Segunda Division has already been confirmed. After finishing 17th last year and missing the drop by just a single point, Los Rojiblancos wouldn’t have the same luck this time around. Almeria have accumulated just 14 points in their 33 matches, putting them some way off even 19th-placed Granada. To emphasize how bad of a season it has been for them, it took Almeria until March, 2024 to win their first match of the 2023/24 league campaign. That means that the club went seven months without a domestic league victory. They come into this contest following a 3-1 home loss to Getafe. The visitors have lost three of their last four and have managed only a single win, three draws and 12 defeats in their 16 away trips so far.
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The Best Betting Odds for Rayo Vallecano v Almería Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
301 | 11 | 1.05 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.9 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.52 | 3.8 | 5.2 |
|
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Who will win the Rayo Vallecano vs Almería Football match?
The best predictions and winner betting odds for the match between Rayo Vallecano and Almería of LaLiga on 5/5/24 :
- There is a probability of 49.7% ⭐ for Rayo Vallecano to win this match against Almería ⚽ with odds of 301 found at Bet365.
- Bet365 ⭐ has the best odds for a draw prediction ⚽️ at 11 which implies a probability of 31.28%.
- Currently, the best odds ⭐ for Almería to win the match are about 5.75 at Ladbrokes. That means a probability of 19.02%.
Rayo Vallecano - Almería Prediction and Best Odds:
Rayo Vallecano vs Almería prediction | Win Probability | Best Odds |
---|---|---|
Rayo Vallecano is favoured to win | 49.7 % | 301 |
Draw | 31.28 % | 11 |
Almería wins the game | 19.02 % | 5.75 |
Rayo Vallecano vs Almería Form
Rayo Vallecano and Almería's standings in the LaLiga
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
15
|
38 | 36 | 8 | 14 | 14 | -15 |
20
|
17 | 36 | 2 | 11 | 23 | -37 |
Rayo Vallecano and Almería Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
20 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
31 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
10 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
11 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
Rayo Vallecano against Almería : Head to Head (H2H)
75 %
0 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Aug 2023 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
8 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
2 Apr 2021 - LaLiga 2
Rayo Vallecano against Almería Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Mendez
O. Valentin
ForwardO. Trejo
C. Montes
MidfielderB. Iddrisu
E. Gonzalez
Rayo Vallecano - Almería Key Points
- Almeria sit 20th in the standings and have managed only a single win this LaLiga season.
- Nine of Rayo Vallecano's 10 wins across all competitions have been accompanied by under 4.5 goals (including all seven in LaLiga).
- Almeria have seen under 4.5 goals in 16 of their 21 league defeats.
- Both teams average under a goal scored per game; Almeria with 32 in 33 matches and Rayo with 27 in 33.
- Rayo Vallecano have won the last two meetings between these two teams, both by a score of 2-0.
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Our Rayo Vallecano vs Almería Prediction
Expect this one to be low-scoring with both teams struggling for goals throughout the season. However, the hosts Rayo Vallecano should be able to grab the three points on Sunday as they have much more incentive than their already-relegated opponents. Given how much Almeria have struggled throughout this campaign, it's difficult to imagine their form suddenly turning around in the final five games. Adding the under to this bet gives the price a nice little boost that should come through more often than not. Our Rayo Vallecano vs Almeria prediction is for Rayo to win + under 4.5 goals.
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