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Europa Conference League Predictions & Betting tips

Find our free Europa Conference League prediction on who will win the competition plus our expert predictions on all the UEFA Europa Conference League matches (2023-2024). Plenty of information for your sports betting!

Europa Conference League presentation and predictions (Football)

Europa Conference League prediction

If there are more and more predictions on the Europa Conference League on SportyTrader, it's not by chance, as the competition continues to grow in popularity.

The third European competition organized by UEFA, the Europa Conference League offers a spectacle and pits clubs against each other that are not the most familiar sides in Europe. 

From the first qualifying rounds through to the final on 29 May 2024, find out our predictions for the Europa Conference League right here. With our opinion on the favorites for who will win the groups, the play-offs and then the last 16 all the way to the final, all will be covered at Sportytrader. 

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Our free prediction for the 2023/24 Conference League Final: who to bet on?

Europa Conference League predictions

The final two teams are set in the 2023/24 Conference League! The OPAP Arena in Athens will place host to the spectacle on May 29 at 20:00 UK time and sees last season's runners-up Fiorentina seeking redemption as they take on surprise finalists Olympiakos.

The Italian club suffered defeat to West Ham in the final of the competition's inaugural campaign last year and have done extremely well to earn an immediate return to this stage. La Viola are seeking their first piece of European silverware in over 60 years with their last triumph coming in the 1960/61 Cup Winners' Cup. Despite sitting mid-table in the Serie A, it's clear where the team's priorities have been for the last few weeks. Fiorentina have yet to lose a match in the 2023/24 Conference League, going 6-6-0 in their 12 matches so far in the group + knockout stages combined.

Olympiakos advanced to their first ever European final after knocking off the then tournament favorites Aston Villa in the semi-final. It was a fantastic display with the team scoring wins in both home and away legs, the highlight of their tournament so far undoubtedly being their 4-2 win at Villa Park. The Greek side finished third in their Europa League group which resulted in entry into this competition in the round of 32 playoff stage. It wasn't an easy road to the final for Thrýlos which saw a number of highs and lows. This was most evident in their round of 16 matchup with Maccabi Tel-Aviv which saw Olympiakos roar back from a 4-1 home defeat to secure a 6-1 away victory in the return leg.

While the rollercoaster run from Olympiakos to make the final will certainly give them confidence considering the level of competition they've faced, it still remains to be seen how the players will cope with the massive pressure and expectations from the fans in the club's first ever European final. Fiorentina, meanwhile, will have gained invaluable experience from last year's defeat to West Ham at the final hurdle. It should benefit them in Athens and result in the the Italian club ending its long wait for another European trophy.

Therefore, our prediction for the 2023/24 Conference League final: Fiorentina are crowned champions!

Europa Conference League prediction - odds to lift the trophy

  • Fiorentina - 1.65
  • Olympiakos - 2.15

Odds taken from Bet365

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2023/24 Conference League semi-final recap

Olympiakos celebrate their semi-final win

Only two teams remain in the 2023/24 Conference League after a highly-entertaining semi-final round of fixtures which saw plenty of goals. See which sides advanced below, including the aggregate scores for both ties:

  • Aston Villa vs Olympiakos: Olympiakos advances 6-2 on aggregate

One of the upsets of the tournament saw Olympiakos eliminate the tournament favorites in the final four of the Conference League. Ayoub El Kaabi netted a sensational hattrick at Villa Park to set his team up with a two-goal aggregate advantage heading back to Greece. They would put forward another impressive display in the return leg, netting twice for a 2-0 victory despite Villa dominating the ball with 74% of the possession. Aston Villa were unable to break down a solid Olympiakos team that kept its shape well to prevent the English side from registering a single clear cut scoring chance in the second leg.

  • Fiorentina vs Club Brugge: Fiorentina advances 4-3 on aggregate

While the other side of the bracket ended up as a lopsided victory, the same was not true for Fiorentina in their win over Club Brugge. The two sides played out a thrilling first leg in Florence which saw the Italians grab the victory at the death thanks to a 90+1' Nzola goal for a 3-2 victory. The return leg saw Fiorentina score yet another late goal, this time with the score sitting at 1-0 (3-3 aggregate) in favor of the Belgians. It looked like this tie might be heading to extra time before Argentine striker Lucas Beltran kept his nerve from the spot in the 85th minute, firing Fiorentina into the final for a second consecutive season. It was ultimately a deserved result for La Viola who were the much more threatening side in the second leg, creating four clear cut chances to Brugge's zero.

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Our 2023/24 Conference League final prediction: who to bet on?

We’re down to the final four teams in the 2023-24 Europa Conference League: Aston Villa, Olympiakos, Fiorentina and Club Brugge.

If you’re still unsure on which team will ultimately lift the trophy, keep in mind that bookmakers also offer odds on which teams will simply make it to the final. Looking for even better odds? You can even bet on exactly which two teams will face off at the OPAP Arena in Athens on May 29. Below you’ll find our thoughts on which teams will advance to the title-deciding match.

Olympiakos pulled off one of the biggest shocks of the tournament so far after a brilliant 4-2 victory over Aston Villa away from home in the semi-final. The English club will now need to play a perfect second leg in a notoriously difficult place to play if they are to advance to the final. Additionally, Olympiakos will have extra motivation to close out this tie as they have the opportunity to play the final in their own backyard of Athens. As for the semi-final, last season’s runners-up Fiorentina were able to secure a wild 3-2 home victory over Club Brugge thanks to a stoppage time winner by substitute M’Bala Nzola. They will now be tasked with seeing out their one-goal aggregate advantage in the return leg in Brugge.

We’re sure to be in for plenty more excitement in the return legs as well as the final, regardless of which teams ultimately make it. SportyTrader will be with you every step of the way with our coverage - from live match updates with our Conference League Livescore to the latest betting odds and match predictions. Our Conference League finalists prediction: Olympiakos and Fiorentina to compete for the trophy!

Conference League: odds to make the final

The odds to make the Conference League final are currently unavailable following the first leg of the semi-finals. While we wait for them to be updated, be sure to check out Bet365 to see all of the betting markets currently available.

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Europa Conference League top scorer prediction: who will score the most goals?

LOSC Lille's Yusuf Yazici

Throughout the tournament, sports betting sites will offer you the chance to predict the top scorer in the Europa Conference League. We've compiled a list of the top scorers as things currently stand in the 2023/24 Conference League heading into the final:

Player (Team)Goals (Games played)
Ayoub El Kaabi (Olympiakos)10(8)
Eran Zhavi (Maccabi Tel-Aviv)8(8)
Bruno Petkovic (Dinamo Zagreb)7(7)
Hans Vaneken (Club Brugge)6(11)
Thiago (Club Brugge)5(10)
Yusuf Yazici (LOSC Lille)5(10)
Ollie Watkins (Aston Villa)5(10)
Dor Peretz (Maccabi Tel Aviv)5(8)
Gift Orban (Gent)5(5)
Benjamin Nygren (Nordsjaelland)5(5)
Fredrik Gulbrandsen (Molde)5(4)

Odds are not available at present. In the meantime, we recommend you visit Bet365 to see what other betting markets are available.

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Conference League quarter-final results

The quarter-final is in the books and the Conference League is down to its final four teams. Below you'll find the results of the previous round including the aggregate scores: 

  • Viktoria Plzen vs Fiorentina2-0 aggregate
  • Aston Villa vs LOSC Lille - 3-3 aggregate (4-3 penalties)
  • Olympiakos vs Fenerbahce - 3-3 aggregate (3-2 penalties)
  • Club Brugge vs PAOK - 3-0 aggregate

Think there are any surprises in for the semi-finals? Be sure to lock your bets in with a number of popular sites such as Bet365, Unibet and Vbet. Remember to take advantage of their lucrative welcome offers!

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Group A - Lille - Slovan Bratislava - Olimphia Ljubjana - Klaksvik

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As one of the bigger names in this year's Conference League, LOSC Lille will have ambitions of lifting their first piece of European silverware this season. Les Dogues, who made a round of 16 finish in the 2021/22 campaign of the UEFA Champions League, were expected to cruise to a relatively comfortable first-place finish in what was a favorable group draw. The 2020/21 Ligue 1 champions did not disappoint, rackiing up four wins and two draws en route to the top spot with a points total of 14. Behind Lille were Slovakian club Slovan Bratislava whose 3-1-2 record was enough to secure them a spot in the first knockout round. We went a perfect 2/2 in our predictions for Group A, correctly backing Lille and Bratislava in a 1-2 finish! 

Group A final standings:

  1. LOSC Lille - 14 points
  2. Slovan Bratislava - 10 points
  3. Olimpija Ljubjana - 6 points
  4. Klaksvik - 4 points

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Group B - Gent - Maccabi Tel Aviv - Zorya Luhansk - Breidablik

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There were two clear favorites in Group B of the Conference League as Belgian side KAA Gent and Israeli club Maccabi Tel Aviv were a clear step above the other two sides. Both teams did what was required of them, with Tel Aviv upsetting the odds somewhat to pip Gent to the top spot with an almost flawless 5-0-1 record. Gent locked up second with 13 points thanks to a 4-1-1 record, seven points ahead of Zorya in third-place. As a reminder for our predictions, we had the correct two sides advancing, although in the opposite order as we had Gent beating out Maccabi Tel Aviv!

Group B final standings:

  1. Maccabi Tel Aviv - 15 points
  2. KAA Gent - 13 points
  3. Zorya - 6 points
  4. Breidablik - 0 points

Group C - Dinamo Zagreb - Viktoria Plzen - FK Astana - FC Ballkani

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Another group which presented a clear gulf in quality between the top two teams and the bottom two teams was Group C. Croatian giants and regular Champions League participants Dinamo Zagreb were the favorites to top the standings while Viktoria Plzen picked up some valuable experience by playing in the UCL group stages last season (against Bayern, Barcelona and Inter, no less). The Czech club clearly benefited by playing against some of the world's top sides as they were able to record the only perfect 100% winning record in the 2023/24 Conference League group stage. Dinamo Zagreb were able to secure second-place, albeit with a worrying 3-0-3 record. Similarly to Group B, we had the correct two teams progressing, albeit in the reverse order!

Group C final standings:

  1. Viktoria Plzen - 18 points
  2. Dinamo Zagreb - 9 points
  3. FC Astana - 4 points
  4. Ballkani - 4 points

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Group D - Club Brugge - Bodo/Glimt - Besiktas - Lugano

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One of the stronger groups in the competition was Group D with three teams all realistically gunning for the top spot. Ultimately it was Belgian giants Club Brugge that would claim first-place with an unbeaten 5-1-0 record for a 16 points total. Bodo/Glimt continues to impress with the Norwegian champions securing second-place, some way off the group winners on 10 points. It was a hugely disappointing tournament for Turkish club Besiktas who crashed out in third with just four points earned. We went 1/2 in our predictions, correctly tipping Brugge to finish first while we also had Lugano finishing as the bottom-placed team.

Group D final standings:

  1. Club Brugge - 16 points
  2. Bodo/Glimt - 10 points
  3. Besiktas - 4 points
  4. Lugano - 4 points

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Group E - AZ Alkmaar - Aston Villa - Legia Warsaw - HSK Zrinjski Mostar

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The tournament favorites Aston Villa were in action in Group E, marking their long-awaited return to European competition after more than a 10 year absence. The Villains were able to take care of business, claiming first-place on the final matchday with a 1-1 draw against Zrinjski. The surprise of the group was the failure of last season's semi-finalists AZ Alkmaar to progress. Legia Warsaw finished second with their 4-0-2 record good for 12 points while the Dutch side's six-point haul and subsequent third-place finish going down as a massive disappointment. 1/2 here as we had Villa going through as group winners.

Group E final standings:

  1. Aston Villa - 13 points
  2. Legia Warsaw - 12 points
  3. AZ Alkmaar - 6 points
  4. Zrinjski - 4 points

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Group F - Ferencvaros - Fiorentina - Genk - FK Cukaricki

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After the heartbreak of losing the 2022/23 Conference League final to West Ham, Fiorentina are back and are expected to make another deep run. The oddsmakers have La Viola listed as the second favorites behind Aston Villa and were able to show their pedigree in the group stage, locking up first-place with three wins and three draws. Second-place went to Hungarian outfit Ferencvaros, who were able to secure a hard-fought 1-1 draw with Fiorentina on the final matchday to edge out Genk. The Belgian side will be disappointed as they were expected to progress but missed out by just a single point. We had the Italians going through as group winners but missed out on Genk in second.

Group F final standings:

  1. Fiorentina - 12 points
  2. Ferencvaros - 10 points
  3. KRC Genk - 9 points
  4. Cukaricki - 0 ponts

Fiorentina lost to West Ham United in last season's final and will again be a threat in the 2023-24 Conference League. They are our confident tip to win Group F ahead of Belgian side Genk. Ferencvaros may finish well in third place ahead of inexperienced Cukaricki.

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Group G - Eintracht Frankfurt - PAOK Salonika - HJK Helsinki- Aberdeen

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One of the surprises of the group stage occured in Group G as Greek club PAOK romped to a highly-impressive unbeaten run of five wins and one draw in their six matches. They would top the group with 16 points while 2021/22 Europa League champions Eintracht Frankfurt limpted to second-place with three wins and three defeats. Scottish side Aberdeen's 1-3-2 record saw them finish in third-place with a points total of six. We correctly predicted the two progressing sides, although had the reverse order.

Group G final standings:

  1. PAOK - 16 points
  2. Frankfurt - 9 points
  3. Aberdeen - 6 points
  4. HJK - 2 points

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Group H - Fenerbahce - Ludogorets Razgrad - Spartak Trnava - Nordsjaelland

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Group H provided a competitive battle with three teams fighting until the final matchday. Ultimately it was Fenerbahce and Ludogorets who secured a first and second-place finish, respectively, with victories on the final matchday. The Turkish giants would just edge out the Bulgarians thanks to their superior goal differential. Danish side Nordsjaelland had a bitter pill to swallow as they entered matchday six in first-place but ultimately would crash out in third after a 1-0 loss to Ludogorets. We went a perfect 2/2 in our predictions for this group as we had Fenerbahce finishing first followed by Ludogorets in second!

Group H final standings:

  1. Fenerbahce - 12 points (+2 goal differential)
  2. Ludogorets - 12 points (0 goal differential)
  3. Nordsjaelland - 10 points
  4. Spartak Trnava - 1 point

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Beginners Guide to How the Europa Conference League works

The Europa Conference League is the third most important European football competition behind the Champions League and the Europa League, it pits some of Europe's best teams against each other in a competition that can be thrilling to follow. It is proving to be one of the most popular football predictions .

In terms of format, there's nothing complicated about it: everything is modeled on the other European competitions organized by UEFA.

First there are qualifying rounds between the lowest ranked clubs involved (from 13 July to 31 August). This is followed by a group stage between the qualified clubs (8 groups of 4 clubs).

From 21 September to 14 December, the 32 participating teams are divided into 8 groups of four, in which each team plays its opponents both home and away.. At the end of the group matches, the top team in each group qualifies for the Round of 16, while the second-placed team is drawn in a play-off round against a relegated Europa League team (one of the eight that finished 3rd in their group).

This play-off then marks the start of the knockout phase, with two legs leading up to the grand final on 29 May 2024. It promises to be a fascinating tournament 

  • First qualifying rounds between July and August
  • Group stage drawn on September 21, 2023
  • 8 groups of four teams (32 clubs in total)
  • The 1st team in a group qualifies for the Round of 16
  • The 2nd team in a group qualifies for the play-offs against a Europa League participant (Round of 16)
  • Draw for the Round of 16 on 13 February 2024
  • Round-robin matches from the play-offs to the final (May 29, 2024)

The format of this Europa Conference League is broadly similar to those we are used to seeing in other European competitions. We'll provide you with plenty of coverage, all totally free.

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How to make good match bets and a reliable Europa Conference League prediction?

“Europa Conference League betting tips”

As with a Champions League prediction , for example, making a successful Europa Conference League prediction requires a number of factors to be taken into consideration.  

Since the first edition of the competition in 2021-2022, our betting experts have been paying attention to the smallest details to offer you the best possible bets. Here's what you need to do and the best advice for making the right bets:  

  • Pay attention to the latest results
  • Judging the motivation and desire to do well in the Europa Conference League
  • Take note of the team news for each Europa Conference League match
  • Consider the fixture list of each team participating in the ECL
  • Know all the latest statistics

These are undoubtedly five excellent methods you absolutely must follow this season if you want to predict the Europa Conference League like an expert. For more details, please read the following paragraphs.

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Pay attention to the latest results

prediction-conferenceleague-sporty-01092023-10The first tip, which is logical but not always applied by beginners, is to pay attention to the latest performances of the teams. We're not just talking about analyzing results, but also, and above all, what the various clubs have achieved recently in the game.

For example, let's say a team taking part in the Europa Conference League has suffered two 4-0 defeats in the league, with only two shots on target. The team would then appear to not be in the kind of form that will do well in the Europa Conference League. It is important to look at the strength of teams they have been facing. West Ham won the Europa Conference League despite battling relegation for most of the season. 

Teams that have been getting good domestic results may be worth betting on in this competition. Again look at the strength of the opposition they have been playing and who they are taking on in the Europa Conference League. 

A club's collective form is very important for its future performances. You should never forget this when betting with a football bookmaker.

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Judging the motivation and desire to do well in the Europa Conference League

Another tip for betting well on the Europa Conference League is to judge the clubs' real motivation in this third European competition. For several years now, we have seen a difference in the interest shown by clubs in this third competition. There will be weakened line-ups fielded by many sides. They may well want to rest players for key domestic fixtures often played just three days later. Other sides may be more keen to do well and reap some financial rewards. This will grow as the tournament progresses. 

Between a club that takes advantage of the competition to rotate its squad and another that plays it to the hilt to make a name for itself on the European stage, your prediction needs to look at how strong a squad the rotating club has. Can they leave players out but still have enough quality players to get the win?

Take note of the team news for each Europa Conference League match

prediction-conferenceleague-sporty-01092023-8This third tip can be used in conjunction with the previous one: systematically consult the list of players announced as not scheduled to play in the Europa Conference League match on which you want to place a prediction. Suspension, rest, injury... the reasons for absence can be numerous, and can have an impact on a team's collective performance.

Imagine, for example, that Aston Villa's best players are all rested for their Conference League group game. In that case, beware: the loss of talent on the pitch could be costly and skew your analysis. Before making your Europa Conference League predictions, get into the habit of reading the squads for Thursday's matches. It's a sure-fire way of avoiding costly errors. 

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Consider the fixture list of each team taking part in the ECL

In view of the points mentioned above, the sporting calendar of the clubs is also a factor to be taken into account before making any predictions about the Europa League Conference. Is a club due to play a key fixture in its domestic league on the Sunday following its European duel?  It is likely that the side will place more emphasis on the upcoming match.. 

For your analysis of the Europa League Conference to be relevant at all levels, you need to look at the teams' past and future fixtures. A club that is facing a long run in the league, or even in the domestic cup, may be tempted to rest a few key players for this European football competition.

Get the latest European Cup stats for every team

Ajax will compete in the Conference League first knockout round

Another key piece of advice is to analyse each team's statistics in the Europa Conference League. There are several aspects to consider here. As well as looking at each team's history in European competition, take a look at the major statistics obtained by the teams since the start of the season in the UEFA Europa Conference League.

The number of shots on target, possession ratio, successful passes, cards received, expected goals are all figures and indicators that will give you an idea of ​​a team's desire and form in the competition. According to SportyTrader's Europa Conference League predictors, here are the 5 keys to a reliable football prediction. Obviously they are not the only ones, but by using them you should undoubtedly improve your success rate for the European games.

If you don't have the time to analyze each match in depth as we recommend, you can also rely on the detailed predictions at the top of this page on match days. Our experts do all the analysis work to make your life easier!

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What not to do for your Europa Conference League predictions

Making a reliable Conference League prediction also means getting rid of bad habits. Here, in 2023, are the things you should absolutely avoid when validating your sports betting slip: 

  • Give priority to a club's prestige
  • Not analyzing the Europa Conference League match
  • Betting on the lowest odds for no apparent reason
  • Trying to make up for losing an ECL bet
  • Betting on a match with nothing at stake in the Europa Conference League group stage
  • Taking all the bookmakers' boosted odds without thinking
  • Predicting a match involving your favorite team

7 pitfalls we'd advise you to avoid in every match of the 2023-2024 Europa League Conference season, regardless of your recent success with a bookmaker.

Nothing is ever guaranteed in sports betting, especially when you're talking about a European competition as open as this Europa Conference League. Don't bet more than you can afford to lose on the UEFA Europa Conference League.

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Europa Conference League: the statistics you need to know before making a prediction about the winners

Europa Conference League statistics - Football

As I'm sure you're aware, making a successful prediction also involves reading the statistics and key figures. As far as the 2023-2024 Europa Conference League is concerned, here are the figures we recommend you keep in mind. They were recorded over the course of the last edition of the tournament: 

  • Home wins: 42
  • Draws: 23
  • Away wins: 35
  • Average number of goals: 2.56 goals per match
  • +1.5 goals: 71
  • -1.5 goals: 29
  • +2.5 goals: 52
  • -2.5 goals: 48
  • +3.5 goals: 30
  • -3.5 goals: 70% "Both teams score: yes
  • "Both teams to score: yes": 49
  • Away goal: 66% of matches
  • Victory by 2 goals or more (handicap): 33% of duels
  • Correct score 0-0: 8% of matches
  • Most frequent score: 1-0 (21% of games)

Among other things, you could place bets on the Over 2.5 goals in the match in this third European football competition, as well as on a goal by the visiting team or a success by the home club. 

A bet that could be interesting after reading these figures: Double chance 1N and a goal from the visiting team. The odds on this bet should allow you to double the stake if you win every time. Knowing the key figures is always worthwhile.

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In short: how to correctly predict the Europa Conference League and make good bets with a bookmaker?

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To sum up, making a reliable Europa Conference League prediction involves systematically studying the match, knowing the key statistics and adopting the best practices mentioned above by our football specialists.

To make even more winning bets on the competition, follow the free advice described on this page. Once again, you can also simply read the predictions and forecasts written by our experts throughout the competition. No robots or AI only at SportyTrader, analysis and expertise remain at the heart of our predictions.

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Our free Europa Conference League previews of the moment:

There are no previews at the moment for this competition

Europa Conference League betting: best odds

Odds are not yet available for this competition.

To get the most out of Europe's third cup, compare Europa Conference League odds and follow the matches live on our Europa Conference League Livescore site. These two tools will help you refine your predictions for the 2023-2024 tournament.

In our comparator, the best betting odds offered by bookmakers are revealed live, from the matches in each Europa Conference League group to the 2023-2024 Europa Conference League final.

Europa Conference League : Frequently Asked Questions

The Europa Conference League draws take place on 1 September 2023 for the group phase, 18 December for the play-offs, 23 February 2024 for the round of 16 and 15 March for the quarter-finals and semi-finals.

Two clubs have already won the Europa Conference League: José Mourinho's Roma (2021-2022) and West Ham's Hammers (2022-2023).

The venue for the Europa Conference League final has not yet been decided by UEFA. The decision is expected in the coming weeks.

In England, the winner of the League Cup qualifies for the Europa Conference League. If that team has already qualified for a European competition, the side finishing sixth or even seventh in the Premier League qualifies. In the 2022-23 season, Aston Villa finished seventh but that was enough to see them qualify. 

The Europa League is UEFA's second most important competition after the Champions League, while the Europa League Conference is the third most important. 

Since its inception, the competition has seen the likes of Villarreal (La Liga), Fiorentina (Serie A), Olympique de Marseille (Ligue 1) and English club West Ham (Premier League). A fine line-up indeed.

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