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Zwolle vs Ajax Prediction & Betting Tips - Eredivisie
by Thobelani Moyo in Eredivisie Predictions
PEC Zwolle will host Ajax at MAC³PARK Stadion on matchday 25 in the Eredivisie. The hosts are 14th in the league table, while Ajax leads the table with an eight-point cushion. Below is our prediction for the match.
PEC Zwolle are having a challenging 2024-25 Eredivisie season. The hosts find themselves in a relegation dogfight and are two points ahead of the relegation playoff spot.
Last time out, the Blauwvingers were on the receiving end of a 4-2 away thrashing at the hands of Heracles. Interestingly, that was the third time they surrendered a lead in a four-match winless run (D2, L2).
Johnny Jansen's men will be looking to snap that winless run at home. However, their current run at MAC³PARK Stadion has left much to be desired, notching one win in five league games, while recording two draws and two losses.
Ajax lost 2-1 at home against Eintracht Frankfurt in Thursday's Europa League round of 16 first-leg tie. That result was not surprising considering their prior struggles at home in the knockout stages of European competition (D3, L3).
De Godenzonen now turn their attention to domestic league duties where they've been in exceptional form. Their recent outing, a 1-0 away win to Almere City extended their winning streak to nine games.
Away from home, they are currently on a four-match winning streak without conceding a goal. A total of seven goals were scored too.
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The Best Betting Odds for Zwolle v Ajax Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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6.25 | 4.1 | 1.55 |
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5.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 |
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5.75 | 4.2 | 1.53 |
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5.6 | 4.3 | 1.56 |
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5.6 | 4.3 | 1.56 |
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6 | 4.1 | 1.56 |
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6.25 | 4.48 | 1.49 |
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6.25 | 4.48 | 1.49 |
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5.6 | 4.2 | 1.55 |
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5.55 | 4.28 | 1.56 |
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6.2 | 4.6 | 1.54 |
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6.2 | 4.3 | 1.56 |
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5.25 | 4 | 1.57 |
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6.75 | 4 | 1.49 |
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5.85 | 4.4 | 1.52 |
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5.8 | 3.9 | 1.55 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Zwolle and Ajax?
Our prediction for the Zwolle vs Ajax match is: Ajax to win and under 4.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/03/2025 between Zwolle and Ajax in Eredivisie :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 29.9% for a win of Zwolle against Ajax with odds of 6.75 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Zwolle vs Ajax is 16.68% with odds of 4.6 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Ajax vs Zwolle with odds of 1.57 at Betway.
Zwolle - Ajax Prediction and Best Odds:
Zwolle Ajax Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Ajax wins | 53.42% | 1.57 at Betway |
Under 2.5 | 66.79% | 2.19 at Tonybet |
Both Team To Score | 32.08% | 1.81 at Unibet |
Half-time / Full-time: Ajax/Ajax | 20.74% | 2.4 at Bet365 |
Zwolle vs Ajax Form
Zwolle and Ajax's standings in the Eredivisie
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1
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63 | 25 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 35 |
14
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25 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | -11 |
Zwolle and Ajax Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
16 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
1 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
1 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
18 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
11 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
30 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
26 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
8 Dec 2024 - Eredivisie
24 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie

4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
16 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
23 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
20 Feb 2025 - Europa League
16 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
2 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - Eredivisie
13 Feb 2025 - Europa League
9 Feb 2025 - Eredivisie
23 Jan 2025 - Europa League
19 Jan 2025 - Eredivisie
14 Jan 2025 - KNVB beker
Zwolle vs Ajax Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
17 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
24 Nov 2024 - Eredivisie
5 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Mar 2024 - Eredivisie
17 Dec 2023 - Eredivisie
30 Apr 2022 - Eredivisie
11 Sep 2021 - Eredivisie
Zwolle against Ajax Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Most goals and assists







Zwolle - Ajax Key Points
- PEC Zwolle have won two of their last ten matches in the Eredivisie.
- Ajax have seen under 4.5 goals in each of their last 14 league games.
- PEC Zwolle are currently on an eight-match losing streak at home against Ajax.
- Ajax have won 15 of their last 18 encounters against PEC Zwolle.
- PEC Zwolle and Ajax have seen under 4.5 goals in each of their last seven encounters.
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Our Zwolle vs Ajax Prediction
PEC Zwolle are underdogs once again and any chances of them causing an upset here are remotely unlikely. They are unbeaten in three home league games which should inspire them with confidence. However, they've struggled against Ajax when playing at home losing eight consecutive matches.
Ajax have had to go two seasons without a league trophy since their success in 2022. This time they are overwhelming favourites to clinch the trophy. We expect them to strengthen their position atop the table with a comfortable win here. Our PEC Zwolle vs Ajax prediction: Ajax to win and under 4.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Zwolle Ajax
Zwolle vs Ajax | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
Zwolle wins | 5.25 | 6.25 | +19.0% |
Draw | 4.5 | 4.1 | -8.9% |
Ajax wins | 1.53 | 1.55 | +1.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ajax is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 65.4% and is now 64.5% (-0.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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