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HSK Zrinjski Mostar vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction & Betting Tips - Conference League
by Devesh Jaganath in Conference League Predictions
With a three-goal lead, Vitoria Guimaraes will be in fine spirits when they head to Mostar to face Zrinjski in the second leg of their Conference League Playoff qualifier on Thursday night. The Noblemen are on the verge of missing out on European competition this season, while the Conquerors are 90 minutes away from reaching the main draw. Here’s our match prediction.
Zrinjski failed to make it out of the group stage of this competition last season and their participation in this year’s edition is hanging by a thread after suffering a 3-0 defeat at Afonso Henriques Stadium last week.
Despite managing 42% possession in the first leg, clear-cut chances were at a premium for the Noblemen, who managed just four shots at goal, only two of which were on target.
So far, the hosts have won one and lost one of their home games in this competition, though it is worth noting that defeat was the only home loss Zrinjski have conceded in their last 11 matches in all competitions, with the other 10 all ending in victory.
Meanwhile, Vitoria enter this match with a comfortable lead and it feels as though it will take a spectacularly poor performance from them to throw away a three-goal advantage.
In fact, the Conquerors have only lost an away game by three clear goals once in their last 20 games on the road, and that was to Primeira Liga champions Sporting Lisbon.
The visitors have won their two away games in this competition so far and kept clean sheets in both of those games.
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The Best Betting Odds for HSK Zrinjski Mostar v Vitoria SC Guimaraes Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
67 | 51 | 1 |
|
|
3.5 | 2.5 | 2.25 |
|
|
30 | 17 | 1.03 |
|
|
30 | 17 | 1.03 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.3 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.32 | 3.54 | 2.12 |
|
|
3.32 | 3.54 | 2.12 |
|
|
90 | 16.5 | 1.02 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.62 | 2 |
|
|
3.65 | 3.5 | 2 |
|
|
56 | 44 | 1 |
|
|
51 | 13 | 1.02 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.65 | 2.15 |
|
|
451 | 451 | 1 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between HSK Zrinjski Mostar and Vitoria SC Guimaraes?
Our prediction for the HSK Zrinjski Mostar vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes match is: Vitoria Guimaraes Draw No Bet!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 29/08/2024 between HSK Zrinjski Mostar and Vitoria SC Guimaraes in Conference League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.86% for a win of HSK Zrinjski Mostar against Vitoria SC Guimaraes with odds of 451 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between HSK Zrinjski Mostar vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes is 5.49% with odds of 451 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 57.65% chance ⭐ for a win of Vitoria SC Guimaraes vs HSK Zrinjski Mostar with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
HSK Zrinjski Mostar - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction and Best Odds:
HSK Zrinjski Mostar Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 57.65% | 2.25 at Ladbrokes |
Over 2.5 goals | 51.62% | 2.15 at Bet365 |
Both Team To Score | 16.67% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Vitoria SC Guimaraes | 23.25% | 501 at Betfair |
HSK Zrinjski Mostar vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Form
HSK Zrinjski Mostar and Vitoria SC Guimaraes Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2024 - Conference League
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
11 Aug 2024 - Premijer Liga BiH
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
1 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Jul 2024 - Conference League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Jul 2024 - Conference League
28 Jun 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 May 2024 - Premijer Liga BiH
8 May 2024 - Cup
3 May 2024 - Premijer Liga BiH
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2024 - Conference League
11 Aug 2024 - Premijer Liga BiH
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
1 Aug 2024 - Conference League
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
8 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
21 Aug 2024 - Conference League
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
12 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Aug 2024 - Conference League
18 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
15 Aug 2024 - Conference League
1 Aug 2024 - Conference League
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
12 Aug 2024 - Liga Portugal
8 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Jul 2024 - Conference League
18 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
4 May 2024 - Liga Portugal
HSK Zrinjski Mostar vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
21 Aug 2024 - Conference League
Most goals and assists
HSK Zrinjski Mostar - Vitoria SC Guimaraes Key Points
- Zrinjski lost to Bravo in their first home match in this competition.
- Zrinjski have only kept one clean sheet in five Conference League qualification matches.
- Vitoria Guimaraes have won both their away matches in this competition.
- Vitoria Guimaraes have kept three clean sheets in their last four away games in all competitions.
- Vitoria Guimaraes have not conceded a single goal in this year’s Conference League qualifiers.
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Our HSK Zrinjski Mostar vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes Prediction
While Zrinjski have a very impressive record here at Stadion Bijeli Brijeg, they have seldomly come up against a side with the pedigree of Vitoria and we saw their susceptibility to conceding against better opponents in round two of qualifying.
Vitoria, on the other hand, have been one of the best teams in qualifying this season and are yet to concede a single goal home or away. We fancy the visitors to wrap up this tie with a victory but with favourable odds available, we’ll opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw. Our Zrinjski vs Vitoria Guimaraes prediction: Vitoria Guimaraes Draw No Bet!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis HSK Zrinjski Mostar Vitoria SC Guimaraes
HSK Zrinjski Mostar vs Vitoria SC Guimaraes | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
---|---|---|---|
HSK Zrinjski Mostar wins | 4.33 | 67 | +1,447.3% |
Draw | 3.5 | 51 | +1,357.1% |
Vitoria SC Guimaraes wins | 1.83 | 1 | -45.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Vitoria SC Guimaraes is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 45.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 100.0% (45.4%)
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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