Africa - AFCON
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Zimbabwe vs Kenya Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
Zimbabwe can book their spot at the 2025 Africa Cup of Nations when they face Kenya on matchday five of qualifying at the Peter Mokaba Stadium this Friday. The Warriors are second in Group J with eight points, four points ahead of the third-placed Harambee Stars. Check out our match prediction below.
After the disappointment of being disqualified from the last edition of the AFCON qualifiers, Zimbabwe are now on the verge of securing their return to the competition.
The Warriors are unbeaten in their four group-stage matches winning two and drawing two, and now require only a single point from this match to guarantee a first-place finish.
Zimbabwe have kept three clean sheets in these qualifiers. However, they failed to score in their two CHAN qualifier matches against Eswatini a little over two weeks ago.
Meanwhile, Kenya suffered back-to-back defeats to Cameroon during the October qualifier matches and anything but a win here will mark the end of their 2025 AFCON journey.
Like their opponents, the Harambee Stars were also involved in CHAN qualification earlier this month and lost 2-0 on the road to South Sudan before playing out a 1-1 draw in the reverse fixture.
Kenya have split their last 10 away games five wins and five losses, and only failed to score in two matches during that period.
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The Best Betting Odds for Zimbabwe v Kenya Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 2.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.69 | 3.02 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.69 | 3.02 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.55 | 2.8 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.8 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.63 | 2.96 | 2.98 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.8 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.7 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.65 | 2.72 | 3 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.7 | 3 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.85 | 3 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.8 | 3 |
|
|
2.64 | 2.77 | 3.03 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Zimbabwe and Kenya?
Our prediction for the Zimbabwe vs Kenya match is: Under 2.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/11/2024 between Zimbabwe and Kenya in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.38% for a win of Zimbabwe against Kenya with odds of 2.9 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Zimbabwe vs Kenya is 23.43% with odds of 3.02 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Kenya vs Zimbabwe with odds of 3.3 at Ladbrokes.
Zimbabwe vs Kenya Form
Zimbabwe and Kenya's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
|
3
|
4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -3 |
Zimbabwe and Kenya Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
30 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - World Cup
18 Jan 2022 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
30 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
27 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
30 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
30 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
27 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Zimbabwe vs Kenya Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
33 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Zimbabwe vs Kenya last Lineups
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Zimbabwe - Kenya Key Points
- Seven of Zimbabwe’s last 10 matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Zimbabwe have failed to score in five of their last seven matches.
- Eight of Kenya’s last 10 matches have ended with under 2.5 goals.
- Kenya have failed to score in five of their last 10 matches.
- Fewer than three goals were scored in four of the last five matches between these sides.
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Our Zimbabwe vs Kenya Prediction
Zimbabwe need just a single point in this match to guarantee their qualification to the 2025 AFCON, and it would not come as a huge surprise to see them prioritise the clean sheet here.
Kenya have it all to do to keep their qualification hopes alive, but they are far from a prolific attack and have failed to find the net in half of their last 10 games since June this year. Our Zimbabwe vs Kenya prediction: Under 2.5!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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