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Wolves vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Joseph King in Premier League Predictions
A true relegation six-pointer is set to kickoff on Saturday in the Premier League as bottom-placed Wolverhampton play host to 19th-placed Southampton. We’ve got the match breakdown as well as a few predictions ready for this clash between Wolves and the Saints.
With 10 matches already in the books in the 2024/25 season, both Wolves and Southampton need to kick things into gear if they are to avoid playing Championship football next year. The hosts have tallied just three points so far and are still searching for their first Premier League win of the campaign. The visitors, meanwhile, are just one point clear of their opponents with only a win and a draw to show from their 10 outings.
The pressure is fully on both of these managers who are among the top contenders in the ‘next manager sacked’ race. One more bad result could spell the end of their time in charge, which sets the backdrop for what should be a fiery matchup on Saturday!
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The Best Betting Odds for Wolves v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.85 | 3.8 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.93 | 3.73 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.93 | 3.73 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.7 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.9 | 4.2 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.82 | 3.62 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.85 | 3.7 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.77 | 4 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.06 | 3.75 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.75 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.85 | 4 | 4.15 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.7 | 4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wolves and Southampton?
Our prediction for the Wolves vs Southampton match is: Wolves team total over 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2024 between Wolves and Southampton in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.86% for a win of Wolves against Southampton with odds of 2.06 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wolves vs Southampton is 16.76% with odds of 4 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 36.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Wolves with odds of 4.2 at Stake.
Wolves - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wolves Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wolves wins | 46.86% | 2.06 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.13% | 1.81 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 80.42% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Wolves/Wolves | 18.05% | 3 at Bet365 |
Wolves vs Southampton Form
Wolves and Southampton's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
18
|
12 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -13 |
|
20
|
6 | 17 | 1 | 3 | 13 | -25 |
Wolves and Southampton Last Matches
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
20 Oct 2024 - Premier League
28 Sep 2024 - Premier League
15 Sep 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
18 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - Premier League
29 Oct 2024 - Carabao Cup
19 Oct 2024 - Premier League
21 Sep 2024 - Premier League
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - Premier League
5 Oct 2024 - Premier League
30 Sep 2024 - Premier League
17 Sep 2024 - Carabao Cup
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
Wolves vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
83 %
0 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Feb 2023 - Premier League
3 Sep 2022 - Premier League
15 Jan 2022 - Premier League
26 Sep 2021 - Premier League
14 Feb 2021 - Premier League
11 Feb 2021 - FA Cup
Wolves - Southampton: Form Analysis
It’s been a torrid season for Wolverhampton so far whose fans know there is a serious risk of the club dropping into the Championship for the first time since 2017/18. They held the lead against Crystal Palace for only five minutes in their last outing before a Marc Guehi goal 13 minutes from full time levelled the score.
Wolves would have to settle for a 2-2 draw in that match, their second stalemate in a row after drawing with Brighton by the same scoreline two weeks ago. Wolves are still winless in the league this season, although they did manage to grab a single win in the Carabao Cup before being eliminated by Brighton in the third round.
Gary O’Neil’s side have been dreadful on the defensive side of the ball and have conceded a league-high 27 goals.
Southampton make the trip up north and should be full of confidence after back-to-back wins in the dying minutes in their last two appearances. They claimed a 3-2 win over Stoke in the Carabao Cup fourth round and followed that up with a 1-0 home win over Everton last weekend.
Adam Armstrong was the hero with his 85th minute strike marking only the seventh league goal for the Saints, the lowest total in the division.
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Wolves against Southampton Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 5 - 4 - 1
Missing players
Y. Mosquera
MidfielderB. Traore
ForwardE. Gonzalez
S. Kalajdzic
G. Bazunu
MidfielderW. Smallbone
M. Cornet
ForwardR. Stewart
Wolves & Southampton Squad Analysis
Wolves come into this crucial fixture without the services of at least five players. Winger Enso Gonzalez (knee) and defender Yerson Mosquera (knee) will miss the entirety of the season while striker Sasa Kalajdzic (knee) is targeting a return at the beginning of 2025.
They’ll also be without midfielder Boubacar Traore who should be ready for selection around Christmas time according to Gary O’Neil.
A key member of the squad, striker Hwang Hee-Chan, is recovering from a ligament injury and could be available for selection. However, it’s looking like he will miss out.
One of the rare bright spots for Wolves this season has been their target man Jørgen Strand Larsen.
The Norwegian is adapting well to Premier League football and is the team’s co-leading scorer with four goals in 10 league games.
Southampton boss Russell Martin will be without three players as Gavin Bazuna (ACL), Ross Stewart (calf) and William Smallbone (thigh) are all ruled out. Hoping to make the matchday squad will be Ryan Fraser who appears to be 50/50 as to whether he will be available.
Adam Lallana came off early in the win over Everton and Martin has said that he suffered a slight groin injury. It remains unclear at this point whether or not he will be ready to go on Saturday.
Most goals and assists
Wolves
Southampton
M. Cunha
(9 Goals)
C. Archer
(5 Goals)
G. Guedes
(4 Assists)
M. Fernandes
(4 Assists)
Wolves - Southampton Key Points
- Wolves have scored at least two goals in three of their last four matches.
- The hosts have found the net in 11 of their 12 games played across all competitions.
- Southampton have conceded at least two goals in four of their last six matches across all competitions.
- Southampton have allowed 11 goals in their five away fixtures this season (2.20 average).
- Wolves have found the net in their last five meetings with the Saints, scoring at least twice in three.
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Our Wolves vs Southampton Prediction
It’s been tough going for Wolverhampton so far but they’ll know the importance of taking the full three points here. While we think that the hosts will be up for the challenge, we’d like to avoid betting on them to have a strong defensive performance.
Likewise, Southampton have been largely toothless in front of goal this season, so backing goals from the visitors is a big ask as well. Therefore, we’ve landed on backing Wolves' good goalscoring form to continue by betting on them to score at least twice here. Our Wolverhampton vs Southampton prediction: Wolves team total over 1.5.
Wolves vs Southampton - Other Interesting Predictions
Wolves to win
Wolverhampton have had Southampton’s number in recent seasons as they are currently riding a five-game winning streak over them.
While Southampton do have momentum on their side, it’s tough to back a team that has only managed to find the net seven times in 10 attempts. This is one of the best opportunities for a win that Wolves are going to get this season and we think they’ll take advantage.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wolves Southampton
| Wolves vs Southampton | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves wins | 1.91 | 1.85 | -3.1% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.8 | +1.3% |
| Southampton wins | 3.6 | 4 | +11.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wolves is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 3.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 54.1% (1.7%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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