England - Premier League
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by Steve Ashfield in Premier League Predictions
Monday night sees West Ham United play Newcastle United at the London Stadium. The home side are 15th in the Premier League with their opponents starting the weekend in sixth place. Can the Magpies boost their Champions League qualification hopes? Here's our match prediction.
The Hammers are 11 points behind their opponents after 27 games of this season. Their form has finally improved since the arrival of Graham Potter as their new coach and their last two league fixtures have both been won.
Newcastle United will be at Wembley next weekend for the Carabao Cup final. They still have a good chance of returning to the Champions League next season, especially if five places are available for English clubs. The Magpies were knocked out of the FA Cup last weekend by Brighton and Hove Albion. As you'll read in the form section of this preview, they do need to improve in the Premier League.
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The Best Betting Odds for West Ham v Newcastle Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 3.4 | 2.2 |
|
|
3 | 3.6 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.3 | 2.45 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.51 | 3.47 | 2.18 |
|
|
3.51 | 3.47 | 2.18 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and Newcastle?
Our prediction for the West Ham vs Newcastle match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/03/2025 between West Ham and Newcastle in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.52% for a win of West Ham against Newcastle with odds of 3.51 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs Newcastle is 16.06% with odds of 3.9 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Newcastle vs West Ham with odds of 2.45 at Ladbrokes.
West Ham - Newcastle Prediction and Best Odds:
| West Ham Newcastle Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins | 52.42% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.2% | 2 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 49.58% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Newcastle/Newcastle | 20.25% | 3.75 at Bet365 |
West Ham vs Newcastle Form
West Ham and Newcastle's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
59 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 21 |
|
17
|
35 | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | -18 |
West Ham and Newcastle Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2025 - Premier League
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
14 Jan 2025 - Premier League
29 Dec 2024 - Premier League
21 Dec 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Feb 2025 - Premier League
3 Feb 2025 - Premier League
26 Jan 2025 - Premier League
10 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
26 Dec 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
23 Feb 2025 - Premier League
5 Feb 2025 - Carabao Cup
1 Feb 2025 - Premier League
18 Jan 2025 - Premier League
15 Jan 2025 - Premier League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Feb 2025 - Premier League
15 Feb 2025 - Premier League
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
25 Jan 2025 - Premier League
7 Jan 2025 - Carabao Cup
4 Jan 2025 - Premier League
West Ham vs Newcastle Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Nov 2024 - Premier League
30 Mar 2024 - Premier League
8 Oct 2023 - Premier League
5 Apr 2023 - Premier League
4 Feb 2023 - Premier League
19 Feb 2022 - Premier League
West Ham - Newcastle: Form Analysis
West Ham have won their last two Premier League games. Wins have come at Arsenal and at home to Leicester City and both to nil. Those two clean sheets are so important for the Irons who have conceded 47 league goals this season and 27 at home.
Five of their last six matches have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. That's compared to 15 being scored in their three previous matches of which West Ham scored only four.
Have West Ham turned a corner?
They have only won five home league fixtures this season but finally they seem to be turning a corner. United had gone four games without a win before those two victories. Two of their last four home games have been won.
Newcastle United have lost three of their last four Premier League fixtures and the last two on the road. They also lost in the FA Cup last weekend, being knocked out 2-1 by Brighton after extra time.
United have won six away league matches this season but haven't scored in their last two.
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West Ham against Newcastle Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
M. Antonio
N. Fullkrug
C. Summerville
J. Lascelles
S. Botman
L. Hall
ForwardA. Gordon
West Ham & Newcastle Squad Analysis
West Ham will want to build on the two recent wins and have good and bad news on the injury front. Vladimir Coufal has had a hamstring problem but could well be fit to play some part in this match on Monday night.
Not such good news is that they will continue to be without strikers Michail Antonio and Niclas Fullkrug. The hope for West Ham is that they will be fit for next season when the Hammers will hope for a top ten finish at least.
Wembley-bound Newcastle have selection problems.
Newcastle United are a week away from a Wembley cup final but have plenty of selection problems. Anthony Gordon begins his three-match suspension and is expected to be replaced by Harvey Barnes.
Out injured for United are Lewis Hall, Sven Botman and Jamaal Lascalles, neither of whom will play again this season. That's the last thing United need when there is so much to play for in the coming weeks. The hope is that Keiran Trippier will be fit to play on Monday.
Better news is that Alexander Isak is fit again and Newcastle will hope he returns to the good scoring form he has shown this season.
Most goals and assists
West Ham
Newcastle
J. Bowen
(9 Goals)
A. Isak
(24 Goals)
J. Bowen
(6 Assists)
J. Murphy
(12 Assists)
West Ham - Newcastle Key Points
- Newcastle have failed to score in their last two away league fixtures.
- Five of the last six West Ham matches have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- West Ham have kept two successive clean sheets.
- Over 90 minutes, the last two Newcastle games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
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Our West Ham vs Newcastle Prediction
West Ham begin the weekend nine points behind tenth place but in no real relegation trouble. Their aim will be to have a good end to what has been a disappointing season so far. Their last two league games have been won and no goals conceded. The latter fact is almost as important as the six points earned.
This Monday sees them home to Newcastle who play at Wembley next weekend. They aren't in the best form at present despite that Carabao Cup run. Our main West Ham v Newcastle prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
West Ham vs Newcastle - Other Interesting Predictions
West Ham to win or draw
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis West Ham Newcastle
| West Ham vs Newcastle | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins | 3.9 | 3.3 | -15.4% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 3.4 | -8.1% |
| Newcastle wins | 1.85 | 2.2 | +18.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Newcastle is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 18.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.1% and is now 45.5% (-8.6%)
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West Ham vs Newcastle match : Frequently asked questions
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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