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Europe - Europa League

West Ham
14 Mar 2024 13:45
Freiburg

Prediction :

 

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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West Ham vs Freiburg Prediction & Betting Tips - Europa League

 by Ian John | in Europa League Predictions

West Ham United face SC Freiburg for the fourth time in the Europa League this season. After last week's Round of 16 first leg in Germany, the Germans hold a 1-0 lead from the game at Europa-Park Stadion, given to them by Michael Gregoritsch's 81st minute strike. The Hammers lie 7th in the Premier League table, compared to the German's 8th in the Bundesliga with West Ham landing 43 points from their 28 games, compared to Freiburg's 33 from 25. West Ham won both games between the two in the Group Stages of the Europa League, winning 2-1 in Germany and 2-0 in London.
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The Best Betting Odds for West Ham v Freiburg Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.62 4 5.25
Betfred
1.73 4 4.33
Ladbrokes
1.75 3.7 4.4
NetBet
1.75 3.8 4.5
1xbet
1.82 3.92 4.77
22bet
1.82 3.92 4.77
Betwinner
1.59 4.2 5.4
LSbet
1.59 4.2 5.4
Stake
1.75 3.9 4.7
Melbet
1.75 3.78 4.6
Tonybet
1.75 3.9 4.7
Vbet
1.78 4.1 4.6
Betway
1.6 4 5
Unibet
1.74 3.8 4.4
Betfair
1.73 3.75 4.6
Betsson
1.75 4 4.7
William Hill
1.75 3.7 4.6
Check all West Ham vs Freiburg odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and Freiburg?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/03/2024 between West Ham and Freiburg in Europa League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 39.79% for a win of West Ham against Freiburg with odds of 1.82 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs Freiburg is 31.74% with odds of 4.2 at Betwinner.
  • Our prediction model gives a 28.47% chance ⭐ for a win of Freiburg vs West Ham with odds of 5.4 at Betwinner.

West Ham - Freiburg Prediction and Best Odds:

West Ham Freiburg Prediction Probability Odds
West Ham wins 39.79% 1.82 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 58.65% 1.97 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 60.42%
Half-time: Freiburg / Full-time: West Ham 14.1% 26 at Betsson

West Ham vs Freiburg Form

West Ham and Freiburg Last Matches

West Ham
West Ham Last matches
L L W W L D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Burnley

7 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Freiburg
1 :  0
West Ham

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  3
West Ham

26 Feb 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
4 :  2
Brentford

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  0
West Ham

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  6
Arsenal
D D D L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
2 :  2
Burnley

26 Feb 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
4 :  2
Brentford

11 Feb 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  6
Arsenal

1 Feb 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
1 :  1
Bournemouth

7 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

West Ham
1 :  1
Bristol City

2 Jan 2024 - Premier League

West Ham
0 :  0
Brighton
L D L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Freiburg
1 :  0
West Ham

2 Mar 2024 - Premier League

Everton
1 :  3
West Ham

17 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Nottingham Forest
2 :  0
West Ham

4 Feb 2024 - Premier League

Manchester United
3 :  0
West Ham

21 Jan 2024 - Premier League

Sheffield United
2 :  2
West Ham

16 Jan 2024 - FA Cup

Bristol City
1 :  0
West Ham
Freiburg
Freiburg Last matches
D W L D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bochum
1 :  2
Freiburg

7 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Freiburg
1 :  0
West Ham

1 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

25 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  1
Freiburg

22 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Freiburg
3 :  2
Lens

18 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  3
Eintracht Frankfurt
W L D W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

7 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Freiburg
1 :  0
West Ham

1 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
2 :  2
Bayern Munich

22 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Freiburg
3 :  2
Lens

18 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  3
Eintracht Frankfurt

3 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
1 :  3
Stuttgart

20 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Freiburg
3 :  2
Hoffenheim
W L L D L W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

10 Mar 2024 - Bundesliga

Bochum
1 :  2
Freiburg

25 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Augsburg
2 :  1
Freiburg

15 Feb 2024 - Europa League

Lens
0 :  0
Freiburg

9 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund
3 :  0
Freiburg

27 Jan 2024 - Bundesliga

Werder Bremen
3 :  1
Freiburg

6 Jan 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Eintracht Frankfurt
2 :  5
Freiburg

West Ham vs Freiburg Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

West Ham

67 %

Draw

0 %

Freiburg

33 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2
Total goals
33%
BTTS
1.33
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.67
Goals scored (Team 2)
33%
Over 2.5
67%
Under 2.5

7 Mar 2024 - Europa League

Freiburg
1 :  0
West Ham

14 Dec 2023 - Europa League

West Ham
2 :  0
Freiburg

5 Oct 2023 - Europa League

Freiburg
1 :  2
West Ham
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West Ham - Freiburg: Form Analysis

West Ham may well come into this game trailing 1-0 from the first leg in Germany, but David Moyes' team have every reason to be upbeat. Not only did they win the Europa Conference League last season, going the entire competition unbeaten, but the loss to Freiburg was only their second this season in the Europa League. The Hammers have also not tasted defeat in any of their last three Premier League games, earning two-goal wins over Brentford (4-2) and Everton (3-1) and they came from 2-0 down at the weekend at home to Burnley to draw 2-2. Once area of concern may be that they have won just one of their last five Premier Games at home, drawing three, but that is less of an issue in Europe where the Hammers have won all their home games over the last couple of years. 

The Hammers may also gain confidence when they learn that SC Freiburg's away form this season has been pretty poor. In the Bundesliga, they have won four, drawn one and lost eight game, scoring just 12. goals in those 13 games, conceding 26. They lost just once away from home in Europe, but that came at West Ham, and they drew 0-0 away to Lens in the last round before earning a 3-2 win at home. They did achieve success on the road at the weekend in the Bundesliga, ending a run of four successive away defeats with a 2-1 win at Bochum, but that is just their second win in their last ten games home and away in the Bundesliga. The German side's away goals total of 12 in the Bundesliga is the joint 6th fewest scored by a team in the Bundesliga. They have also conceded 12 goals when away from home in their last five Bundesliga games. 

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West Ham against Freiburg Lineups: Starting 11

West Ham

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

1
L. Fabianski
5
V. Coufal
15
K. Mavropanos
4
K. Zouma
3
A. Cresswell
28
T. Soucek
19
E. Alvarez
10
L. Paqueta
20
J. Bowen
9
M. Antonio
14
M. Kudus
9
L. Holer
32
V. Grifo
22
R. Sallai
42
R. Doan
27
N. Hofler
8
M. Eggestein
30
C. Gunter
5
M. Gulde
28
M. Ginter
25
K. Sildillia
1
N. Atubolu

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Freiburg

West Ham & Freiburg Squad Analysis

David Moyes has just a couple of injury concerns ahead of the game with SC Freiburg on Thursday Night in the Europa League. Left back Emerson Palmieri missed the draw with Burnley at the weekend after picking up a knock in the first leg and he has a 50/50 chance of being fit for the second leg. If not Aaron Cresswell will likely deputise for the Brazilian once again. Midfielder Maxwell Cornet is less likely to feature, although the former Lyon midfielder is not too far from a return from a hamstring injury he sustained on the eve of the game with Brentford a couple of weeks back. He is more likely to be fit for West Ham's Premier League clash at home to Aston Villa on Sunday than for Thursday's game. Edson Alvarez, Lucas Paqueta and Emerson Palmieri are all just one booking away from missing the quarter final first leg should the Hammers come through this tie. 

Visitors SC Freiburg have a number of injury concerns for this game and several players are likely to miss out. Midfielder Daniel Kofi-Kyereh is out with a cruciate knee ligament injury, but isn't too far off from a return. Meanwhile Kenneth Schmidt is another close to a return to action after an abdominal issue has kept the centre back out since November. Max Rosenfelder is another probably a couple of weeks off coming back but centre back Philipp Lienhart will be out a while longer after his groin surgery back in January. Striker Roland Sallai and Lucas Holer both could miss the next game if they receive another booking in the second leg against the Hammers on Thursday. Austrian striker Michael Gregoritsch has netted five goals in seven Europa League games this season and will be the German's biggest threat in attack.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato West Ham
CD Huachipato Freiburg
Top Goalscorer
England J. Bowen (19 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Austria M. Gregoritsch (12 Goals) Italy V. Grifo (12 Goals)
Best assists
England J. Ward Prowse (11 Assists)
England J. Bowen (11 Assists)
Best assists
Italy V. Grifo (10 Assists)

West Ham - Freiburg Key Points

  1. West Ham United's last four home games have seen a total of 18 goals scored. West Ham scoring 7 of those goals, their opponents notching 9. There have been Over 2.5 goals and both teams have scored in three of the last four West Ham games in all competitions.
  2. Freiburg have lost just one of their last seven games in all competitions. Both teams have scored in five of those games and there has been over 2.5 goals in five of those games too.
  3. West Ham have not kept a clean sheet in any of their last eleven games in all competitions.
  4. Both teams have scored in eight of Freiburg's last nine Bundesliga games.
  5. 77% of Freiburg's Bundesliga games this season have seen both teams score. 64% of West Ham's Premier League games have seen both teams score.
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Our West Ham vs Freiburg Prediction

West Ham and Freiburg will be well-acquainted for their fourth meeting in the Europa League this season. The Hammers have won two, but Freiburg won the crucial first leg tie to hold the advantage here. West Ham's home form this season has been erratic with 6 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats in the Premier League. All three previous games with Freiburg have been close but with this a situation where West Ham have to win by a goal to force extra time, I think this may be a more open game. Our West Ham v Freiburg prediction is therefore for Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals.

Prediction :

 

Both Teams to Score and Over 2.5 Goals

 
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West Ham vs Freiburg - Other Interesting Predictions

West Ham to Qualify

Odds 2.05
Our second prediction for the Europa League Round of 16 2nd leg between West Ham and Freiburg is for West Ham to Qualify. We've gone for this given that the Hammers recent form is pretty solid, that narrow loss in Germany in the first leg apart, and the fact that they defeated these opponents twice in the Group Stage, including a comfortable 2-0 win at home. It may take extra time or even penalties to secure progress, as this will be a game with goals at both ends, but I think the Hammers will reach the quarter finals.
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West Ham vs Freiburg match : Frequently asked questions

Thursday night's Europa League clash between West Ham and SC Freiburg will be the fourth time the teams have met in the competition this season. Playing twice in the Group Stage and then the first leg of the Round of 16. 

In the first Group Stage game, West Ham travelled to Germany and came away with a 2-1 win on Matchday 2 in the Europa League. Lucas Paqueta (8) put the Hammers in front before Hungay's Roland Sallai (49) levelled for Freiburg. However, Nayef Aguerd (66) struck to hand West Ham the win and what proved to be a decisive away win in the group.

The second game in the Group Stages took place at the London Stadium on Matchday 6 and West Ham ran out 2-0 winners thanks to two first half goals from Mohammed Kudus (14) and Edson Alvarez (42). The win ensured West Ham topped Group A and saw Freiburg finish second in the group and forced into a playoff against RC Lens. 

The third game was the Round of 16 first leg tie in Germany last week, which Freiburg won thanks to a late goal from Austrian Michael Gregoritsch (81) in what was another even contest. 

West Ham have gone through the current Europa League season and last season's Europa Conference League winning all ten home games that they have played in both competitions. Scoring 25 goals and conceding just six. 

Therefore, their last home defeat in European competition came in the Europa League semi final in the 2021/22 season when the Hammers were defeated 2-1 at home by eventual winners of the competition Eintracht Frankfurt. The German's also won the game in Germany by a 1-0 scoreline.

The Hammer last home draw in Europe came in the round before that game with Frankfurt when French side Lyon held them to a 1-1 draw in London, but the Hammers won the second leg 3-0 in the Groupama Stadium in. France to progress to the semi's to face Frankfurt. 

TNT Sport, formerly BT Sport, will be showing the second leg of West Ham v SC Freiburg in the Europa League Round of 16 second leg on Thursday night in the UK. Kick off is at 5.45pm from the London Stadium. 

You can also get all the latest data and statistics, including real-time updates, on the game by following the West Ham v SC Freiburg pages. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

West Ham vs Freiburg Prediction
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