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West Ham vs Chelsea Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Sridhar in Premier League Predictions
In an intriguing London derby over the weekend in the English Premier League, West Ham will host Chelsea. This match at the London Stadium on Saturday promises to be full of action, with over 2.5 goals our prediction.
After a summer of extensive investment, West Ham and Julen Lopetegui haven't had the desired results. They could only eke out a late draw against Fulham last time and are struggling in their home matches.
Chelsea, on the other hand, despite all the criticism around new manager Enzo Maresca, have been reasonably good. They have lost only once in this league campaign so far, which came on the opening matchday. With their injury woes also slowly improving as key players return to the squad, Chelsea looks well-equipped to master another London derby.
An interesting dimension to this match comes from West Ham's home record against their neighbors. The Hammers have won 3-1 at this venue last season against Chelsea and have two wins and a draw in their last three home matches against them. Can they ride on this record and keep Chelsea at bay? Read on to find out more.
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The Best Betting Odds for West Ham v Chelsea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.5 | 3.9 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.2 | 2.7 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.51 | 3.91 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.51 | 3.91 | 2.06 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.9 | 2 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.88 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.88 | 1.96 |
|
|
3.35 | 3.85 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.78 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.9 | 2.03 |
|
|
3.52 | 3.96 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.8 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.65 | 3.95 | 1.97 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.9 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.35 | 4.05 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.75 | 2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and Chelsea?
Our prediction for the West Ham vs Chelsea match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between West Ham and Chelsea in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.03% for a win of West Ham against Chelsea with odds of 3.65 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs Chelsea is 20.51% with odds of 4.05 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 53.45% chance ⭐ for a win of Chelsea vs West Ham with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
West Ham - Chelsea Prediction and Best Odds:
| West Ham Chelsea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins | 53.45% | 2.3 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72.63% | 1.54 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 76.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Chelsea | 29.71% | 5.7 at Betsson |
West Ham vs Chelsea Form
West Ham and Chelsea's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
19 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 8 |
|
14
|
12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -6 |
West Ham and Chelsea Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Premier League
28 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
17 Aug 2024 - Premier League
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
24 Aug 2024 - Premier League
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - Premier League
22 Aug 2024 - Conference League
18 Aug 2024 - Premier League
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Premier League
29 Aug 2024 - Conference League
25 Aug 2024 - Premier League
15 May 2024 - Premier League
11 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
West Ham vs Chelsea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 May 2024 - Premier League
20 Aug 2023 - Premier League
11 Feb 2023 - Premier League
3 Sep 2022 - Premier League
24 Apr 2022 - Premier League
4 Dec 2021 - Premier League
West Ham - Chelsea: Form Analysis
West Ham are 14th in the standings ahead of this round with one win, one draw, and two defeats to their name. They are only three points above the bottom-three, although it is too early in the season to suggest any relegation trouble.
The Hammers came off a 1-1 draw against Fulham, where they were lucky to escape through a 95th-minute goal from Danny Ings. The home fans will be worried about their fortunes, as West Ham have lost both their home league matches this season. They lost 2-1 to Aston Villa on matchday one before Erling Haaland's hat-trick condemned them to a 3-1 loss to Manchester City on matchday three.
Chelsea lost two and drew one of their last three visits to West Ham.
That could propel the visitors, who are eighth in the standings ahead of this round with even points. They had two wins, one draw, and one loss to their name, staying just two points behind the top-five. The Blues escaped out of Bournemouth with a 1-0 win last weekend when Christopher Nkunku scored in the 86th minute. That kept them unbeaten in three league matches, winning 6-2 against Wolves and drawing 1-1 against Crystal Palace.
Chelsea have been impressive on their travels this season, with wins over the Wolves and Bournemouth coming on the road. Can they ride on this momentum and address their poor recent away record against West Ham?
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West Ham against Chelsea Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
N. Fullkrug
O. Kellyman
West Ham & Chelsea Squad Analysis
Defender Emerson Palmieri was injured against Fulham, and the West Ham defender is unlikely to face his former employers. Another player out of contention for the Hammers is Nicklas Fullkrug, who picked up a knock while on international duty and also missed the previous match.
Aaron Cresswell is also out of this match with a thigh injury for the home side. Chelsea received a number of boosts in terms of personnel, although the long-term absence of Reece James is a big setback.
Reece James' return is further delayed, with the return unclear.
On the good news front, Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall, Enzo Fernandez, Malo Gusto, and Romeo Lavia have all returned to Chelsea training. There's a good chance that Dewsbury-Hall and Enzo could be involved in this match.
Noni Madueke has three goals to his name in this season, and interestingly, all three have come off Cole Palmer's assists. Speaking of Palmer, he has four assists and one goal to his name this season. For the Hammers, Danny Ings rescued a point against Fulham in the late stages and may fancy getting a starting role here.
Most goals and assists
West Ham
Chelsea
J. Bowen
(4 Goals)
C. Nkunku
(8 Goals)
J. Bowen
(4 Assists)
C. Palmer
(5 Assists)
West Ham - Chelsea Key Points
- The last two league matches between these sides ended with over three goals
- In seven of their last nine league matches, West Ham have seen over 2.5 goals scored
- That was also the case in West Ham’s last four Premier League matches at this venue
- Seven of Chelsea’s last 11 Premier League matches have produced three or more goals
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Our West Ham vs Chelsea Prediction
Both West Ham and Chelsea have been erratic in their performances, although Chelsea will feel they are improving. The Blues are hovering just around the top-five, and a win here will certainly improve the mood at the club. West Ham could do with a win themselves, as the players feel the burden of poor results piling up. There's no death of goals here, though, as both teams have been consistently scoring. That's why our prediction for West Ham vs Chelsea is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
West Ham vs Chelsea - Other Interesting Predictions
Cole Palmer to score anytime
Cole Palmer is slowly becoming one of the key players for Chelsea, and his recent record is a testimony to that. He scored once and assisted four goals over his last three league games. The young forward also scored for Chelsea when he last faced West Ham. There's a good chance that he can continue that form here with a goal.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis West Ham Chelsea
| West Ham vs Chelsea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins | 2.7 | 3.5 | +29.6% |
| Draw | 3.75 | 3.9 | +4.0% |
| Chelsea wins | 2.35 | 1.95 | -17.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Chelsea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 17.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 42.6% and is now 51.3% (8.7%)
West Ham vs Chelsea match : Frequently asked questions
This West Ham vs Chelsea English Premier League match will be televised live on TNT Sports 1 and TNT Sports Ultimate in the UK. You can also watch on a live stream via the Discovery+ app.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our English Premier League Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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