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West Ham vs Aston Villa Prediction & Betting Tips - Premier League
by Nella Wagah in Premier League Predictions
West Ham United and Aston Villa enter a season of high expectations as the two clash on the Premier League opening weekend. Managed by two top Spanish tacticians, who will win this battle at the London Stadium? Read on for our preview and prediction of the match scheduled for Saturday 17th August at the London Stadium.
It is a new era at hosts West Ham United, as Julen Lopetegui gets his start, having replaced David Moyes. The expectation from home fans will be to see their team back in Europe after a dismal 2023/24 season.
That will form Lopetegui’s side of the pressure, while at Aston Villa Unai Emery has the additional responsibility of the Champions League to think of. Much of these can be eased by a winning start for either manager.
West Ham United haven't won any of these two sides’ last three meetings but they remain the dominant ones in this fixture.
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The Best Betting Odds for West Ham v Aston Villa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
501 | 15 | 1.03 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.6 | 2.7 |
|
|
501 | 21 | 1.02 |
|
|
501 | 21 | 1.02 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.6 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.6 | 2.71 |
|
|
2.46 | 3.6 | 2.71 |
|
|
100 | 11.25 | 1.03 |
|
|
2.36 | 3.8 | 2.74 |
|
|
2.41 | 3.7 | 2.8 |
|
|
126 | 13 | 1.03 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.75 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.4 | 3.6 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.6 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.5 | 2.7 |
|
|
90 | 7.5 | 1.13 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between West Ham and Aston Villa?
Our prediction for the West Ham vs Aston Villa match is: Match to end in a draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2024 between West Ham and Aston Villa in Premier League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.2% for a win of West Ham against Aston Villa with odds of 501 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Ham vs Aston Villa is 27.45% with odds of 21 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.35% chance ⭐ for a win of Aston Villa vs West Ham with odds of 2.88 at Betsson.
West Ham - Aston Villa Prediction and Best Odds:
| West Ham Aston Villa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins | 40.2% | 501 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.29% | 2.11 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : West Ham/West Ham | 16.77% | 4.25 at Betsson |
West Ham vs Aston Villa Form
West Ham and Aston Villa's standings in the Premier League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
28 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
|
14
|
20 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | -8 |
West Ham and Aston Villa Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Premier League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
18 Apr 2024 - Europa League
14 Apr 2024 - Premier League
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
15 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - Premier League
5 May 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 May 2024 - Premier League
2 May 2024 - Conference League
27 Apr 2024 - Premier League
21 Apr 2024 - Premier League
11 Apr 2024 - Conference League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
17 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
West Ham vs Aston Villa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
33 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Mar 2024 - Premier League
22 Oct 2023 - Premier League
12 Mar 2023 - Premier League
28 Aug 2022 - Premier League
13 Mar 2022 - Premier League
31 Oct 2021 - Premier League
West Ham - Aston Villa: Form Analysis
Julen Lopetegui is back in the Premier League after his short but promising stint with Wolves. He replaces David Moyes who led West Ham United through an underwhelming campaign. The Hammers won as many as they lost last season (14) in the league and had the poorest goal difference in the top half.
That run also saw them finish eight points out of European slots, having won the Conference League title the previous season. Lopetegui is faced with a restructuring at the team and stars might be aligned well for him in London.
West Ham haven't lost to Villa in nine league games at home. Also, in the last 12 meetings between these sides, West Ham only lost once. However, with only two wins in 11 league games to close last season, there’s a genuine cause to be worried.
West Ham United haven't lost a home game against Aston Villa since 2011.
Aston Villa are this season faced with the challenge of balancing the Champions League and Premier League demands. They should take a hint from Newcastle United’s failures last season, but with an experienced coach, they should do well.
That is a focus for the future; at the moment the plan is to down their hosts. This fixture hasn’t favored Villa a lot in recent times but they come here unbeaten in the last three. Sandwiching their 4-1 win at Villa Park last season were two 1-1 draws.
Emery at Aston Villa has not lost to West Ham United, collecting four points in 2023/24. He will be looking to lift his team from the poor finish last season. The Villans failed to win any of their final six matches in all competitions.
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Players list
A. Areola
DefenderJ. Todibo
M. Kilman
K. Mavropanos
Emerson
MidfielderT. Soucek
D. Ings
J. Ward Prowse
M. Kudus
ForwardC. Summerville
N. Fullkrug
E. Martinez
DefenderK. Nedeljkovic
E. Konsa
P. Torres
I. Maatsen
MidfielderJ. Philogene
Y. Tielemans
A. Onana
J. Ramsey
ForwardM. Rogers
J. Duran
Substitutes
L. Fabianski
DefenderA. Wan-Bissaka
J. Todibo
A. Cresswell
MidfielderJ. Ward Prowse
A. Irving
ForwardN. Fullkrug
C. Summerville
D. Ings
J. Gauci
DefenderK. Nedeljkovic
D. Carlos
I. Maatsen
E. Buendia
R. Barkley
J. Ramsey
J. Duran
J. Philogene
West Ham & Aston Villa Squad Analysis
West Ham United have invested heavily in defence, perhaps informed by their poor performance in that department last season.
Lopetegui has gone for the tried and tested Max Kilman, who played under him at Wolves. With a hefty price paid for the defender, we expect him to start. Jean-Clare Todibo is another new defender who might get a start alongside Aaron Wan-Bissaka, who recently signed from Manchester United.
We also expect to see new forwards Crysencio Summerville and Niclas Fullkrug play a part.
In anticipation of a demanding season, both clubs have invested well in their playing units.
Aston Villa are also dealing with key changes in the playing unit.
Midfielder Douglas Luiz left for Juventus and Moussa Diaby for Al Ittihad in Saudi Arabia.
However, there were incomings, with the biggest being that of Belgian international Amadou Onana from Everton. Ross Barkley and Jaden Philogene are back at the club for second stints and could earn starts here.
After making a big-money move from Chelsea, left-back Ian Maatsen should also be in line for a place in the first eleven.
Most goals and assists
West Ham
Aston Villa
J. Bowen
(5 Goals)
J. Duran
(12 Goals)
J. Bowen
(5 Assists)
Y. Tielemans
(6 Assists)
West Ham - Aston Villa Key Points
- Aston Villa haven't won away to West Ham in nine visits.
- West Ham have one loss in the last 12 meetings with Villa.
- Villa failed to win any of their closing six matches last season.
- West Ham won just two of their final 11 league matches last season.
- In their final 10 home league matches last season, West Ham drew six.
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Our West Ham vs Aston Villa Prediction
Aston Villa have a poor away run at West Ham United. In their last nine visits they failed to conjure a win, the best being five draws. Apart from their away form against West Ham United, Villa generally haven't won a lot of their matches against The Irons.
That, coupled with a poor finish last season, will not augur well with their expectations. West Ham aren’t on a great run either. Their finish last season was poor and most of their closing home league matches ended in draws. Our prediction for West Ham United v Aston Villa is for a draw.
West Ham vs Aston Villa - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 3.5 goals
Each of West Ham United’s last five matches in the league produced at least four goals. In three of those, they scored two or more. Villa too, had high scoring matches to close their league season. Four of the last five produced over 3.5 goals.
The corresponding fixture last season had five goals scored and we have reason to back a high-scoring game. Our second prediction for West Ham United v Aston Villa is for the game to have over 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis West Ham Aston Villa
| West Ham vs Aston Villa | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham wins | 2.5 | 501 | +19,940.0% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 15 | +341.2% |
| Aston Villa wins | 2.7 | 1.03 | -61.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- West Ham is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 19,940.0% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.0% and is now 0.2% (-39.8%)
West Ham vs Aston Villa match : Frequently asked questions
The West Ham United v Aston Villa game will be played on Saturday 17th August starting 5:30pm.
The West Ham United v Aston Villa game will be played at the London Stadium.
Tony Harrington has been appointed the center referee for the West Ham United v Aston Villa game.
You can watch the West Ham United v Aston Villa game on Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports Premier League and also follow the Live Premier League for live scores.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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