England - Championship
New customers only | Commercial content | 18+ age limit | T&Cs apply
by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
Both West Brom and Derby County lost their last Championship fixture. The Throstles are eighth in the table and on Easter Monday are home to 21st placed Derby County. Here's our match prediction.
With just three league games remaining. West Brom are six points behind the final promotion play-off position. They really need to win their last three games to have a chance of making it into the play-offs.
Good Friday saw them suffer a crucial 2-0 loss at sixth-placed Coventry City. That was their fourth defeat in the last five league fixtures. Only one of their last seven league games has been won.
Home form has seen them win ten league games with only three losses with only one loss in the last five.
Derby County are only out of the relegation zone on goal difference and just three points above bottom-placed Plymouth. Friday saw them lose 1-0 at home to fellow strugglers Luton Town. Three of their last four Championship matches have seen them fail to score.
The Rams have gone four league games without a win and two of their last three league matches are on the road. County have won only one of their last 13 on the road. We go for under 2.5 goals in this match.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
The Best Betting Odds for West Brom v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 3.8 |
|
|
2 | 3.4 | 3.75 |
|
|
2.3 | 2.3 | 4 |
|
|
1.82 | 3.15 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.34 | 4.11 |
|
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
What is the prediction for the football match between West Brom and Derby County?
Our prediction for the West Brom vs Derby County match is: under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/04/2025 between West Brom and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.79% for a win of West Brom against Derby County with odds of 2.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between West Brom vs Derby County is 22.49% with odds of 3.95 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.72% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs West Brom with odds of 5.2 at Stake.
West Brom vs Derby County Form
West Brom and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
60 | 43 | 14 | 18 | 11 | 10 |
|
21
|
43 | 43 | 11 | 10 | 22 | -11 |
West Brom and Derby County Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
29 Mar 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Apr 2025 - Championship
8 Apr 2025 - Championship
2 Apr 2025 - Championship
11 Mar 2025 - Championship
8 Mar 2025 - Championship
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2025 - Championship
5 Apr 2025 - Championship
15 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
14 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
West Brom vs Derby County Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
0 %
80 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
26 Dec 2024 - Championship
27 Dec 2021 - Championship
8 Jul 2020 - Championship
5 May 2019 - Championship
24 Oct 2018 - Championship
West Brom vs Derby County last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Most goals and assists
West Brom
Derby County
J. Maja
(12 Goals)
J. Yates
(9 Goals)
T. Fellows
(12 Assists)
N. Mendez Laing
(4 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(4 Assists)
West Brom and Derby County Stats in Championship
West Brom - Derby County Key Points
- Four of the last five Derby league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in five of the last six games between these two clubs.
- 26 of Derby's 43 league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Derby have failed to score in three of their last four matches.
- Five of the last six West Brom home league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored in them.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
Our West Brom vs Derby County Prediction
West Brom's promotion hopes are hanging by a thread. They are six points behind the final promotion play-off position with three games to play. Those matches are all against sides currently in the bottom four. Albion are struggling for wins and the same can be said of their opponents.
Derby lost to Luton on Friday and only goal difference is keeping them out of the bottom three. They have failed to score in three of their last four games and have only won two away league games. Our West Brom v Derby County prediction is under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Use £/€50 free bets for the West Brom vs. Derby County game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between West Brom and Derby County? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's Championship! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings
