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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
by Daniel Ngulu in Football Predictions
One of the picks of the weekend in the Australian top flight will see Wellington Phoenix go head-to-head with Melbourne Victory. This Sunday game, hosted by The Nix, is a repeat of last season’s semi-final and below we have a prediction for the match.
Four matches into the season and Phoenix trail league leaders Melbourne by three points. They recovered from the crushing defeat at home to Auckland with a 3-0 away win at Central Coast Mariners.
The Nix put in a professional performance and earned a deserved win ahead of their return home.
Melbourne Victory will come into this game not only seeking three points but to also defend their unbeaten start to the season. After four matches, they have only dropped two points, and come here on three straight wins.
Their latest outing yielded their second clean sheet in four matches as they trounced Brisbane Roar 2-0. The Dark Blues are the first ones to hit double figures and will be looking to keep this run going.
In their last meeting with Phoenix, Victory claimed a 2-1 aggregate win to eliminate them from the final stages last season. The only time they dropped points this season was in an away match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 | 3.5 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.8 | 2.5 | 2.2 |
|
|
4.19 | 3.49 | 1.9 |
|
|
4.19 | 3.49 | 1.9 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.6 | 1.78 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.6 | 1.86 |
|
|
4.04 | 3.66 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.55 | 1.84 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.4 | 1.95 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.65 | 1.91 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.3 | 1.83 |
|
|
4 | 3.5 | 1.9 |
|
|
4.4 | 3.3 | 1.83 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.45 | 1.92 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory?
Our prediction for the Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 23/11/2024 between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.23% for a win of Wellington Phoenix against Melbourne Victory with odds of 4.6 at Betobet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory is 20.6% with odds of 3.66 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 47.17% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wellington Phoenix Melbourne Victory Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Melbourne Victory wins | 47.17% | 2.2 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.4% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 39.58% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Melbourne Victory | 22.18% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Form
Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
17 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
|
9
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -1 |
Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - A-League
2 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
19 Oct 2024 - A-League
6 Aug 2024 - FFA Cup
18 May 2024 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Nov 2024 - A-League
19 Oct 2024 - A-League
18 May 2024 - A-League
27 Apr 2024 - A-League
12 Apr 2024 - A-League
30 Mar 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
6 Aug 2024 - FFA Cup
12 May 2024 - A-League
19 Apr 2024 - A-League
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - A-League
3 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
18 Oct 2024 - A-League
29 Sep 2024 - FFA Cup
21 Sep 2024 - FFA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Nov 2024 - A-League
3 Nov 2024 - A-League
29 Sep 2024 - FFA Cup
21 Sep 2024 - FFA Cup
12 May 2024 - A-League
5 May 2024 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
18 Oct 2024 - A-League
14 Sep 2024 - FFA Cup
28 Aug 2024 - FFA Cup
6 Aug 2024 - FFA Cup
25 May 2024 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
50 %
25 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
18 May 2024 - A-League
12 May 2024 - A-League
12 Apr 2024 - A-League
19 Jan 2024 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 2 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
K. Barbarouses
(5 Goals)
N. Velupillay
(2 Goals)
, 
Z. Machach
(2 Goals)
, 
N. Vergos
(2 Goals)
H. Ishige
(3 Assists)
N. Vergos
(2 Assists)
,
R. Piscopo
(2 Assists)
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Key Points
- In three of these teams’ last five meetings, both teams scored.
- Wellington Phoenix scored in three of their first four league matches.
- Twice in Melbourne Victory’s opening three league games both teams scored.
- In three of Melbourne Victory’s last four away league games, both teams scored.
- Both teams scored in two of Wellington Phoenix’s last three home league matches.
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Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
Two sides with good scoring forms and a simmering rivalry get to face off on Match Day 5 of the Australian topflight. Wellington Phoenix only failed to score once in their four matches this season. The same is the case with Melbourne Victory, which happened on the opening day.
After that they scored at least twice in the last three matches but kept only one clean sheet. With such scoring form, we expect to see goals here, as has also been the case in a number of matches pitting these teams. Our prediction for Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory is for both teams to score.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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