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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
by Ian John in Football Predictions
Wellington Phoenix faces Melbourne Victory in the second leg of their A-League Championship playoff semi-final on Saturday (kick off 7.30am UK Time). After a hard-fought first game at the Melbourne Rectangular Stadium, the teams could not be separated and headed into this game after a 0-0 draw. That seems to hand Wellington the advantage, given that they have won their last six games at home and also ten of their 13 league games played at the Sky Stadium. That run included a narrow 1-0 win over today’s opponents in April. The winner will progress into the playoffs' final for a shot at the A-League Championship against either Sydney City FC or Central Coast Mariners.
Although Melbourne Victory could not establish a first-leg lead, this tie is far from over. Tony Popovic’s team have played four games against the Phoenix this season, drawing three and losing just once. All four of those games have been very tight, just as the first leg between the two was at the weekend. One issue that Victory will have to overcome is that they have won just one game in their last eight away matches, drawing five of those games and losing two. Victory have not won any of their last five games, losing two, drawing three. It will certainly be a tough test for the Big V to earn a place in the final, and given the closely contested nature of all four previous games between the two this season, extra time and penalties could come into contention.
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The Best Betting Odds for Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
---|---|---|---|---|
|
451 | 13 | 1.04 |
|
|
2.45 | 2.87 | 2.7 |
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2.32 | 3.05 | 2.57 |
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2.53 | 3.22 | 2.88 |
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2.53 | 3.22 | 2.88 |
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|
2.61 | 3.52 | 2.58 |
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2.46 | 3.2 | 2.85 |
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2.61 | 3.26 | 2.64 |
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41 | 6 | 1.13 |
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2.6 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
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501 | 26 | 1.02 |
|
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2.55 | 3.2 | 2.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 18/05/2024 between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.27% for a win of Wellington Phoenix against Melbourne Victory with odds of 501 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory is 34.82% with odds of 26 at Betfair.
- Our prediction model gives a 13.9% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix with odds of 2.9 at Unibet.
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:
Wellington Phoenix Melbourne Victory Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Wellington Phoenix wins | 51.27% | 501 at Betfair |
Under 2.5 | 55.95% | 2.42 at Tonybet |
Both Team To Score | 52.08% | |
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wellington Phoenix | 23.06% | 6 at Bet365 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Form
Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2024 - A-League
27 Apr 2024 - A-League
19 Apr 2024 - A-League
12 Apr 2024 - A-League
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
30 Mar 2024 - A-League
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Apr 2024 - A-League
12 Apr 2024 - A-League
30 Mar 2024 - A-League
16 Mar 2024 - A-League
2 Mar 2024 - A-League
9 Feb 2024 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2024 - A-League
19 Apr 2024 - A-League
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
24 Feb 2024 - A-League
18 Feb 2024 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2024 - A-League
5 May 2024 - A-League
27 Apr 2024 - A-League
20 Apr 2024 - A-League
12 Apr 2024 - A-League
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 May 2024 - A-League
5 May 2024 - A-League
27 Apr 2024 - A-League
20 Apr 2024 - A-League
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
31 Mar 2024 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Apr 2024 - A-League
14 Mar 2024 - A-League
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
3 Mar 2024 - A-League
17 Feb 2024 - A-League
3 Feb 2024 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
67 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
12 May 2024 - A-League
12 Apr 2024 - A-League
19 Jan 2024 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Key Points
- Five of Wellington Phoenix's last eight games have seen under 2.5 goals scored. That includes two of their last three home games.
- Four of Melbourne Victory's last five games have seen under 2.5 goals scored. They have drawn three and lost two of those matches.
- These two teams have the smallest percentage of games with Over 2.5 Goals in the A-League. Wellington with 46% of their games and Melbourne Victory with 41%.
- Phoenix have the best defensive record in the A-League, conceding just 26 goals in 28 games. However, their 42 goals scored ranks just tenth out of the 12 A-League teams this season.
- All four games between the two teams this season have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
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Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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