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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
by Ian John in Football Predictions
Wellington Phoenix face Melbourne Victory in a 2nd v 3rd clash in the Australian A-League on Friday morning (8am kick off, UK Time). The New Zealanders lie second in the table on goal difference, level on 46 points with top of the table Central Coast Mariners, losing top spot after their last game saw them go down to a 2-1 defeat to the team that usurped them at the top of the table. They now face the Victory having already faced them twice this season, drawing both games 1-1. With just three games left of the regular season, before the top six move into the Finals stage of the season, the race to secure one of the top two seeds is on, which is what makes this game between two of the top three so important . Wellington have won all their last four at home, losing just once this season.
Melbourne Victory come into this game with just three defeats all season, but they have drawn 11 of their games and won just 10, which is why they are third in the table, five points behind both Phoenix and the Mariners. However, Victory's recent form is good with three wins and a draw in their last four and they have scored two goals in all of those games (as well as conceding goals in each of those games too). Tony Popovic's team had lost three of their last five prior to that, which saw them caught in the table by both the Mariners and the Phoenix. They have the third best defense in the A-League this season, behind the two teams above them in the table and the fourth best attacking record. They have also lost the fewest amount of games this season, but drawn the most.
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The Best Betting Odds for Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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6 | 1.36 | 5.5 |
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3.2 | 3.4 | 2 |
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3 | 3.3 | 2.05 |
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2.75 | 3.25 | 2.1 |
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8.12 | 1.24 | 8.12 |
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8.12 | 1.24 | 8.12 |
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3.38 | 3.5 | 2.11 |
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3.38 | 3.5 | 2.11 |
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3.48 | 3.5 | 2.08 |
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3.35 | 3.55 | 2.05 |
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5.75 | 1.38 | 5.25 |
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3.2 | 2.6 | 2.8 |
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4.4 | 1.67 | 4.2 |
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3 | 3.6 | 2.25 |
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5.5 | 1.44 | 5 |
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3.15 | 2.65 | 2.7 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2024 between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.18% for a win of Wellington Phoenix against Melbourne Victory with odds of 8.12 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory is 46.9% with odds of 3.6 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 20.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix with odds of 8.12 at 1xbet.
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:
Wellington Phoenix Melbourne Victory Prediction | Probability | Odds |
---|---|---|
Draw | 46.9% | 3.6 at Betsson |
Under 2.5 | 58.25% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
Both Team To Score | 68.75% | |
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 24.08% | 6 at Bet365 |
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Form
Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory's standings in the A-League
Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2
|
53 | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 16 |
3
|
42 | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 10 |
Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
30 Mar 2024 - A-League
16 Mar 2024 - A-League
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
2 Mar 2024 - A-League
24 Feb 2024 - A-League
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2024 - A-League
16 Mar 2024 - A-League
2 Mar 2024 - A-League
9 Feb 2024 - A-League
5 Feb 2024 - A-League
19 Jan 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
24 Feb 2024 - A-League
18 Feb 2024 - A-League
2 Feb 2024 - A-League
27 Jan 2024 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
31 Mar 2024 - A-League
14 Mar 2024 - A-League
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
3 Mar 2024 - A-League
25 Feb 2024 - A-League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2024 - A-League
31 Mar 2024 - A-League
25 Feb 2024 - A-League
20 Feb 2024 - A-League
10 Feb 2024 - A-League
26 Jan 2024 - A-League
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Mar 2024 - A-League
9 Mar 2024 - A-League
3 Mar 2024 - A-League
17 Feb 2024 - A-League
3 Feb 2024 - A-League
19 Jan 2024 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
19 Jan 2024 - A-League
Wellington Phoenix against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Key Points
- In their four games against the other teams in the top three, Wellington Phoenix have drawn three and lost once.
- Melbourne Victory have drawn 11 of 24 games this season, including both previous games against the Phoenix.
- Phoenix have won all of their last four home games, though only one was against a top half team (Sydney FC).
- Victory have drawn six of their last eleven matches in the A-League, four of those games finishing 1-1.
- Between the two teams, they have been involved in 18 draws this season and they have the exact same goal difference (+12).
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Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
Limited Offer. Currently at DraftKings