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Australia - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
12 Apr 2024 03:00
Melbourne Victory

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League

 by Ian John in Football Predictions

Wellington Phoenix face Melbourne Victory in a 2nd v 3rd clash in the Australian A-League on Friday morning (8am kick off, UK Time). The New Zealanders lie second in the table on goal difference, level on 46 points with top of the table Central Coast Mariners, losing top spot after their last game saw them go down to a 2-1 defeat to the team that usurped them at the top of the table. They now face the Victory having already faced them twice this season, drawing both games 1-1. With just three games left of the regular season, before the top six move into the Finals stage of the season, the race to secure one of the top two seeds is on, which is what makes this game between two of the top three so important . Wellington have won all their last four at home, losing just once this season.

Melbourne Victory come into this game with just three defeats all season, but they have drawn 11 of their games and won just 10, which is why they are third in the table, five points behind both Phoenix and the Mariners. However, Victory's recent form is good with three wins and a draw in their last four and they have scored two goals in all of those games (as well as conceding goals in each of those games too). Tony Popovic's team had lost three of their last five prior to that, which saw them caught in the table by both the Mariners and the Phoenix. They have the third best defense in the A-League this season, behind the two teams above them in the table and the fourth best attacking record. They have also lost the fewest amount of games this season, but drawn the most. 

The Best Betting Odds for Wellington Phoenix v Melbourne Victory Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
6 1.36 5.5
Betfred
3.2 3.4 2
Ladbrokes
3 3.3 2.05
NetBet
2.75 3.25 2.1
1xbet
8.12 1.24 8.12
22bet
8.12 1.24 8.12
Betwinner
3.38 3.5 2.11
LSbet
3.38 3.5 2.11
Melbet
3.48 3.5 2.08
Tonybet
3.35 3.55 2.05
Betway
5.75 1.38 5.25
Unibet
3.2 2.6 2.8
Betfair
4.4 1.67 4.2
Betsson
3 3.6 2.25
William Hill
5.5 1.44 5
Vbet
3.15 2.65 2.7
Check all Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/04/2024 between Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory in A-League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 32.18% for a win of Wellington Phoenix against Melbourne Victory with odds of 8.12 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory is 46.9% with odds of 3.6 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 20.92% chance ⭐ for a win of Melbourne Victory vs Wellington Phoenix with odds of 8.12 at 1xbet.

Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Prediction and Best Odds:

Wellington Phoenix Melbourne Victory Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 46.9% 3.6 at Betsson
Under 2.5 58.25% 2.15 at Ladbrokes
Both Team To Score 68.75%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 24.08% 6 at Bet365

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Form

Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory's standings in the A-League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
2
Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix
53 27 15 8 4 16
3
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
42 27 10 12 5 10

Wellington Phoenix and Melbourne Victory Last Matches

Wellington Phoenix
Wellington Phoenix Last matches
D W L W W L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

30 Mar 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  0
Brisbane Roar

16 Mar 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  1
Sydney

9 Mar 2024 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

2 Mar 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
3 :  2
Adelaide United

24 Feb 2024 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  0
Wellington Phoenix
D D W W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

30 Mar 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  0
Brisbane Roar

16 Mar 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  1
Sydney

2 Mar 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
3 :  2
Adelaide United

9 Feb 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
2 :  0
Western United

5 Feb 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
0 :  0
Central Coast Mariners

19 Jan 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory
W D W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - A-League

Central Coast Mariners
2 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

9 Mar 2024 - A-League

Melbourne City
1 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

24 Feb 2024 - A-League

Perth Glory
0 :  0
Wellington Phoenix

18 Feb 2024 - A-League

Macarthur FC
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix

2 Feb 2024 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
1 :  1
Wellington Phoenix

27 Jan 2024 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  2
Wellington Phoenix
Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory Last matches
L L W D W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.17 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.5 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  1
Melbourne City

31 Mar 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  1
Perth Glory

14 Mar 2024 - A-League

Western United
2 :  2
Melbourne Victory

9 Mar 2024 - A-League

Adelaide United
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

3 Mar 2024 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
3 :  2
Melbourne Victory

25 Feb 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Central Coast Mariners
D L W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Apr 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  1
Melbourne City

31 Mar 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  1
Perth Glory

25 Feb 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Central Coast Mariners

20 Feb 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
2 :  1
Western United

10 Feb 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
0 :  1
Macarthur FC

26 Jan 2024 - A-League

Melbourne Victory
1 :  1
Sydney
D D D L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

14 Mar 2024 - A-League

Western United
2 :  2
Melbourne Victory

9 Mar 2024 - A-League

Adelaide United
1 :  2
Melbourne Victory

3 Mar 2024 - A-League

Brisbane Roar
3 :  2
Melbourne Victory

17 Feb 2024 - A-League

Melbourne City
0 :  0
Melbourne Victory

3 Feb 2024 - A-League

Newcastle United Jets
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory

19 Jan 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory

Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

19 Jan 2024 - A-League

Wellington Phoenix
1 :  1
Melbourne Victory
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Wellington Phoenix against Melbourne Victory Lineups: Starting 11

Wellington Phoenix

Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1

40
A. Paulsen
4
S. Wootton
3
F. Surman
6
T. Payne
19
S. Sutton
14
A. Rufer
17
Y. Salas
8
B. Old
11
B. Kraev
12
M. Al-Taay
7
K. Barbarouses
10
B. Fornaroli
11
B. Folami
8
Z. Machach
19
D. Arzani
22
J. Brimmer
18
F. Monge
3
A. Traore
5
D. Da Silva
21
R. Miranda
2
J. Geria
20
P. Izzo

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

Melbourne Victory

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Wellington Phoenix
CD Huachipato Melbourne Victory
Top Goalscorer
New Zeland K. Barbarouses (13 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Australia B. Fornaroli (18 Goals)
Best assists
New Zeland K. Barbarouses (5 Assists)
Best assists
Australia D. Arzani (6 Assists)

Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Key Points

  1. In their four games against the other teams in the top three, Wellington Phoenix have drawn three and lost once.
  2. Melbourne Victory have drawn 11 of 24 games this season, including both previous games against the Phoenix.
  3. Phoenix have won all of their last four home games, though only one was against a top half team (Sydney FC).
  4. Victory have drawn six of their last eleven matches in the A-League, four of those games finishing 1-1.
  5. Between the two teams, they have been involved in 18 draws this season and they have the exact same goal difference (+12).

Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

It promises to be an interesting end to the A-League first phase of the season with Central Coast and Wellington neck and neck and Melbourne Victory chasing hard going into these final couple of games. Wellington know a win is needed if they are to stand a chance of going top of the table with Central Coast Mariners in good form late. However, Melbourne Victory have proven to be the toughest team to beat in the A-League this season and both previous games between the two teams have been incredibly close. This third one is likely to be the same. Our Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory prediction therefore is for this one to finish as a draw. 

Prediction :

 

Draw

 
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Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory Prediction

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