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Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction & Betting Tips - A-League
by Thobelani Moyo in A-League Predictions
Wellington Phoenix, who are tenth in the league standings, will aim to trim down the five-point gap to the series playoffs to two when they play host to third-placed Adelaide United at Sky Stadium on matchday 13 of the A-League. Below is our prediction for the match.
Wellington Phoenix is coming off a convincing 2-0 away defeat against Melbourne City to start off the new year on the wrong footing. It might also be noted that they had no shots on target from one shot mustered at goal.
In light of that result, Giancarlo Italiano's men have lost four of their last five league games.
The Nix's home form has been a rollercoaster in the past weeks, recording two wins, two losses, and a solitary draw. Their most recent match ended in a 2-1 triumph against the Newcastle Jets.
Adelaide United, on the other hand, had the best of starts to the new year as they came from one goal down to register a mind-blogging 2-1 away victory against Macarthur FC.
This win couldn't have come at a better time for the Reds who were on a two-match winless run in the league (D1, L1) and had their confidence dented.
Away from home, they've established themselves as a juggernaut, winning five matches in a row to remain the only side in the league to maintain a 100% record this season.
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The Best Betting Odds for Wellington Phoenix v Adelaide United Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.75 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.6 | 2.62 | 2.2 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.78 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.78 | 1.88 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.8 | 1.87 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.66 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.5 | 3.66 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.6 | 1.97 |
|
|
4.04 | 3.78 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.7 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.9 | 3.6 | 1.83 |
|
|
3.96 | 3.81 | 1.87 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.75 | 1.85 |
|
|
4 | 3.8 | 1.82 |
|
|
3.6 | 3.6 | 1.85 |
|
|
3.75 | 3.75 | 1.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United?
Our prediction for the Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United match is: Over 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/01/2025 between Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United in A-League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.65% for a win of Wellington Phoenix against Adelaide United with odds of 4.04 at Melbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United is 13.27% with odds of 3.81 at Vbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 61.08% chance ⭐ for a win of Adelaide United vs Wellington Phoenix with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wellington Phoenix Adelaide United Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Adelaide United wins | 61.08% | 2.2 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.78% | 1.63 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 62.5% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Adelaide United | 23.06% | 5.6 at Unibet |
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Form
Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United's standings in the A-League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
31 | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 7 |
|
11
|
19 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | -8 |
Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2025 - A-League
27 Dec 2024 - A-League
22 Dec 2024 - A-League
13 Dec 2024 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
23 Nov 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - A-League
13 Dec 2024 - A-League
23 Nov 2024 - A-League
2 Nov 2024 - A-League
19 Oct 2024 - A-League
18 May 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Jan 2025 - A-League
22 Dec 2024 - A-League
6 Dec 2024 - A-League
10 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
6 Aug 2024 - FFA Cup
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2025 - A-League
27 Dec 2024 - A-League
20 Dec 2024 - A-League
13 Dec 2024 - A-League
7 Dec 2024 - A-League
29 Nov 2024 - A-League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Dec 2024 - A-League
20 Dec 2024 - A-League
29 Nov 2024 - A-League
9 Nov 2024 - A-League
26 Oct 2024 - A-League
12 Sep 2024 - FFA Cup
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2025 - A-League
13 Dec 2024 - A-League
7 Dec 2024 - A-League
23 Nov 2024 - A-League
2 Nov 2024 - A-League
21 Sep 2024 - FFA Cup
Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
0 %
67 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Mar 2024 - A-League
5 May 2023 - A-League
17 Mar 2023 - A-League
Players list
J. Oluwayemi
DefenderM. Sheridan
I. Hughes
S. Wootton
L. Kelly-Heald
N. Walker
L. Brooke-Smith
MidfielderP. Retre
K. Nagasawa
H. Ishige
ForwardK. Barbarouses
J. Delianov
DefenderD. Pierias
B. Vriends
P. Kikianis
J. Lopez
MidfielderR. White
Isaias
E. Alagich
ForwardJ. Yull
L. Jovanovic
Y. Dukuly
Substitutes
A. Kelly-Heald
DefenderJ. Smith
MidfielderK. Nagasawa
L. Brooke-Smith
L. Supyk
G. Sloane-Rodrigues
N. Walker
E. Cox
DefenderF. Talladira
MidfielderIsaias
J. Yull
R. White
Y. Dukuly
L. Jovanovic
Most goals and assists
Wellington Phoenix
Adelaide United
K. Barbarouses
(7 Goals)
A. Goodwin
(8 Goals)
H. Ishige
(6 Assists)
Z. Clough
(7 Assists)
Wellington Phoenix - Adelaide United Key Points
- Wellington Phoenix has seen three or more goals scored in four of their last five matches in the A-League.
- Adelaide United has seen three or more goals scored in each of their last four league matches.
- Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United have seen four or more goals scored in four of their last five encounters.
- Adelaide United averages 2.8 goals per game when playing away.
- Wellington Phoenix and Adelaide United have combined for 21 goals in their last five meetings.
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Our Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United Prediction
Adelaide United's away form has been impressive and it's without a shadow of a doubt they'll want to capitalize on this momentum to seek payback against Wellington Phoenix, a side that served them a 3-2 defeat in the previous season.
However, Wellington Phoenix won't be pushovers despite being labeled underdogs in front of their home crowd. They have avoided defeat in their last six home matches in this fixture and are currently on a two-match winning streak scoring exactly three goals in both matches. Our Wellington Phoenix v Adelaide United prediction is: Over 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wellington Phoenix Adelaide United
| Wellington Phoenix vs Adelaide United | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wellington Phoenix wins | 2.45 | 4 | +63.3% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.75 | +4.2% |
| Adelaide United wins | 2.63 | 1.83 | -30.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Adelaide United is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 30.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 38.0% and is now 54.6% (16.6%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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