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Watford vs Swansea Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship

England - Championship

Watford
12/03/2025 15:45
Swansea

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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 by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions

Watford suffered a blow to their promotion hopes when losing at home to Millwall on Saturday. They are 11th in the Championship and host Swansea City who are four places below them in the table. Can the Hornets get back into winning ways? Here's our match prediction.

Six points separate Watford from the final promotion play-off position. They led Millwall at the weekend but ended up losing 2-1. That made it just one point from their last two league fixtures but their next three games are all against sides below them in the table.

The Hornets have won ten home league games this season but six of the last seven have been lost. Seven of the last nine home league fixtures have seen over 2.5 goals scored in the match.

Swansea City are 11 points behind sixth place so promotion this season is looking very unlikely. They did win their last match though with a 1-0  home victory over Middlesbrough. Away form has not been helping their bid to return to the Premier League with ten matches lost this season.

Only one of their last seven away league games has been won and five of the last eight have seen over 2.5 goals scored.

We go for that statistic to come up in this match.

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The Best Betting Odds for Watford v Swansea Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
2.35 3.2 3
Betfred
2.38 3.1 3.2
Ladbrokes
2.6 2.37 3.25
1xbet
2.44 3.33 3.12
22bet
2.44 3.33 3.12
Check all Watford vs Swansea odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Swansea?

Our prediction for the Watford vs Swansea match is: over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 12/03/2025 between Watford and Swansea in Championship :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.59% for a win of Watford against Swansea with odds of 2.6 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Swansea is 16.25% with odds of 3.44 at Melbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 47.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Swansea vs Watford with odds of 3.25 at Ladbrokes.

Watford - Swansea Prediction and Best Odds:

Watford Swansea Prediction Probability Odds
Swansea wins 47.16% 3.25 at Ladbrokes
Over 2.5 goals 58.99% 2.3 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 40.83%
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Swansea 19.35% 7 at Betfair

Watford vs Swansea Form

Watford and Swansea's standings in the Championship

Teams Pts P W D L GD
11
Swansea
Swansea
60 44 17 9 18 -4
12
Watford
Watford
56 44 16 8 20 -7

Watford and Swansea Last Matches

Watford
Watford Last matches
D L W W D L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Millwall

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Watford

23 Feb 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  0
Luton Town

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Watford

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  4
Leeds

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  2
Watford
L L L L W L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Millwall

23 Feb 2025 - Championship

Watford
2 :  0
Luton Town

11 Feb 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  4
Leeds

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Watford
0 :  1
Norwich

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Preston North End

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Watford
1 :  2
Sheffield United
D W L D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

1 Mar 2025 - Championship

Stoke
0 :  0
Watford

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Middlesbrough
0 :  1
Watford

8 Feb 2025 - Championship

Sunderland
2 :  2
Watford

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Coventry City
2 :  1
Watford

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Derby County
0 :  2
Watford

14 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
1 :  1
Watford
Swansea
Swansea Last matches
W L L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.67 Total goals
17% BTTS
1 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

4 Mar 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  0
Swansea

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  0
Blackburn

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Swansea

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

9 Feb 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Swansea
D L L L W W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

8 Mar 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Middlesbrough

22 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
3 :  0
Blackburn

12 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  1
Sheffield Wednesday

1 Feb 2025 - Championship

Swansea
0 :  2
Coventry City

21 Jan 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  2
Sheffield United

4 Jan 2025 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  1
West Brom
L L L W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
2.33 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

4 Mar 2025 - Championship

Preston North End
0 :  0
Swansea

15 Feb 2025 - Championship

Stoke
3 :  1
Swansea

9 Feb 2025 - Championship

Bristol City
0 :  1
Swansea

25 Jan 2025 - Championship

Norwich
5 :  1
Swansea

18 Jan 2025 - Championship

Cardiff
3 :  0
Swansea

12 Jan 2025 - FA Cup

Southampton
3 :  0
Swansea

Watford vs Swansea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Watford

17 %

Draw

17 %

Swansea

67 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.67
Total goals
67%
BTTS
0.83
Goals scored (Team 1)
1.83
Goals scored (Team 2)
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Under 2.5

5 Nov 2024 - Championship

Swansea
1 :  0
Watford

6 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  1
Swansea

30 Dec 2022 - Championship

Swansea
4 :  0
Watford

2 Jan 2021 - Championship

Swansea
2 :  1
Watford

30 Dec 2017 - Premier League

Watford
1 :  2
Swansea

23 Sep 2017 - Premier League

Swansea
1 :  2
Watford
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Players list

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

E. Selvik

Defender

C. Wiley

J. Abankwah

M. Pollock

J. Ngakia

Midfielder

V. Bayo

I. Louza

M. Sissoko

F. Sierralta

R. Vata

E. Kayembe

Swansea
Swansea
Goalkeeper

L. Vigouroux

Defender

J. Key

B. Cabango

H. Delcroix

J. Tymon

Midfielder

J. Fulton

L. O'Brien

R. Pereira Martins

J. Ginnelly

Forward

O. Cooper

F. Bianchini

Substitutes

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

J. Bond

Defender

J. Ngakia

Y. Larouci

F. Sierralta

T. Ince

C. Wiley

R. Andrews

Midfielder

L. Ramirez-Espain

R. Vata

G. Chakvetadze

Forward

J. Morris

Z. Massiah-Edwards

V. Bayo

T. Dele-Bashiru

Swansea
Swansea
Goalkeeper

J. Mclaughlin

Defender

S. Parker

C. Christie

K. Naughton

Midfielder

J. Fulton

G. Franco

F. Bianchini

Z. Vipotnik

O. Cooper

L. Cullen

J. Allen

Forward

J. Ginnelly

E. Ji-sung

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Watford
CD Huachipato Swansea
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast V. Bayo (10 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Wales L. Cullen (11 Goals)
Best assists
Georgia G. Chakvetadze (7 Assists)
Best assists
Brazil R. Pereira Martins (5 Assists)

Watford - Swansea Key Points

  1. Seven of the last nine Watford home league matches have seen over 2.5 goals scored.
  2. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in five of Swansea's last eight away league matches.
  3. Three of the last five Watford home games against Swansea have seen over 2.5 goals in the match.
  4. Over 2.5 goals have been scored in five of Watford's last nine matches.
Up to $200 to bet on Watford - Swansea! 

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Our Watford vs Swansea Prediction

It's been a strange season for Watford, especially at Vicarage Road. Nine of their first 11 home league fixtures were won but they've lost six of the seven that have followed, including one to Millwall at the weekend. 

Can Swansea City take advantage though? They struggle on the road with ten league defeats and one win in the last seven. Their away games do regularly see at least three goals scored. Our Watford v Swansea City prediction is over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5

 
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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Watford Swansea

Watford vs Swansea Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Watford wins 2.35 2.35 0%
Draw 3.4 3.2 -5.9%
Swansea wins 3 3 0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Swansea is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
  • The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 33.3% (0.0%)

Use £/€50 free bets for the Watford vs. Swansea game!

bet365 welcome offer

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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Watford vs Swansea Prediction
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