England - FA Cup
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Watford vs Southampton Prediction & Betting Tips - FA Cup
by Ian John in FA Cup Predictions
Sunday's FA Cup tie between Watford and Southampton features two sides with genuine ambitions to get back to the Premier League from the Championship this season. 18 points separate Southampton in third to Watford in ninth, but the Hornets are just three points outside the playoff places in what is looking likely to be a very closely fought battle for playoff spots over the remainder of the season.
After a 4-1 home loss to Bristol City on Boxing Day, Watford have gone unbeaten in their next five games, including a 2-1 win over Chesterfield in the FA Cup Third Round early in January. That hard-fought win, courtesy of Tom Dele-Bashiru's 95th minute winning goal, sees them handed a chance to face Southampton. Valerien Ismael's team have the 14th best home record in the Championship and their win over Chesterfield was their first win in the FA Cup since losing the 2018/19 final 6-0 to Manchester City. They also faced Southampton in the fourth round of the competition in 2017/18 and were beaten 1-0 on that occasion.
Southampton's four defeats in the Championship this season came in back-to-back games against Sunderland, Leicester, Ipswich and Middlesbrough in September. But since the 30th of that month, the Saints have been unbeaten. They comfortably despatched Walsall 4-0 in the Third Round of the FA Cup at the start of January and they have scored 11 goals in their last three games in all competitions, conceding just the one (which came in last weekend's 3-1 win at Swansea City). The Saints also have the third best away record in the division, and are unbeaten in their last 10 away games, including earning a 1-1 draw against today's opponents back in December.
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The Best Betting Odds for Watford v Southampton Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 3.8 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.55 | 2.27 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.79 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.86 | 3.79 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.42 | 3.76 | 2.02 |
|
|
3.42 | 3.76 | 2.02 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.4 | 2.27 |
|
|
3 | 3.82 | 2.16 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.75 | 2.38 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.5 | 2.3 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.65 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.75 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.8 | 3.6 | 2.35 |
|
|
2.95 | 3.68 | 2.35 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Southampton?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/01/2024 between Watford and Southampton in FA Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 19.29% for a win of Watford against Southampton with odds of 3.42 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Southampton is 40.25% with odds of 3.82 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.46% chance ⭐ for a win of Southampton vs Watford with odds of 2.38 at Bet365.
Watford - Southampton Prediction and Best Odds:
| Watford Southampton Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Southampton wins | 40.46% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 54.06% | 2.33 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 87.08% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Southampton | 20.21% | 30 at Unibet |
Watford vs Southampton Form
Watford and Southampton Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
14 Jan 2024 - Championship
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2024 - Championship
29 Dec 2023 - Championship
26 Dec 2023 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2023 - Championship
26 Dec 2023 - Championship
12 Dec 2023 - Championship
9 Dec 2023 - Championship
28 Nov 2023 - Championship
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
14 Jan 2024 - Championship
1 Jan 2024 - Championship
23 Dec 2023 - Championship
16 Dec 2023 - Championship
2 Dec 2023 - Championship
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
13 Jan 2024 - Championship
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
1 Jan 2024 - Championship
29 Dec 2023 - Championship
26 Dec 2023 - Championship
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
13 Jan 2024 - Championship
6 Jan 2024 - FA Cup
29 Dec 2023 - Championship
26 Dec 2023 - Championship
16 Dec 2023 - Championship
2 Dec 2023 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Jan 2024 - Championship
1 Jan 2024 - Championship
23 Dec 2023 - Championship
13 Dec 2023 - Championship
9 Dec 2023 - Championship
25 Nov 2023 - Championship
Watford vs Southampton Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
9 Dec 2023 - Championship
13 Mar 2022 - Premier League
30 Oct 2021 - Premier League
28 Jun 2020 - Premier League
30 Nov 2019 - Premier League
23 Apr 2019 - Premier League
Players list
D. Bachmann
DefenderJ. Morris
R. Andrews
F. Sierralta
M. Pollock
W. Hoedt
MidfielderT. Ince
R. Porteous
ForwardV. Bayo
K. Sema
E. Dennis
J. Lumley
DefenderJ. Stephens
T. Harwood-Bellis
S. Amo-Ameyaw
M. Holgate
MidfielderC. Alcaraz
W. Smallbone
S. Armstrong
ForwardS. Mara
R. Fraser
A. Armstrong
Substitutes
M. Roberts
DefenderR. Porteous
J. Livermore
T. Ince
J. Grieves
ForwardK. Sema
E. Dennis
M. Rajovic
J. Morris
A. McCarthy
DefenderK. Walker-Peters
J. Bednarek
MidfielderS. Armstrong
R. Manning
W. Smallbone
S. Amo-Ameyaw
A. Armstrong
R. Fraser
Most goals and assists
Watford
Southampton
M. Rajovic
(10 Goals)
A. Armstrong
(24 Goals)
Y. Asprilla
(5 Assists)
A. Armstrong
(12 Assists)
Watford - Southampton Key Points
- Southampton are unbeaten in their last 10 away games, winning five and drawing five
- Watford have won just one of their last five home games in all competitions.
- The Saints have progressed at Watford's expense on four the previous five occasions they have met in the FA Cup, including the two most recent - A 2-1 win in the 2003 FA Cup Semi Final and a 1-0 win in a 2018 FA Cup Fourth Round tie.
- Watford have won just two of the last 17 games against Southampton. The Saints winning 8 and seven matches have finished as a draw.
- Watford have not beaten Southampton at home in nine games (5 draws, 4 defeats). The Hornets last home victory came on 16th September 2007 (a 3-2 win in the Championship).
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Our Watford vs Southampton Prediction
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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