Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup
by Kennedy Kechula in Carabao Cup Predictions
Tom Cleverley will lead Watford at home for the first time this season when they take on MK Dons in the League Cup. The Hornets are favorites to see off the League Two side and here’s our preview and prediction of the first round match.
In their season-opener, Watford almost let go of three points after losing a 2-0 lead away to Millwall. Mileta Rajovic would, however, pop up with a stoppage time goal to help Watford to a 3-2 win. This was the perfect start for Cleverley’s charges after a poor run last season.
They had ended 2023/24 with only a win in the final eight matches. Two seasons ago, these two sides faced off in the second round of this competition and MK Dons won 2-0. Watford have the perfect chance to avenge the defeat at the same venue it was served.
As they seek a second win against Watford in as many meetings, MK Dons will also hope to rise from their Saturday loss. The visitors conceded two early goals and went on to suffer a 2-1 loss at home to Bradford City.
That result didn’t only represent their fourth winless outing, they’ve also conceded two or more goals in each of their last six matches. While this form points to weakness in defence, Watford failed to score just once in nine outings.
In those nine games, they scored two or more goals five times. A combination of these aspects has led to MK Dons’ recent games predominantly returning over 2.5 goals. Three or more goals have been scored in nine of their last 10 matches with the Dons keeping only two clean sheets.
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The Best Betting Odds for Watford v Milton Keynes Dons Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1 | 51 | 201 |
|
|
1.85 | 2.8 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.02 | 17.8 | 63 |
|
|
1.02 | 17.8 | 63 |
|
|
1.42 | 4.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.28 | 5.15 |
|
|
1.01 | 23 | 100 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.28 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.3 | 5.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Milton Keynes Dons?
Our prediction for the Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/08/2024 between Watford and Milton Keynes Dons in Carabao Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.89% for a win of Watford against Milton Keynes Dons with odds of 1.85 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons is 34.68% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Milton Keynes Dons vs Watford with odds of 201 at Bet365.
Watford - Milton Keynes Dons Prediction and Best Odds:
| Watford Milton Keynes Dons Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 34.68% | 51 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 50.68% | 3.2 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.62% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 19.55% | 7.5 at Bet365 |
Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons Form
Watford and Milton Keynes Dons Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - League Two
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
Players list
J. Bond
DefenderF. Sierralta
M. Pollock
R. Andrews
MidfielderT. Ince
T. Dele-Bashiru
R. Vata
I. Louza
ForwardK. Sema
J. Morris
M. Rajovic
N. Harness
DefenderD. Lewington
J. Tomlinson
S. Sherring
MidfielderT. Carroll
J. Williams
J. Pritchard
T. Leigh
ForwardC. Hendry
E. Harrison
C. Tripp
Substitutes
A. Marriott
DefenderY. Larouci
A. Tikvic
R. Porteous
MidfielderL. Ramirez-Espain
E. Kayembe
ForwardM. Doumbia
K. Baah
V. Bayo
T. McGill
DefenderP. Scholtz
J. Tucker
MidfielderS. Wearne
D. Singh Hurditt
L. Kelly
L. Offord
A. Gilbey
ForwardA. Nemane
Watford - Milton Keynes Dons Key Points
- 24 goals were scored in MK Dons’ last five away matches.
- Watford’s last five matches averaged three goals a game.
- Nine of MK Dons’ last 10 matches produced over 2.5 goals.
- Three of Watford’s last five home games in the League Cup had over 2.5 goals.
- MK Dons scored three or more goals in four of their last nine matches.
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Our Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction
One standout stat seen in these teams’ recent competitive matches has to be their defensive weaknesses. They rarely keep clean sheets. We have to also point out that both teams have had commendable consistency when it comes to attack.
The result is that their matches are almost certain to produce high scores, seeing at least three goals per game. Our prediction for the Watford v MK Dons clash is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Watford Milton Keynes Dons
| Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford wins | 1.5 | 1 | -33.3% |
| Draw | 4.33 | 51 | +1,077.8% |
| Milton Keynes Dons wins | 6 | 201 | +3,250.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1,077.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 23.1% and is now 2.0% (-21.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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