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England - Carabao Cup

Watford
13 Aug 2024 14:45
Milton Keynes Dons

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction & Betting Tips - Carabao Cup

 by Kennedy Kechula in Carabao Cup Predictions

Tom Cleverley will lead Watford at home for the first time this season when they take on MK Dons in the League Cup. The Hornets are favorites to see off the League Two side and here’s our preview and prediction of the first round match.

In their season-opener, Watford almost let go of three points after losing a 2-0 lead away to Millwall. Mileta Rajovic would, however, pop up with a stoppage time goal to help Watford to a 3-2 win. This was the perfect start for Cleverley’s charges after a poor run last season.

They had ended 2023/24 with only a win in the final eight matches. Two seasons ago, these two sides faced off in the second round of this competition and MK Dons won 2-0. Watford have the perfect chance to avenge the defeat at the same venue it was served.

As they seek a second win against Watford in as many meetings, MK Dons will also hope to rise from their Saturday loss. The visitors conceded two early goals and went on to suffer a 2-1 loss at home to Bradford City.

That result didn’t only represent their fourth winless outing, they’ve also conceded two or more goals in each of their last six matches. While this form points to weakness in defence, Watford failed to score just once in nine outings.

In those nine games, they scored two or more goals five times. A combination of these aspects has led to MK Dons’ recent games predominantly returning over 2.5 goals. Three or more goals have been scored in nine of their last 10 matches with the Dons keeping only two clean sheets.

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The Best Betting Odds for Watford v Milton Keynes Dons Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1 51 201
Ladbrokes
1.85 2.8 4.5
1xbet
1.02 17.8 63
22bet
1.02 17.8 63
Betobet
1.42 4.8 6.5
Betwinner
1.6 4.28 5.15
Stake
1.01 23 100
Melbet
1.61 4.28 5.05
Tonybet
1.58 4.3 5.2
Check all Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Milton Keynes Dons?

Our prediction for the Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons match is: Over 2.5 goals.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 13/08/2024 between Watford and Milton Keynes Dons in Carabao Cup :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.89% for a win of Watford against Milton Keynes Dons with odds of 1.85 at Ladbrokes.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons is 34.68% with odds of 51 at Bet365.
  • Our prediction model gives a 33.43% chance ⭐ for a win of Milton Keynes Dons vs Watford with odds of 201 at Bet365.

Watford - Milton Keynes Dons Prediction and Best Odds:

Watford Milton Keynes Dons Prediction Probability Odds
Draw 34.68% 51 at Bet365
Under 2.5 50.68% 3.2 at Tonybet
Both Team To Score 47.62%
Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw 19.55% 7.5 at Bet365

Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons Form

Watford and Milton Keynes Dons Last Matches

Watford
Watford Last matches
D L W L D W
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
2 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  3
Watford

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
1 :  1
Brentford

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Wycombe Wanderers
3 :  2
Watford

24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Hibernian
2 :  3
Watford

20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Gillingham
2 :  0
Watford

13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Stevenage
2 :  2
Watford
D D D W L D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
1 :  1
Brentford

6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Watford
0 :  2
Reading

27 Apr 2024 - Championship

Watford
1 :  0
Sunderland

20 Apr 2024 - Championship

Watford
0 :  0
Hull

6 Apr 2024 - Championship

Watford
0 :  0
Preston North End

29 Mar 2024 - Championship

Watford
2 :  2
Leeds
W D L W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.67 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2024 - Championship

Millwall
2 :  3
Watford

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Wycombe Wanderers
3 :  2
Watford

24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Hibernian
2 :  3
Watford

20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Gillingham
2 :  0
Watford

13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Stevenage
2 :  2
Watford

10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Boreham Wood FC
0 :  1
Watford
Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons Last matches
L W W D L L
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2024 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  2
Bradford City

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
0 :  1
Plymouth

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  1
Portsmouth

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Wealdstone
1 :  3
Milton Keynes Dons

24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelmsford City
0 :  1
Milton Keynes Dons

12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  2
Barnet
D L L D L L
Victories

0/6 (0%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

4/6 (67%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
2.5 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

10 Aug 2024 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  2
Bradford City

3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
0 :  1
Plymouth

30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  1
Portsmouth

12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  2
Barnet

11 May 2024 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
1 :  5
Crawley Town

27 Apr 2024 - League Two

Milton Keynes Dons
4 :  4
Sutton United
D W W L W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

4 Total goals
50% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Wealdstone
1 :  3
Milton Keynes Dons

24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies

Chelmsford City
0 :  1
Milton Keynes Dons

7 May 2024 - League Two

Crawley Town
3 :  0
Milton Keynes Dons

20 Apr 2024 - League Two

Harrogate Town
3 :  5
Milton Keynes Dons

6 Apr 2024 - League Two

Forest Green Rovers
0 :  2
Milton Keynes Dons

1 Apr 2024 - League Two

Notts County
3 :  3
Milton Keynes Dons
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Players list

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

J. Bond

Defender

R. Andrews

F. Sierralta

M. Pollock

Midfielder

T. Dele-Bashiru

R. Vata

I. Louza

T. Ince

Forward

J. Morris

M. Rajovic

K. Sema

Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
Goalkeeper

N. Harness

Defender

D. Lewington

J. Tomlinson

S. Sherring

Midfielder

T. Carroll

J. Williams

J. Pritchard

T. Leigh

Forward

C. Tripp

E. Harrison

C. Hendry

Substitutes

Watford
Watford
Goalkeeper

A. Marriott

Defender

R. Porteous

Y. Larouci

A. Tikvic

Midfielder

L. Ramirez-Espain

E. Kayembe

Forward

M. Doumbia

K. Baah

V. Bayo

Milton Keynes Dons
Milton Keynes Dons
Goalkeeper

T. McGill

Defender

J. Tucker

P. Scholtz

Midfielder

L. Kelly

L. Offord

A. Gilbey

D. Singh Hurditt

S. Wearne

Forward

A. Nemane

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Watford
CD Huachipato Milton Keynes Dons
Top Goalscorer
Ivory Coast V. Bayo (5 Goals)
Congo E. Kayembe (5 Goals)
England T. Ince (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
England A. Gilbey (5 Goals)
Best assists
Georgia G. Chakvetadze (4 Assists)
Best assists

Watford - Milton Keynes Dons Key Points

  1. 24 goals were scored in MK Dons’ last five away matches.
  2. Watford’s last five matches averaged three goals a game.
  3. Nine of MK Dons’ last 10 matches produced over 2.5 goals.
  4. Three of Watford’s last five home games in the League Cup had over 2.5 goals.
  5. MK Dons scored three or more goals in four of their last nine matches.
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Our Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction

One standout stat seen in these teams’ recent competitive matches has to be their defensive weaknesses. They rarely keep clean sheets. We have to also point out that both teams have had commendable consistency when it comes to attack.

The result is that their matches are almost certain to produce high scores, seeing at least three goals per game. Our prediction for the Watford v MK Dons clash is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.

Prediction :

Over 2.5

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Watford Milton Keynes Dons

Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Watford wins 1.5 1 -33.3%
Draw 4.33 51 +1,077.8%
Milton Keynes Dons wins 6 201 +3,250.0%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • A draw is the most likely outcome
  • The odds for this bet have increased by 1,077.8% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 23.1% and is now 2.0% (-21.1%)

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Watford vs Milton Keynes Dons Prediction
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