England - Championship
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by Steve Ashfield in Championship Predictions
Watford are tenth in the Championship but still in with a good chance of reaching the promotion play-offs. The Hornets are only four points behind the final promotion play-off position and this weekend host 12th placed Millwall. Read our match prediction.
Last weekend saw Watford draw 0-0 at Stoke City and that extended their unbeaten run in the Championship to three matches. Seven points have been earned from those matches and no goals conceded.
Their last home league game saw them defeat local rivals Luton Town 2-0. That was a welcome win at Vicarage Road as they'd lost their previous four home league fixtures. They have won ten home league fixtures this season.
Milwall have lost their last two matches. After being knocked out of the FA Cup, the Lions were beaten 2-0 at home by Bristol City on Tuesday. That has left them seven points behind the final promotion place and with an inferior goal difference.
The Londoners have only lost one of their last seven away league games, a 5-1 loss at Plymouth. Their most recent away league game produced a 1-0 win at Derby. FIve of their last seven away league games have seen under 2.5 goals scored.
We go for under 2.5 goals in this match.
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The Best Betting Odds for Watford v Millwall Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.2 | 3.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.1 | 3.6 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.15 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.21 | 3.2 | 3.76 |
|
|
2.21 | 3.2 | 3.76 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Millwall?
Our prediction for the Watford vs Millwall match is: under 2.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 08/03/2025 between Watford and Millwall in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 30.53% for a win of Watford against Millwall with odds of 2.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Millwall is 18.41% with odds of 3.2 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 51.06% chance ⭐ for a win of Millwall vs Watford with odds of 3.8 at Ladbrokes.
Watford - Millwall Prediction and Best Odds:
| Watford Millwall Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Millwall wins | 51.06% | 3.8 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 56.47% | 1.91 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 46.25% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Millwall/Millwall | 22.92% | 6 at Bet365 |
Watford vs Millwall Form
Watford and Millwall's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
9
|
53 | 39 | 15 | 8 | 16 | -4 |
|
13
|
51 | 39 | 13 | 12 | 14 | -3 |
Watford and Millwall Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
23 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Feb 2025 - Championship
11 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
4 Jan 2025 - Championship
29 Dec 2024 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - Championship
25 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
14 Jan 2025 - Championship
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
18 Feb 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
4 Mar 2025 - Championship
15 Feb 2025 - Championship
1 Feb 2025 - Championship
21 Jan 2025 - Championship
18 Jan 2025 - Championship
13 Jan 2025 - FA Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Mar 2025 - FA Cup
22 Feb 2025 - Championship
18 Feb 2025 - Championship
12 Feb 2025 - Championship
8 Feb 2025 - FA Cup
28 Jan 2025 - Championship
Watford vs Millwall Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
40 %
20 %
40 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
2 Mar 2024 - Championship
26 Dec 2022 - Championship
24 Apr 2021 - Championship
26 Jan 2021 - Championship
Watford against Millwall Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Watford
Millwall
V. Bayo
(10 Goals)
M. Ivanovic
(6 Goals)
G. Chakvetadze
(7 Assists)
F. Azeez
(5 Assists)
Watford - Millwall Key Points
- 26 of Millwall's 35 league games this season have had under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Under 2.5 goals have been scored in all but four of Millwall's 17 away league fixtures this season.
- The last three Watford games have all seen under 2.5 goals scored in them.
- Watford haven't conceded a goal in their last three league fixtures.
- Millwall have only scored more than one goal in an away league game once in their last 15 matches.
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Our Watford vs Millwall Prediction
Watford have breathed some life back into their promotion challenge. A run of home league defeats (two against Sheffield United and Leeds United) had seen them drop down the table but they have tightened up at the back with three successive clean sheets.
Millwall really need something from this game if they want to remain in the chase for a play-off spot. They have only scored 34 league goals this season but only conceded 36. Our Watford v Millwall prediction is under 2.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Watford Millwall
| Watford vs Millwall | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford wins | 2.3 | 2.2 | -4.3% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 3.2 | -3.0% |
| Millwall wins | 3.1 | 3.5 | +12.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Millwall is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.9% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 28.6% (-3.7%)
Get up to £30 to bet on the Watford vs. Millwall game
You can get yourself up to €150 in matched bets for the battle between Watford and Millwall when you join Betway. To get the free bet, your first accumulator bet needs to be a losing one. If your first bet wins, then you won't get the free bet, but you'll have your winnings for further fun on Championship!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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