England - Championship
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Watford vs Derby County Prediction & Betting Tips - Championship
by Sridhar in Championship Predictions
Watford will look to extend their winning start to the Championship campaign when they host Derby this weekend. This match number three of the 2024–25 campaign will be played at Vicarage Road on Saturday, with our prediction favoring the home team.
Not many gave Watford a chance to survive this season, but they surprised with their unbeaten start to this campaign. A 3-2 win over Millwall was followed by an even more comprehensive 3-0 win over Stoke City to give them two wins out of two. The Hornets also won 5-0 against Milton Keynes Dons in the EFL Cup first round in between, making it 11 goals and three wins out of three at the start of the season.
Watford have been a tough team to breach at this venue, as they haven’t conceded a goal in four consecutive league matches at Vicarage Road. Looking to breach that sequence would be Derby County, who have won and lost one game each in the Championship this season. A 4-2 loss to Blackburn Rovers started their season, but they bounced back with a 2-1 win over Chesterfield in the EFL Cup first round.
The Rams followed that up with a 1-0 win over Middlesbrough in the second round of the league to stay in the mid-table. This is a welcome start to the life back in second tier for Derby, after a two-year stay in the third tier of English football.
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The Best Betting Odds for Watford v Derby County Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.03 | 15 | 401 |
|
|
2.2 | 2.45 | 3.8 |
|
|
1.04 | 13 | 251 |
|
|
1.04 | 13 | 251 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 3.9 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.62 | 3.76 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.62 | 3.76 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.55 | 4 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.72 | 3.96 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.45 | 3.85 |
|
|
1.05 | 10 | 187 |
|
|
1.03 | 11 | 81 |
|
|
1.02 | 19 | 451 |
|
|
1.05 | 10.5 | 176 |
|
|
1.96 | 3.69 | 3.69 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.4 | 4.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Watford and Derby County?
Our prediction for the Watford vs Derby County match is: Watford to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 24/08/2024 between Watford and Derby County in Championship :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 53.1% for a win of Watford against Derby County with odds of 2.2 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Watford vs Derby County is 17.32% with odds of 19 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 29.58% chance ⭐ for a win of Derby County vs Watford with odds of 451 at Unibet.
Watford - Derby County Prediction and Best Odds:
| Watford Derby County Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Watford wins | 53.1% | 2.2 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.16% | 2 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 40.48% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Watford | 27.49% | 5 at Betsson |
Watford vs Derby County Form
Watford and Derby County's standings in the Championship
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6
|
25 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 1 |
|
12
|
19 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 |
Watford and Derby County Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - Championship
20 Apr 2024 - Championship
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Championship
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
10 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6/6 (100%)
0/6 (0%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - Championship
13 Aug 2024 - Carabao Cup
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Apr 2024 - League One
13 Apr 2024 - League One
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Championship
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Apr 2024 - League One
Watford against Derby County Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Most goals and assists
Watford
Derby County
V. Bayo
(6 Goals)
J. Yates
(3 Goals)
,
K. Jackson
(3 Goals)
G. Chakvetadze
(4 Assists)
N. Mendez Laing
(2 Assists)
,
K. Jackson
(2 Assists)
,
J. Yates
(2 Assists)
Watford - Derby County Key Points
- Watford won all three matches they played this season, scoring 11 goals
- In the Championship, Watford have won three of their last four matches
- Watford won their last two matches against Derby, both coming in the 2020-21 campaign
- Derby lost five of their last eight matches
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Our Watford vs Derby County Prediction
Watford surprised many analysts and their own fans with their start to this Championship campaign. Two comprehensive wins in the Championship and a win in the EFL Cup gives the Hornets confidence in continuing their winning streak. Derby have had mixed results so far, with their defeat by Blackburn on the opening day a sharp contrast to their win against Middlesbrough in the second round. This match could go the home team’s way, though, and our prediction for Watford vs Derby County is a win for Watford.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Watford Derby County
| Watford vs Derby County | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford wins | 1.91 | 1.03 | -46.1% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 15 | +341.2% |
| Derby County wins | 4 | 401 | +9,925.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Watford is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 46.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 52.4% and is now 97.1% (44.7%)
2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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