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Europe - UEFA Nations League

Wales
14 Oct 2024 14:45
Montenegro

Prediction :

 

Wales wins the match

 
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Wales vs Montenegro Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League

 by Kennedy Kechula in UEFA Nations League Predictions

Montenegro will not be carrying fond memories of the UK when they head to Wales for their next UEFA Nations League match. Heading into Match Day 4 on Monday, The Brave Falcons are bottom of Group B4, two places behind their hosts, The Dragons. In this preview we will have a look at the match-defining stats and offer a prediction.

Wales let slip a comfortable lead in a calamitous second half against Iceland on Friday to end up drawing. With that they missed the chance to go to this match topping the group. Now they have just a win in their last six matches and are still some way before securing a direct promotion slot.

Montenegro, on their part, are doing much worse. It is almost a year now since they last won a competitive match. They are coming from a 1-0 loss away to group leaders Turkey, leaving them without a win in five matches. The visitors will be prime candidates for automatic relegation if they lose here.

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The Best Betting Odds for Wales v Montenegro Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.55 4.1 6
Ladbrokes
1.55 3.75 6
1xbet
1.65 4.08 6.12
22bet
1.65 4.08 6.12
Betobet
1.57 3.9 5.75
Betwinner
1.51 4.16 6.6
LSbet
1.51 4.16 6.6
Stake
1.58 3.85 6
Melbet
1.58 3.96 5.95
Tonybet
1.6 4.1 5.8
Betway
1.62 3.8 5.25
Unibet
1.54 4.1 6.25
Betfair
1.5 3.7 5.5
Betsson
1.58 4.2 6
Vbet
1.59 4.1 6.2
Check all Wales vs Montenegro odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wales and Montenegro?

Our prediction for the Wales vs Montenegro match is: Wales to win.

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2024 between Wales and Montenegro in UEFA Nations League :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.29% for a win of Wales against Montenegro with odds of 1.65 at 1xbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wales vs Montenegro is 21.38% with odds of 4.2 at Betsson.
  • Our prediction model gives a 11.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Montenegro vs Wales with odds of 6.6 at Betwinner.

Wales - Montenegro Prediction and Best Odds:

Wales Montenegro Prediction Probability Odds
Wales wins 67.29% 1.65 at 1xbet
Over 2.5 goals 53.09% 2.13 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 52.08% 2.15 at Ladbrokes
Half-time / Full-time : Wales/Wales 33.88% 2.45 at Ladbrokes

Wales vs Montenegro Form

Wales and Montenegro's standings in the UEFA Nations League

Teams Pts P W D L GD
1
Wales
Wales
12 6 3 3 0 5
4
Montenegro
Montenegro
3 6 1 0 5 -5

Wales and Montenegro Last Matches

Wales
Wales Last matches
D D L D W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.83 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
2 :  2
Wales

9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Montenegro
1 :  2
Wales

6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
0 :  0
Turkey

9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
4 :  0
Wales

6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
0 :  0
Wales

26 Mar 2024 - Euro

Wales
0 :  0
Poland
W W D W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.83 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
0 :  0
Turkey

26 Mar 2024 - Euro

Wales
0 :  0
Poland

21 Mar 2024 - Euro

Wales
4 :  1
Finland

21 Nov 2023 - Euro

Wales
1 :  1
Turkey

15 Oct 2023 - Euro

Wales
2 :  1
Croatia

11 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

Wales
4 :  0
Gibraltar
W D D L W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
2 :  2
Wales

9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Montenegro
1 :  2
Wales

9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Slovakia
4 :  0
Wales

6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Gibraltar
0 :  0
Wales

18 Nov 2023 - Euro

Armenia
1 :  1
Wales

11 Sep 2023 - Euro

Latvia
0 :  2
Wales
Montenegro
Montenegro Last matches
W L L L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.5 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Turkey
1 :  0
Montenegro

9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Montenegro
1 :  2
Wales

6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
2 :  0
Montenegro

9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Montenegro
1 :  3
Georgia

5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Belgium
2 :  0
Montenegro

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Montenegro
1 :  0
North Macedonia
W W W W L L
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.17 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Montenegro
1 :  2
Wales

9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Montenegro
1 :  3
Georgia

25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Montenegro
1 :  0
North Macedonia

16 Nov 2023 - Euro

Montenegro
2 :  0
Lithuania

10 Sep 2023 - Euro

Montenegro
2 :  1
Bulgaria

17 Jun 2023 - Euro

Montenegro
0 :  0
Hungary
L L W L L L
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

5/6 (83%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.67 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Turkey
1 :  0
Montenegro

6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Iceland
2 :  0
Montenegro

5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

Belgium
2 :  0
Montenegro

21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies

Belarus
0 :  2
Montenegro

19 Nov 2023 - Euro

Hungary
3 :  1
Montenegro

17 Oct 2023 - Euro

Serbia
3 :  1
Montenegro

Wales vs Montenegro Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League

Montenegro
1 :  2
Wales
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Wales - Montenegro: Form Analysis

Wales will be disappointed by their 2-2 draw away to Iceland. It took three minutes of capitulation for Wales to lose their 2-0 first half lead.

Though unbeaten in three matches in charge, Craig Bellamy will not look at that result with much amusement. They are now on five points, two behind leaders Turkey.

In their last six matches now, Wales have managed just one win. That was in the reverse fixture in Montenegro, where they won 2-1. There is some hope for the home fans though, with Wales having scored four times in the last two matches.

In their last outing, Brennan Johnson scored to extend his impressive form while Harry Wilson netted in the second straight international game.

Both these nations are coming from winless outings and will be looking to bounce back.

It is a gloomy period at Montenegro, who have suffered consecutive losses in two matches against Wales. It doesn’t help that they are coming from a fifth straight loss after falling 1-0 to Turkey on Friday.

They failed to score in three of their last five matches. Three defeats in this group have them as one of the two teams yet to pick a point in League B.

The visitors are enduring their worst period since joining UEFA in 2007. They’ve also lost seven of their last 10 away matches.

Robert Prosinečki’s men return to the UK, where they lost 7-0 to England in their last visit – their heaviest defeat yet.

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Wales against Montenegro Lineups: Starting 11

Wales

Formation : 3 - 4 - 3

1
K. Darlow
16
B. Cabango
6
J. Rodon
4
B. Davies
7
W. Burns
8
H. Wilson
22
J. Sheehan
3
N. Williams
15
L. Cullen
18
M. Harris
10
D. Brooks
7
D. Camaj
9
S. Mugosa
11
N. Krstovic
16
V. Jovovic
8
M. Jankovic
19
M. Bakic
2
A. Vukcevic
15
N. Sipcic
5
I. Vujacic
23
A. Marusic
13
I. Nikic

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Montenegro

Wales & Montenegro Squad Analysis

Harry Wilson has scored twice in Wales’ last two matches and will definitely harbour the hopes for the home fans.

He hasn’t been playing a lot at club level so he has a level of freshness that’s working for Wales. Teaming up with the in-form Brennan Johnson, they give Wales great attacking potency.

However, in this game, Johnson who netted in the Friday draw stands suspended. There will also be no places in the team for Aaron Ramsey, Ethan Ampadu and Daniel James.

Veteran Jovetic will be relied upon for the goals by struggling Montenegro.

Montenegro’s hopes going into this game will rest on veteran Stevan Jovetic. The forward has two international goals against Wales.

He is the only remaining member of the team that played in Montenegro’s first ever game against Wales, back in 2009. Jovetic is chasing a huge milestone too, he is just six matches away from being the all-time record caps holder.

Jovetic will once again skipper the team but Stefan Savic will miss in defence, with injury.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Wales
CD Huachipato Montenegro
Top Goalscorer
Wales H. Wilson (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Montenegro N. Krstovic (3 Goals)
Best assists
Wales N. Williams (2 Assists)
Wales L. Cullen (2 Assists)
Best assists
Montenegro N. Krstovic (1 Assists)
Montenegro M. Jankovic (1 Assists)
Montenegro M. Tuci (1 Assists)
Montenegro O. Gasevic (1 Assists)

Wales - Montenegro Key Points

  1. Wales have one loss only in the last five matches.
  2. Montenegro are coming from five straight defeats.
  3. In the last two meetings between these two, Wales won.
  4. Montenegro lost seven times in their last 10 away matches.
  5. Wales haven't lost at home inside 90 minutes in the last seven matches.
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Our Wales vs Montenegro Prediction

Under Craig Bellamy, Wales have looked stronger, and they just need to fine-tune their defence to deal with the recent mishaps. Here they face an opponent that is seriously struggling. Montenegro have failed to win in their last five matches, losing all.

They also suffered defeats in seven of their last 10 away matches and their UK experience isn’t great. For a side with two wins in the last two such meetings, Wales will have the favorites’ feeling. Our prediction for Wales v Montenegro is for Wales to win.

Prediction :

 

Wales wins the match

 
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Wales vs Montenegro - Other Interesting Predictions

Wales to win to nil

Odds 2.37

Montenegro aren’t just coming here on a bad run of form, much of it is down to their poor scoring form. They failed to score in three of their last five matches and have lost without scoring in their last three away matches. Based on this, we will back Wales to win to nil as our second prediction.

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Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wales Montenegro

Wales vs Montenegro Opening odds Pre-match odds Odds Movements
Wales wins 1.57 1.55 -1.3%
Draw 4.1 4.1 0%
Montenegro wins 5.25 6 +14.3%
Latest odds movements:

After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:

  • Wales is most likely to win
  • The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.3% since opening
  • The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 64.5% (0.8%)

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Wales vs Montenegro match : Frequently asked questions

The Wales v Montenegro match will be played in Cardiff, at the Cardiff City Stadium.

The Wales v Montenegro match will be played on Monday 14 October.

S4C will air this game for audiences in Wales while the entire UK can watch it on ITV. In Montenegro, fans will be able to catch the match on Arena Sport Serbia and RTCG. On Sportytrader’s UEFA Nations League Livescores page, we will have the match updates.

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Wales vs Montenegro Prediction
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