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Wales vs Montenegro Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Kennedy Kechula in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Montenegro will not be carrying fond memories of the UK when they head to Wales for their next UEFA Nations League match. Heading into Match Day 4 on Monday, The Brave Falcons are bottom of Group B4, two places behind their hosts, The Dragons. In this preview we will have a look at the match-defining stats and offer a prediction.
Wales let slip a comfortable lead in a calamitous second half against Iceland on Friday to end up drawing. With that they missed the chance to go to this match topping the group. Now they have just a win in their last six matches and are still some way before securing a direct promotion slot.
Montenegro, on their part, are doing much worse. It is almost a year now since they last won a competitive match. They are coming from a 1-0 loss away to group leaders Turkey, leaving them without a win in five matches. The visitors will be prime candidates for automatic relegation if they lose here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Wales v Montenegro Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.55 | 4.1 | 6 |
|
|
1.55 | 3.75 | 6 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.08 | 6.12 |
|
|
1.65 | 4.08 | 6.12 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.9 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.16 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.51 | 4.16 | 6.6 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.85 | 6 |
|
|
1.58 | 3.96 | 5.95 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.1 | 6.2 |
|
|
1.62 | 3.8 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.54 | 4.1 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.7 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wales and Montenegro?
Our prediction for the Wales vs Montenegro match is: Wales to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 14/10/2024 between Wales and Montenegro in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 67.29% for a win of Wales against Montenegro with odds of 1.65 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wales vs Montenegro is 21.38% with odds of 4.2 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 11.33% chance ⭐ for a win of Montenegro vs Wales with odds of 6.6 at Betwinner.
Wales - Montenegro Prediction and Best Odds:
| Wales Montenegro Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Wales wins | 67.29% | 1.65 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.09% | 2.13 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Wales/Wales | 33.88% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
Wales vs Montenegro Form
Wales and Montenegro's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 |
|
4
|
3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | -5 |
Wales and Montenegro Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Mar 2024 - Euro
21 Nov 2023 - Euro
15 Oct 2023 - Euro
11 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Nov 2023 - Euro
11 Sep 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - Euro
10 Sep 2023 - Euro
17 Jun 2023 - Euro
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
5/6 (83%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2023 - Euro
17 Oct 2023 - Euro
Wales vs Montenegro Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
Wales - Montenegro: Form Analysis
Wales will be disappointed by their 2-2 draw away to Iceland. It took three minutes of capitulation for Wales to lose their 2-0 first half lead.
Though unbeaten in three matches in charge, Craig Bellamy will not look at that result with much amusement. They are now on five points, two behind leaders Turkey.
In their last six matches now, Wales have managed just one win. That was in the reverse fixture in Montenegro, where they won 2-1. There is some hope for the home fans though, with Wales having scored four times in the last two matches.
In their last outing, Brennan Johnson scored to extend his impressive form while Harry Wilson netted in the second straight international game.
Both these nations are coming from winless outings and will be looking to bounce back.
It is a gloomy period at Montenegro, who have suffered consecutive losses in two matches against Wales. It doesn’t help that they are coming from a fifth straight loss after falling 1-0 to Turkey on Friday.
They failed to score in three of their last five matches. Three defeats in this group have them as one of the two teams yet to pick a point in League B.
The visitors are enduring their worst period since joining UEFA in 2007. They’ve also lost seven of their last 10 away matches.
Robert Prosinečki’s men return to the UK, where they lost 7-0 to England in their last visit – their heaviest defeat yet.
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Wales against Montenegro Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Wales & Montenegro Squad Analysis
Harry Wilson has scored twice in Wales’ last two matches and will definitely harbour the hopes for the home fans.
He hasn’t been playing a lot at club level so he has a level of freshness that’s working for Wales. Teaming up with the in-form Brennan Johnson, they give Wales great attacking potency.
However, in this game, Johnson who netted in the Friday draw stands suspended. There will also be no places in the team for Aaron Ramsey, Ethan Ampadu and Daniel James.
Veteran Jovetic will be relied upon for the goals by struggling Montenegro.
Montenegro’s hopes going into this game will rest on veteran Stevan Jovetic. The forward has two international goals against Wales.
He is the only remaining member of the team that played in Montenegro’s first ever game against Wales, back in 2009. Jovetic is chasing a huge milestone too, he is just six matches away from being the all-time record caps holder.
Jovetic will once again skipper the team but Stefan Savic will miss in defence, with injury.
Most goals and assists
Wales
Montenegro
H. Wilson
(4 Goals)
N. Krstovic
(3 Goals)
N. Williams
(2 Assists)
,
L. Cullen
(2 Assists)
M. Jankovic
(1 Assists)
,
M. Tuci
(1 Assists)
,
O. Gasevic
(1 Assists)
,
N. Krstovic
(1 Assists)
Wales - Montenegro Key Points
- Wales have one loss only in the last five matches.
- Montenegro are coming from five straight defeats.
- In the last two meetings between these two, Wales won.
- Montenegro lost seven times in their last 10 away matches.
- Wales haven't lost at home inside 90 minutes in the last seven matches.
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Our Wales vs Montenegro Prediction
Under Craig Bellamy, Wales have looked stronger, and they just need to fine-tune their defence to deal with the recent mishaps. Here they face an opponent that is seriously struggling. Montenegro have failed to win in their last five matches, losing all.
They also suffered defeats in seven of their last 10 away matches and their UK experience isn’t great. For a side with two wins in the last two such meetings, Wales will have the favorites’ feeling. Our prediction for Wales v Montenegro is for Wales to win.
Wales vs Montenegro - Other Interesting Predictions
Wales to win to nil
Montenegro aren’t just coming here on a bad run of form, much of it is down to their poor scoring form. They failed to score in three of their last five matches and have lost without scoring in their last three away matches. Based on this, we will back Wales to win to nil as our second prediction.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Wales Montenegro
| Wales vs Montenegro | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wales wins | 1.57 | 1.55 | -1.3% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.1 | 0% |
| Montenegro wins | 5.25 | 6 | +14.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Wales is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 1.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 63.7% and is now 64.5% (0.8%)
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Wales vs Montenegro match : Frequently asked questions
The Wales v Montenegro match will be played in Cardiff, at the Cardiff City Stadium.
The Wales v Montenegro match will be played on Monday 14 October.
S4C will air this game for audiences in Wales while the entire UK can watch it on ITV. In Montenegro, fans will be able to catch the match on Arena Sport Serbia and RTCG. On Sportytrader’s UEFA Nations League Livescores page, we will have the match updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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