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Europe - Euro

Wales
21 Mar 2024 15:45
Finland

Prediction :

 

Wales wins the match

 
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Wales vs Finland Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro

 by Ian John in Euro Predictions

Wales take on Finland in one of the Euro 2024 Championship Playoff games, with a home game against either Poland or Estonia lying in wait for the winner. The Welsh already knew that they had a Nations League spot based on their Nations League performance but two draws in their final two games against Armenia and Turkey meant that they would have to qualify via this route. The Welsh are unbeaten in their last six games, drawing three of those, and winning the other three, including a memorable 2-1 win over Croatia in Cardiff last October. Rob Page's team will have a huge advantage with the game being played in Cardiff where they have lost just one of their last six games and where they enjoy vocal support at the National Stadium. The home team are looking to qualify for their third European Championship Finals in a row.

Finland come into this game on the back of two wins in their last two group stage games, including a 4-0 home win over Northern Ireland, whom they also beat 1-0 in Belfast on Matchday 2 of the qualifiers. That result will be one Wales will be well aware of heading into this game. The Finns chances of qualifying automatically from their group evaporated with three defeats in a row from Matchday 6 to Matchday 8, but they finished third in Group H, a credible performance behind Slovenia and Denmark. They have won three away games in the group stage, at San Marino, Kazakhstan and Northern Ireland, but Wales are a level or two above these teams and should provide a stern test for the Finns, especially on home soil. 

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The Best Betting Odds for Wales v Finland Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.82 3.3 4.75
Betfred
1.9 3.2 4.6
Ladbrokes
1.85 3.2 4.75
NetBet
1.83 3.2 4.5
1xbet
1.89 3.38 4.48
22bet
1.89 3.38 4.48
Betwinner
1.88 3.36 4.46
LSbet
1.88 3.36 4.46
Stake
1.89 3.35 4.7
Melbet
1.9 3.22 4.66
Tonybet
1.91 3.35 4.6
Vbet
1.86 3.41 4.9
Betway
1.85 3.1 4.75
Unibet
1.85 3.35 4.75
Betfair
1.85 3.1 4.75
Betsson
1.92 3.4 4.5
William Hill
1.88 3.2 4.6
Check all Wales vs Finland odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Wales and Finland?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2024 between Wales and Finland in Euro :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.27% for a win of Wales against Finland with odds of 1.92 at Betsson.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Wales vs Finland is 22.39% with odds of 3.41 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 27.34% chance ⭐ for a win of Finland vs Wales with odds of 4.9 at Vbet.

Wales - Finland Prediction and Best Odds:

Wales Finland Prediction Probability Odds
Wales wins 50.27% 1.92 at Betsson
Under 2.5 58.33% 1.58 at Bet365
Both Team To Score 47.92% 2.23 at Unibet
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Wales 19.73% 4.8 at Unibet

Wales vs Finland Form

Wales and Finland Last Matches

Wales
Wales Last matches
D W W W D D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
0.5 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

21 Nov 2023 - Euro

Wales
1 :  1
Turkey

18 Nov 2023 - Euro

Armenia
1 :  1
Wales

15 Oct 2023 - Euro

Wales
2 :  1
Croatia

11 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

Wales
4 :  0
Gibraltar

11 Sep 2023 - Euro

Latvia
0 :  2
Wales

7 Sep 2023 - International Friendlies

Wales
0 :  0
Korea Republic
W L D W W D
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.67 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Nov 2023 - Euro

Wales
1 :  1
Turkey

15 Oct 2023 - Euro

Wales
2 :  1
Croatia

11 Oct 2023 - International Friendlies

Wales
4 :  0
Gibraltar

7 Sep 2023 - International Friendlies

Wales
0 :  0
Korea Republic

16 Jun 2023 - Euro

Wales
2 :  4
Armenia

28 Mar 2023 - Euro

Wales
1 :  0
Latvia
L D D L W D
Victories

1/6 (17%)

Draw

3/6 (50%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.17 Total goals
67% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
17% Over 2.5
83% Under 2.5

18 Nov 2023 - Euro

Armenia
1 :  1
Wales

11 Sep 2023 - Euro

Latvia
0 :  2
Wales

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

Turkey
2 :  0
Wales

25 Mar 2023 - Euro

Croatia
1 :  1
Wales

21 Nov 2022 - World Cup

USA
1 :  1
Wales

22 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Belgium
2 :  1
Wales
Finland
Finland Last matches
W L L L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.5 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
67% Over 2.5
33% Under 2.5

20 Nov 2023 - Euro

San Marino
1 :  2
Finland

17 Nov 2023 - Euro

Finland
4 :  0
Northern Ireland

17 Oct 2023 - Euro

Finland
1 :  2
Kazakhstan

14 Oct 2023 - Euro

Slovenia
3 :  0
Finland

10 Sep 2023 - Euro

Finland
0 :  1
Denmark

7 Sep 2023 - Euro

Kazakhstan
0 :  1
Finland
L W W L L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

17 Nov 2023 - Euro

Finland
4 :  0
Northern Ireland

17 Oct 2023 - Euro

Finland
1 :  2
Kazakhstan

10 Sep 2023 - Euro

Finland
0 :  1
Denmark

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

Finland
6 :  0
San Marino

16 Jun 2023 - Euro

Finland
2 :  0
Slovenia

23 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
1 :  1
Romania
L L W W L W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1 Goals scored
1.33 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

20 Nov 2023 - Euro

San Marino
1 :  2
Finland

14 Oct 2023 - Euro

Slovenia
3 :  0
Finland

7 Sep 2023 - Euro

Kazakhstan
0 :  1
Finland

26 Mar 2023 - Euro

Northern Ireland
0 :  1
Finland

23 Mar 2023 - Euro

Denmark
3 :  1
Finland

20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies

Norway
1 :  1
Finland

Wales vs Finland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

Wales

100 %

Draw

0 %

Finland

0 %

Average stats (last H2H results)

2.5
Total goals
50%
BTTS
2
Goals scored (Team 1)
0.5
Goals scored (Team 2)
50%
Over 2.5
50%
Under 2.5

18 Nov 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Wales
3 :  1
Finland

3 Sep 2020 - UEFA Nations League

Finland
0 :  1
Wales
Improve your sports betting with our football team comparison tool (100+ statistics)

Wales against Finland Lineups: Starting 11

Wales

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

12
D. Ward
3
N. Williams
5
C. Mepham
4
B. Davies
6
J. Rodon
14
C. Roberts
15
E. Ampadu
8
H. Wilson
17
J. James
9
B. Johnson
7
D. Brooks
21
D. Hakans
10
T. Pukki
8
R. Lod
20
J. Pohjanpalo
11
R. Schuller
6
G. Kamara
2
M. Peltola
4
R. Ivanov
15
M. Tehno
17
N. Alho
1
L. Hradecky

Formation : 4 - 3 - 3

Finland

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Wales
CD Huachipato Finland
Top Goalscorer
Wales D. James (4 Goals)
Wales D. Brooks (4 Goals)
Wales N. Williams (4 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Finland T. Pukki (5 Goals)
Best assists
Wales H. Wilson (5 Assists)
Best assists
Finland T. Pukki (5 Assists)

Wales - Finland Key Points

  1. Wales won three and drew three of their eight Group Stage games, losing the other two away to Turkey and most damagingly, at home to Armenia. The Welsh did draw with and then beat Croatia in the group stage though.
  2. Finland won six and lost four of their Group Stage games. They conceded just 10 goals in 10 games, just one more than Slovenia who had the best record in the group with 9.
  3. Wales have won three, drawn three and lost one of their last seven home games, which has included matches with Turkey, Croatia and Belgium in that run of games.
  4. Both teams have scored just twice in Finland's last nine games.
  5. The teams have met 15 times previously, Wales winning six, Finland four with five frawn games, including the last match between the two which finished 0-0 in Helsinki in September 2021.
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Our Wales vs Finland Prediction

Wales face Finland with both teams very much hopeful of progress to the next round of the playoffs. Wales have the huge advantage of being at home, but they will be wary of the Finns who displayed real grit in their group and who did qualify for the last European Championships. However, Wales' record at home is generally excellent against mid-lower ranking European teams and as such, our prediction here is for Wales to win a narrow one.

Prediction :

 

Wales wins the match

 
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$150 offered for betting!

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Wales vs Finland Prediction
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