Spain - LaLiga
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by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
Villarreal have a huge challenge coming their way when they welcome champions Real Madrid in their next La Liga game. Heading into this round Villarreal are fifth, three places behind Real Madrid. We have a prediction for this match below.
In their last outing, Villarreal suffered a disappointing 1-0 loss at struggling Alaves. Villarreal hit 24 shots in that game, playing with a man advantage from the 58th minute, against Alaves who would finish with nine men.
The Yellow Submarine have no option but to rise here if they are to keep their top-four hopes. As things stand they are five points adrift of the top-four, though they have a game in hand.
Real Madrid are coming from a grueling encounter in the Champions League. They had to play 120 minutes, trailing local rivals Atletico Madrid for the better part, before winning it on post-match penalties.
In that regard, fatigue could be an issue they will have to deal with here. Despite the pressures, Los Blancos have very little allowance for error. They are currently tied on 57 points with Barcelona, who have played a game less.
As they play a day before Barca, Real Madrid will feel the need to win and go top of the standings, at least for a day.
Real are unbeaten in three matches against Villarreal.
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The Best Betting Odds for Villarreal v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.1 | 3.6 | 2.2 |
|
|
3 | 3.6 | 2.25 |
|
|
2.87 | 3.7 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.97 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.05 | 3.97 | 2.3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Villarreal and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Villarreal vs Real Madrid match is: over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/03/2025 between Villarreal and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.91% for a win of Villarreal against Real Madrid with odds of 3.25 at Unibet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Villarreal vs Real Madrid is 27.1% with odds of 3.97 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 40.99% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Villarreal with odds of 2.32 at Stake.
Villarreal - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Villarreal Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 40.99% | 2.32 at Stake |
| Over 2.5 goals | 60.38% | 1.61 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 72.5% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Real Madrid/Real Madrid | 15.44% | 3.6 at Bet365 |
Villarreal vs Real Madrid Form
Villarreal and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
72 | 33 | 22 | 6 | 5 | 35 |
|
5
|
52 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
Villarreal and Real Madrid Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4 Mar 2025 - Champions League
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
19 Feb 2025 - Champions League
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2025 - Champions League
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Mar 2025 - Champions League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
26 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
11 Feb 2025 - Champions League
5 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
Villarreal vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
17 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
8 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2023 - Copa del Rey
7 Jan 2023 - LaLiga
Players list
D. Conde
DefenderJ. Foyth
L. Costa
W. Kambwala
A. Pedraza
MidfielderY. Pino
D. Parejo
D. Suarez
A. Baena
ForwardT. Barry
A. Perez
T. Courtois
DefenderL. Vazquez
A. Rudiger
F. Garcia
MidfielderA. Tchouameni
A. Guler
E. Camavinga
J. Bellingham
ForwardB. Diaz
L. Modric
K. Mbappe
Substitutes
L. Junior
DefenderR. Albiol
E. Bailly
P. Navarro
MidfielderD. Suarez
D. Parejo
Y. Pino
T. Barry
A. Pedraza
A. Lunin
F. Gonzalez
DefenderD. Aguado
V. Valdepenas Talavera
A. Rudiger
D. Alaba
MidfielderL. Modric
Endrick
A. Guler
Vinicius Junior
Most goals and assists
Villarreal
Real Madrid
A. Perez
(14 Goals)
K. Mbappe
(29 Goals)
A. Baena
(8 Assists)
J. Bellingham
(9 Assists)
Villarreal - Real Madrid Key Points
- Three of Real Madrid’s last four matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Both teams scored in seven of Real Madrid’s last 10 matches.
- A total of 13 goals were scored in Villarreal’s last five matches.
- The last five meetings between these teams had a combined 25 goals.
- In five of the last six meetings between these teams, both sides scored.
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Our Villarreal vs Real Madrid Prediction
In the last seven away league matches at Villarreal, Real Madrid left without a win. Six of those matches ended in draws, which will not be good enough for either team at this crucial point of the season. However, one outstanding stat in this game is the number of goals that have been coming through.
The last five meetings between these teams had 25 goals scored. At an individual level, these teams have been prolific and we expect goals here. Our prediction for Villarreal v Real Madrid is for the match to have over 2.5 goals and both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Villarreal Real Madrid
| Villarreal vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 3 | 3.1 | +3.3% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.6 | 0% |
| Real Madrid wins | 2.2 | 2.2 | 0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 45.5% and is now 45.5% (0.0%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Villarreal vs. Real Madrid game!
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Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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