Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Kennedy Kechula in LaLiga Predictions
An intriguing encounter has been saved for last in the first week of the 2024/24 La Liga season. Villarreal will be playing host to Atletico Madrid at the Estadio de la Cerámica on Monday night. Read on for our preview and prediction of this match.
This will be an important season for Villarreal as they look to recover from a disappointing campaign. They were eighth last term, and are confirmed out of European football for this season.
For the first time since 2018/19, The Yellow Submarine finished outside the top seven. Meanwhile, Atletico Madrid finished fourth to book a spot in the Champions League again. Having finished 19 points behind the champions will, however, feel like a poor campaign.
Both these teams will therefore be keen on putting an early marker to their season’s ambitions. The visitors will approach this game confident of extending their good run against Villarreal in recent meetings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Villarreal v Atletico Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19 | 1.04 | 13 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.6 | 2.05 |
|
|
14 | 8.22 | 1.09 |
|
|
14 | 8.22 | 1.09 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.7 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.62 | 2.08 |
|
|
14.25 | 1.09 | 9.75 |
|
|
3.36 | 3.62 | 2.08 |
|
|
3.3 | 3.75 | 2.12 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid?
Our prediction for the Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid match is: Atletico Madrid to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 19/08/2024 between Villarreal and Atletico Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 18.94% for a win of Villarreal against Atletico Madrid with odds of 19 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid is 22.87% with odds of 8.22 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 58.19% chance ⭐ for a win of Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal with odds of 13 at Bet365.
Villarreal - Atletico Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Villarreal Atletico Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Atletico Madrid wins | 58.19% | 13 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.32% | 2.18 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.17% | 1.62 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Atletico Madrid/Atletico Madrid | 29.39% | 3.6 at Ladbrokes |
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Form
Villarreal and Atletico Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
|
4
|
11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
Villarreal and Atletico Madrid Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
7 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
Villarreal against Atletico Madrid : Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
50 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
12 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
4 Jun 2023 - LaLiga
21 Aug 2022 - LaLiga
9 Jan 2022 - LaLiga
29 Aug 2021 - LaLiga
Villarreal - Atletico Madrid: Form Analysis
Villarreal do not carry into the season great memories from their preseason engagements. They played four matches and managed just one win. In the final three friendly matches, they lost two and failed to score in as many, wrapping up with a 4-0 defeat to Brighton.
Home form has proven key for any side that sets European football as an ambition, and Villarreal have the chance to start with a home win. While their season didn’t turn out great, they finished strongly – with just two losses in 18 league matches.
Only Atletico Madrid beat them at home in the final 10 league matches but come here undefeated in three. Marcelina Garcia’s side has only one win in the last 12 meetings with Atletico Madrid. They’ll be eyeing a good start this time after winning just three of their opening 13 league games last season.
Villarreal have struggled in recent matches against Atletico Madrid.
Atletico Madrid beat Villarreal home and away last season to go three matches without a loss in this fixture. The latest of them was at this same venue, which ended 2-1.
Having completed their preseason unbeaten, spirits will be high at Atletico Madrid. They had a good run in the closing stages of last season too and will be confident of starting this campaign with a win.
In their final six league matches, Diego Simeone’s side posted five wins and only lost to Osasuna. That defeat happened at home, and it means they come here with three straight wins on the road. Additionally, Los Colchoneros have a good away run at Villarreal; they are unbeaten there since 2018.
Given they’ll be looking to mount a title challenge, winning this game will pass a key statement.
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Villarreal against Atletico Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 5 - 3 - 2
Missing players
J. Foyth
W. Kambwala
MidfielderP. Gueye
ForwardA. Pedraza
G. Moreno
T. Lemar
P. Barrios
Villarreal & Atletico Madrid Squad Analysis
A lot of movement in the playing unit occurred at Villarreal this summer. The biggest of them was last season’s top scorer Alexander Sorloth’s departure to Atletico Madrid. Villarreal responded with the signing of Ayoze Perez and Nicolas Pepe among others, who are expected to go straight into the starting team.
Villarreal will be facing Atletico's Alexander Sorloth, who was their top scorer last season.
As for Atletico, the big steal from Villarreal wasn’t their only signing of note. They’ve also brought in Spanish international Robin Le Normand to boost their defence as well as World Cup winner Julian Alvarez. These should feature in the matchday squad. Meanwhile, there have been key departures too. Alvaro Morata and Memphis Depay led the exits after last season.
Villarreal - Atletico Madrid Key Points
- Atletico Madrid have three straight wins away from home.
- Atletico Madrid are unbeaten away to Villarreal since 2018.
- Atletico Madrid beat Villarreal in both league games last season.
- Villarreal managed just one win in the last 12 meetings with Atletico.
- Villarreal won just three of their opening 13 league games last season.
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Our Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Villarreal started poorly last season and judging from their preseason performances, the same could happen this time. It doesn’t help that they face a side that has dominated them in recent times and also signed their best player from last season.
The last time Villarreal hosted this game, they lost 2-1 and Atletico Madrid will not even be fazed by having to play away. They are unbeaten at the Estadio de la Ceramica in their last six visits. Our prediction for Villarreal v Atletico Madrid is for Atletico Madrid to emerge winners here.
Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5 goals
The two matches between these sides last season produced high scores, like it has been in recent meetings. Heading into this game, five of their last six matchups produced at least three goals. Only one of the six matches saw one of the teams fail to score, Villarreal keeping a rare clean sheet in a 2-0 win. Our second prediction for this game is over 2.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Villarreal Atletico Madrid
| Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 2.8 | 19 | +578.6% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 1.04 | -69.4% |
| Atletico Madrid wins | 2.3 | 13 | +465.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Atletico Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 465.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 7.7% (-35.8%)
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Villarreal vs Atletico Madrid match : Frequently asked questions
The Villarreal v Atletico Madrid match will kick off at 20:30h GMT on Monday 19th August.
The Villarreal v Atletico Madrid match will be played at the Estadio de la Ceramica in Villarreal.
The Villarreal v Atletico Madrid match will be run by Guillermo Cuadra as the center referee. He will be assisted by Guadalupe Porras and Alejandro Estevez.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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