Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
In a La Liga clash that could have long-term implications in the Champions League qualification race, Villarreal host Athletic Bilbao on Sunday. This match between the fifth-placed Yellow Submarine and the fourth-placed Lions at El Madrigal comes with our prediction of the away team avoiding defeat.
Villarreal’s 47 points put them six points behind Athletic’s 53 points, although they have a game in hand over their visitors. Villarreal won 2-1 away at Getafe last weekend to end a two-game losing streak. This was a much-needed result as they look to get back in the race for Champions League qualification.
What could worry the home fans is Villarreal’s recent form at this venue, as they won just two of their last seven league matches here. That could work to Athletic’s advantage, as they look to keep their six-point lead over Villarreal in the top four race.
Athletic drew 0-0 at home against Osasuna last weekend and have lost just one of their last 20 matches in La Liga. Although they have an upcoming Europa League quarter-final, Athletic will hope to keep their momentum going in the league. Even on the road, Athletic have been consistently avoiding defeat, and that could continue here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Villarreal v Athletic Bilbao Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.3 | 3.3 | 3.2 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.3 | 3 |
|
|
2.62 | 2.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.41 | 3.36 | 3.14 |
|
|
2.41 | 3.36 | 3.14 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao?
Our prediction for the Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao match is: draw or Athletic Bilbao wins.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/04/2025 between Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.49% for a win of Villarreal against Athletic Bilbao with odds of 2.62 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao is 31.09% with odds of 3.45 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.42% chance ⭐ for a win of Athletic Bilbao vs Villarreal with odds of 3.28 at Vbet.
Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao Prediction and Best Odds:
| Villarreal Athletic Bilbao Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 38.49% | 2.62 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.77% | 1.93 at Betobet |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | 1.7 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Villarreal | 18.3% | 5.8 at Unibet |
Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao Form
Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
60 | 33 | 16 | 12 | 5 | 24 |
|
6
|
52 | 32 | 14 | 10 | 8 | 10 |
Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
20 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
15 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
13 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
13 Mar 2025 - Europa League
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
23 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
8 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
30 Jan 2025 - Europa League
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
6 Mar 2025 - Europa League
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
22 Jan 2025 - Europa League
Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
8 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
14 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
13 May 2023 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
9 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
Players list
L. Junior
DefenderK. Femenia
J. Foyth
W. Kambwala
A. Pedraza
MidfielderY. Pino
P. Gueye
S. Comesana
A. Baena
ForwardG. Moreno
T. Barry
U. Simon
DefenderA. Gorosabel
D. Vivian
U. Nunez
A. Boiro
MidfielderM. Jauregizar
B. Prados
A. Berenguer
ForwardO. Sancet
I. Williams
M. Sannadi
Substitutes
D. Conde
DefenderW. Kambwala
P. Navarro
E. Bailly
MidfielderD. Suarez
P. Gueye
G. Moreno
Y. Pino
A. Pedraza
J. Agirrezabala
DefenderU. Nunez
O. De Marcos
I. Lekue
MidfielderM. Vesga
A. Boiro
O. Sancet
A. Berenguer
M. Sannadi
P. Urtasan
A. Djalo
Missing players
R. Albiol
ForwardN. Pepe
I. Ruiz De Galarreta
Most goals and assists
Villarreal
Athletic Bilbao
A. Perez
(14 Goals)
O. Sancet
(17 Goals)
A. Baena
(8 Assists)
I. Williams
(10 Assists)
,
A. Berenguer
(10 Assists)
Villarreal - Athletic Bilbao Key Points
- Villarreal were beaten in two of their last three league matches.
- Villarreal failed to win five of their last seven home matches in La Liga.
- Athletic avoided defeat in 19 of their last 20 league matches.
- Away from home, Athletic are undefeated in nine of their last ten La Liga games.
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Our Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction
The race for Champions League qualification heats up with this match, as Villarreal could close their gap to Athletic with a win. The Yellow Submarine haven’t quite dominated teams at home, winning only two of their last seven league matches at this venue. That could give hope for Athletic to avoid defeat and go back with at least a point. Further aiding their push is Athletic’s recent away record that has seen them avoid defeat consistently. Our Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao prediction is draw or Athletic Bilbao wins.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Villarreal Athletic Bilbao
| Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 2.4 | 2.3 | -4.2% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.3 | +3.1% |
| Athletic Bilbao wins | 3 | 3.2 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Villarreal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 4.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 43.5% (1.8%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Villarreal vs. Athletic Bilbao game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Villarreal and Athletic Bilbao? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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