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Villarreal vs Alavés Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Devesh Jaganath in LaLiga Predictions
Villareal will be looking to extend their impressive La Liga record when they take on Alaves at Estadio de la Ceramica on Saturday afternoon. The Yellow Submarine are in fourth place in the league standings, while the Blue and Whites are 14th after 12 matches. Let’s get into the match prediction.
Villareal have enjoyed an impressive start to their league campaign, currently in Champions League qualification territory with 21 points from 11 games (W6 D3 L2).
In their last league match, the Yellow Submarine overcame Real Valladolid 2-1 on the road, and have now lost just one of their last five games, which was away to Real Madrid.
The hosts have played five times at home this season (W2 D2 L1), with that sole defeat coming against high-flying Barcelona. They have also scored in each of their five home games.
Meanwhile, Alaves picked up a much-needed 1-0 victory over Mallorca in their last match to bring an end to a dismal run of five consecutive defeats dating back to mid-September.
Most importantly for Los Blanquiazules, that result helped them open up some daylight between themselves and the bottom three, as they are now four points clear of the drop.
On the road, the visitors are currently on a four-match losing streak and have only won one of their six matches to date, while they’ve failed to keep a single clean sheet.
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The Best Betting Odds for Villarreal v Alavés Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.55 | 3.9 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.62 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.33 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.67 | 4.33 | 5.4 |
|
|
1.6 | 4.1 | 5.25 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.1 | 5.8 |
|
|
1.61 | 4.16 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.64 | 4.1 | 5.2 |
|
|
1.59 | 4.2 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.57 | 4 | 5.75 |
|
|
1.56 | 4.1 | 6.25 |
|
|
1.62 | 4 | 5.5 |
|
|
1.58 | 4.2 | 6 |
|
|
1.6 | 3.9 | 5.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Villarreal and Alavés?
Our prediction for the Villarreal vs Alavés match is: Villareal wins!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/11/2024 between Villarreal and Alavés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 50.13% for a win of Villarreal against Alavés with odds of 1.91 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Villarreal vs Alavés is 19.06% with odds of 4.33 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Alavés vs Villarreal with odds of 6.5 at Vbet.
Villarreal - Alavés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Villarreal Alavés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 50.13% | 1.91 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.3% | 1.97 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 75% | 1.85 at Betway |
| Half-time / Full-time : Villarreal/Villarreal | 20.4% | 2.45 at Ladbrokes |
Villarreal vs Alavés Form
Villarreal and Alavés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4
|
24 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
|
15
|
13 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 8 | -8 |
Villarreal and Alavés Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
30 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
26 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
30 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
22 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
26 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
5 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
26 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
31 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
18 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
18 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
6 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
20 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
1 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Oct 2024 - Copa del Rey
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
28 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
14 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
Villarreal vs Alavés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
33 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
10 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
22 Oct 2023 - LaLiga
30 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
21 Dec 2021 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2021 - LaLiga
30 Sep 2020 - LaLiga
Villarreal against Alavés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
J. Foyth
ForwardA. Pedraza
G. Moreno
C. Benavidez
ForwardH. Novoa
Most goals and assists
Villarreal
Alavés
A. Perez
(7 Goals)
K. Garcia
(3 Goals)
,
T. Martinez
(3 Goals)
A. Baena
(6 Assists)
A. Blanco
(1 Assists)
,
C. Vicente
(1 Assists)
,
Stoichkov
(1 Assists)
,
J. Jordan
(1 Assists)
, 
F. Tenaglia
(1 Assists)
, 
C. Benavidez
(1 Assists)
,
A. Guevara
(1 Assists)
Villarreal - Alavés Key Points
- Villareal have won six of their last 10 league matches (W6 D2 L2).
- Villareal have only lost one of their five home games this season.
- Villareal have scored in all five home league games this season.
- Alaves have lost five of their last six league games.
- Alaves are on a four-match losing streak on the road.
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Our Villarreal vs Alavés Prediction
While Alaves did manage a very important win last time out, they now face a massive task of heading to Estadio de la Ceramica, where their hosts have only been beaten once this season.
Villareal have only suffered two league defeats overall this term and those were against the top two in the league standings, Barcelona and Real Madrid. The Yellow Submarine will be expecting all three points here and we feel they will get the job done. Our Villareal vs Alaves prediction: Villareal wins!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Villarreal Alavés
| Villarreal vs Alavés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 1.83 | 1.55 | -15.3% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.9 | +8.3% |
| Alavés wins | 4 | 6.25 | +56.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Villarreal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 15.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 54.6% and is now 64.5% (9.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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