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Venezuela vs Uruguay Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
Fifth-placed Venezuela and second-place Uruguay clash in Maturin on Tuesday for this CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying fixture. Let’s break down the statistics and offer a prediction for this match between La Vinotinto and La Celeste.
Venezuela returned to qualification action after a positive showing at the Copa America saw them win all three group stage games and made it to the quarter-final.
They were brought back down to Earth on Thursday as they suffered a heavy 4-0 away defeat to Bolivia. As is the case with many teams when they travel to the high-altitude stadiums of Bolivia, Venezuela were the victims of the thin air.
The loss saw Venezuela’s unbeaten run in 90 minutes come to an end at five games. It was the second defeat in qualifying as the hosts’ record now stands at 2-3-2 for a total of nine points. This gives La Vinotinto a three-point buffer over Peru for an automatic qualification spot as they look to make it to the World Cup for the first time in their nation’s history.
Uruguay’s return to qualifying play was marked by a frustrating 0-0 home draw with Paraguay. It was the second draw of the campaign for La Celeste whose point total of 14 (4-2-1 record) has them sitting four points off of Argentina in second.
Manager Marcelo Bielsa has worked wonders with the team and they've now lost just once in the last nine outings. In his 16 matches on the touchline, Uruguay has won 11, drawn two and lost only three, while averaging over 2.5 goals scored per contest.
They’ll look to kick on following a successful Copa America which saw them claim third-place.
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The Best Betting Odds for Venezuela v Uruguay Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.25 | 3 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.5 | 2.15 | 2.75 |
|
|
3.44 | 3.02 | 2.33 |
|
|
3.44 | 3.02 | 2.33 |
|
|
3.4 | 2.85 | 2.35 |
|
|
3.24 | 2.91 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.24 | 2.91 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.05 | 2.42 |
|
|
3.06 | 3.11 | 2.48 |
|
|
3.15 | 3.05 | 2.41 |
|
|
3.2 | 2.75 | 2.38 |
|
|
3.4 | 3 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.2 | 2.75 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.5 | 2.9 | 2.47 |
|
|
3.25 | 2.88 | 2.4 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.9 | 2.7 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Venezuela and Uruguay?
Our prediction for the Venezuela vs Uruguay match is: Venezuela double chance.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/09/2024 between Venezuela and Uruguay in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 25.89% for a win of Venezuela against Uruguay with odds of 3.5 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Venezuela vs Uruguay is 46.62% with odds of 3.11 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 27.49% chance ⭐ for a win of Uruguay vs Venezuela with odds of 2.75 at Ladbrokes.
Venezuela - Uruguay Prediction and Best Odds:
| Venezuela Uruguay Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 46.62% | 3.11 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 63.64% | 1.9 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 37.5% | 2.2 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 26.37% | 4 at Bet365 |
Venezuela vs Uruguay Form
Venezuela and Uruguay's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
|
8
|
12 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4 |
Venezuela and Uruguay Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5 Jul 2024 - Copa America
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Jul 2024 - Copa America
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
10 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
1 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Copa America
10 Jul 2024 - Copa America
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
10 Jul 2024 - Copa America
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
23 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
31 May 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Venezuela vs Uruguay Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
50 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
1 Feb 2022 - World Cup
8 Jun 2021 - World Cup
Players list
R. Romo
DefenderJ. Aramburu
Y. Osorio
M. Navarro
N. Ferraresi
MidfielderC. Casseres Jr
T. Segovia
J. Martinez
E. Bello
Y. Soteldo
ForwardS. Rondon
S. Rochet
DefenderS. Caceres
G. Varela
L. Olaza
S. Bueno
MidfielderF. Pellistri
E. Martinez
M. Ugarte
B. Rodriguez
ForwardM. Araujo
C. Olivera
Substitutes
A. Baroja
J. Graterol
DefenderC. Makoun
D. Alfonzo
R. Ramirez
MidfielderD. Machis
J. Murillo
J. Savarino
T. Rincon
J. Bueno
ForwardE. Ramirez
J. Cadiz
S. Mele
F. Israel
DefenderM. Saracchi
N. Marichal
P. Rodriguez
A. Sant Anna
MidfielderF. Torres
T. Palacios
N. Fonseca
ForwardM. Merentiel
L. Pino
L. Rodriguez
Most goals and assists
Venezuela
Uruguay
S. Rondon
(3 Goals)
D. Nunez
(5 Goals)
Venezuela - Uruguay Key Points
- Venezuela are unbeaten at home in qualifying so far with two wins and one draw in three games.
- The hosts have yet to concede a goal on home soil in this competition, keeping three clean sheets.
- Uruguay have managed to win just once in their three away qualifying fixtures.
- The visitors are missing five regular first-team players through suspension.
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Our Venezuela vs Uruguay Prediction
Venezuela will sense that they can pull off the upset victory given their opponents are missing a number of key first-team players through suspension. With their good recent form and playing this one on home soil, the hosts are certainly live underdogs.
Uruguay have been in fine form but they face a sizable challenge here. They’re without no fewer than five of their regular first team stars including Núñez, Bentancur and Araújo. With that in mind, there’s good value in backing the home side to avoid defeat. Our Venezuela vs Uruguay prediction: Venezuela double chance.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Venezuela Uruguay
| Venezuela vs Uruguay | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela wins | 3.6 | 3.25 | -9.7% |
| Draw | 3 | 3 | 0% |
| Uruguay wins | 2.2 | 2.4 | +9.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have not changed since opening
- The probability of this result was 33.3% and is now 33.3% (0.0%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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