South America - Copa America
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Venezuela vs Mexico Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Devesh Jaganath in Copa America Predictions
A place in the Round of 16 awaits!
Venezuela and Mexico will look to keep their winning record at the 2024 Copa America intact when they face off in midweek!
Both teams picked up three points in their opening matches against Ecuador and Jamaica respectively.
Another victory here will all but guarantee a spot in the knockout round, whether as an automatic qualifier or as one of the highest-ranked third-placed teams.
Let’s crunch the numbers.
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The Best Betting Odds for Venezuela v Mexico Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.8 | 3.1 | 2.1 |
|
|
4 | 2.2 | 2.45 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.2 | 1.83 |
|
|
1.06 | 10 | 251 |
|
|
1.06 | 10 | 251 |
|
|
3.8 | 3.25 | 2.1 |
|
|
3.86 | 3.38 | 2.01 |
|
|
3.86 | 3.38 | 2.01 |
|
|
1.04 | 10 | 100 |
|
|
3.46 | 3.32 | 2.16 |
|
|
3.45 | 3.3 | 2.24 |
|
|
3.74 | 3.23 | 2.25 |
|
|
1.03 | 13 | 126 |
|
|
3.55 | 3.2 | 2.17 |
|
|
4.2 | 3 | 2.05 |
|
|
3.85 | 3.1 | 2.15 |
|
|
3.4 | 3.2 | 2.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Venezuela and Mexico?
Our prediction for the Venezuela vs Mexico match is: Mexico Draw No Bet!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/06/2024 between Venezuela and Mexico in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 35.19% for a win of Venezuela against Mexico with odds of 4.2 at Betfair.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Venezuela vs Mexico is 12.77% with odds of 13 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Mexico vs Venezuela with odds of 251 at 1xbet.
Venezuela - Mexico Prediction and Best Odds:
| Venezuela Mexico Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Mexico wins | 52.05% | 251 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.83% | 2.56 at Betsson |
| Both Team To Score | 35.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Mexico | 22.09% | 5.4 at Unibet |
Venezuela vs Mexico Form
Venezuela and Mexico's standings in the Copa America
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 |
|
3
|
4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Venezuela and Mexico Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
10 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
28 Jan 2022 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
10 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
31 May 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
31 May 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
17 Nov 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
12 Jul 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
29 Jun 2023 - Gold Cup 2011
18 Jun 2023 - CONCACAF Nations League
Venezuela vs Mexico Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
5 Jun 2019 - International Friendlies
Venezuela - Mexico: Form Analysis
Venezuela have taken great strides forward in the CONMEBOL region over the last few years.
After finishing last in qualifying for the 2022 World Cup in Qatar with just three wins in 18 qualification matches, they are currently in fifth place for the 2026 edition, two places above South American powerhouse Brazil.
While their record of late has not been the greatest, La Vinotinto have been a difficult team to beat.
In their last 10 matches in all competitions, Venezuela have only lost three games, twice to Colombia and once to Italy. They won three and drew four of the remaining seven games in that period.
La Vinotinto got their Copa America campaign off to a winning start, coming from behind to beat Ecuador 2-1, thanks to goals from Jhonder Cadiz and Eduard Bello. However, their record against their upcoming opponent suggests they may struggle to keep up their winning record.
In 19 matches between these nations, Venezuela have only beaten Mexico once.
Of the remaining matches, Mexico have won 12 and six ended level. The most recent encounter was in 2019 when the Mexicans claimed a commanding 3-1 win.
Among all CONCACAF nations at this year’s Copa America, Mexico have the most appearances, having featured in the competition 10 times in the past. They only failed to receive an invite in the last edition since 1993.
El Tricolor have never won the tournament but have finished as runners-up twice, including in their first-ever competition in 1993 and most recently in 2001.
Mexico beat Jamaica 1-0 in their opening match on Sunday night, avoiding a third consecutive defeat in all competitions following losses to Uruguay and Brazil earlier this month during the warm-up campaign.
Ranked 15th in the world, Mexico are easily the highest-ranked team in this group and are the clear favourites to win this match, according to the bookmakers.
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Venezuela against Mexico Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Venezuela & Mexico Squad Analysis
Cadiz and Bello each made a piece of history in their opening match of the competition, becoming the first two players to score for Venezuela in their Copa America debut since Jose Velazquez in 2016.
Former West Bromwich Albion forward Salomon Rondon is now La Vinotinto’s second-highest capped player with 18 appearances and is one to keep an eye on as the tournament progresses.
Gerardo Arteaga netted a goal of the competition contender to secure Mexico’s victory in the first match and that also marked his first-ever goal for his country.
However, that match also proved costly for Jaime Lozano’s side as they saw their captain Edson Alvarez withdrawn with what seemed to be a hamstring strain. He has been flagged as a major doubt for this match as well as the remainder of the tournament.
Shot-stopper Julio Gonzalez made four saves in El Tri’s last match, registering his first clean sheet in national colours in the process.
Most goals and assists
Venezuela
Mexico
S. Rondon
(3 Goals)
G. Arteaga
(1 Goals)
J. Aramburu
(2 Assists)
L. Romo
(1 Assists)
Venezuela - Mexico Key Points
- Mexico have only lost once to this opponent in 19 previous meetings
- Mexico are ranked 39 places above Venezuela according to FIFA World Rankings
- Mexico have scored two or more goals in eight of their last 13 matches
- Venezuela have only won one of their last six games
- Venezuela have only won one of their last eight away matches
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Our Venezuela vs Mexico Prediction
While Venezuela picked up a victory in their opening match of the competition, there is a case to be made that the tie only swung in their favour after Ecuador were reduced to 10 men.
Mexico, while not at their best in recent times, still have a very good squad of players and their record against this opponent warrants their favourites tag.
We fancy El Tri to get the victory here, but with favourable odds on offer, we will opt for the safety of our money back in the event of a draw as our primary wager. Our Venezuela vs Mexico prediction: Mexico Draw No Bet!
Venezuela vs Mexico - Other Interesting Predictions
Mexico to win the match
Both teams to score
Each of the last five matches between these sides have ended with both teams scoring.
Venezuela vs Mexico match : Frequently asked questions
The 2024 Copa America match between Venezuela and Mexico will take place on June 27 at 02:00 GMT.
The 2024 Copa America match between Venezuela and Mexico will be played at the SoFi Stadium in California.
Premier Sports holds the rights to the Copa America tournament in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to date with all the Copa America Livescores right here on SportyTrader!In 19 previous matches between these sides, Mexico have won 12 and six matches ended in a draw. Venezuela have only beaten Mexico once.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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