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Venezuela vs Ecuador Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Devesh Jaganath in World Cup Predictions
The CONMEBOL World Cup qualifiers resume this week, with Venezuela playing host to Ecuador on Friday. The hosts are currently in fourth place in the standings, while the visitors are sixth. After finishing at the bottom of the log in the last edition of qualifying, Venezuela have made a much better start this time. They have taken seven points from their first four matches, which leaves them tied with Uruguay and Brazil in second and third place respectively. The Wine-Red got their campaign started with a 1-0 loss to Colombia. However, since then, they have gone unbeaten with two wins and a draw, including a 3-0 victory over Chile last month. The hosts have also won both their home games in this competition and are unbeaten in their last five on home soil. Despite beating this opponent at this venue the last they met, the hosts are the underdogs here, according to the bookmakers.
Meanwhile, Ecuador’s task was made that much harder when they were handed a 3-point deduction prior to the commencement of the tournament. The deduction was due to the side falsifying the birth documents of Byron Castillo in the previous World Cup qualification cycle. As a result, despite winning two and drawing one of their four matches, Ecuador are only on four points as it stands. Still, they have made a positive start to the competition and will feel that they will be able to make back the deficit before the final day. The Tri played out a 0-0 draw against Colombia last month which followed a 2-1 win over Bolivia a few days earlier. They are now unbeaten in their last three games. Ecuador’s only loss in the competition was back in week one against world champions Argentina. The visitors won the last match between these sides 1-0 and are the favourites to do likewise in this one.
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The Best Betting Odds for Venezuela v Ecuador Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.7 | 2.88 | 3 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.7 | 2.7 |
|
|
3.04 | 2.88 | 2.66 |
|
|
3.04 | 2.88 | 2.66 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.9 | 3 |
|
|
3.04 | 2.88 | 2.66 |
|
|
2.78 | 2.89 | 2.83 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.88 | 3.08 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.75 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.88 | 2.9 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.9 | 3 |
|
|
2.62 | 2.75 | 3 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Venezuela and Ecuador?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 16/11/2023 between Venezuela and Ecuador in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.17% for a win of Venezuela against Ecuador with odds of 3.04 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Venezuela vs Ecuador is 20.92% with odds of 2.9 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.91% chance ⭐ for a win of Ecuador vs Venezuela with odds of 3.08 at Vbet.
Venezuela - Ecuador Prediction and Best Odds:
| Venezuela Ecuador Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Venezuela wins | 45.17% | 3.04 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.54% | 1.55 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 57.92% | |
| Half-time / Full-time : Venezuela/Venezuela | 17.45% | 131 at Unibet |
Venezuela vs Ecuador Form
Venezuela and Ecuador's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
19 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
|
8
|
12 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4 |
Venezuela and Ecuador Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
15 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
28 Jan 2022 - World Cup
16 Nov 2021 - World Cup
10 Oct 2021 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
15 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
22 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
29 Nov 2022 - World Cup
23 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
2 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
25 Nov 2022 - World Cup
Venezuela vs Ecuador Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
60 %
20 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Nov 2021 - World Cup
10 Oct 2021 - World Cup
20 Jun 2021 - Copa America
1 Jun 2019 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2017 - International Friendlies
Players list
R. Romo
DefenderW. Angel
C. Makoun
A. Gonzalez
M. Navarro
MidfielderY. Herrera
J. Martinez
Y. Soteldo
C. Casseres Jr
S. Sosa
ForwardS. Rondon
A. Dominguez
DefenderF. Torres
W. Pacho
P. Hincapie
A. Preciado
MidfielderM. Caicedo
K. Paez
A. Franco
J. Sornoza
J. Cifuentes
ForwardK. Rodriguez
Substitutes
J. Graterol
A. Baroja
DefenderY. Osorio
N. Ferraresi
R. Rosales
MidfielderD. Machis
J. Savarino
T. Rincon
R. Otero
E. Castillo
ForwardS. Cordova
E. Ramirez
J. Burrai
H. Galindez
DefenderL. Realpe
R. Arboleda
A. Chala
J. Hurtado
MidfielderA. Mena
O. Zambrano
J. Ortiz
ForwardJ. Julio
L. Campana
J. Caicedo
Most goals and assists
Venezuela
Ecuador
S. Rondon
(3 Goals)
E. Valencia
(3 Goals)
Venezuela - Ecuador Key Points
- Each of Venezuela’s last nine matches have ended with under 3.5 goals
- Venezuela have kept four consecutive clean sheets at home ahead of this match
- Eight of Ecuador’s last ten matches have ended with under 3.5 goals
- Ecuador have only conceded more than one goal in one of their last nine away games
- Fewer than four goals were scored in five of the last six matches between these sides
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Our Venezuela vs Ecuador Prediction
Both these sides have made solid starts to their qualifying campaigns and will feel that they can get something from this match. The hosts have been very good defensively on their home patch and will likely prioritize another clean sheet in this one. Therefore, our Venezuela vs Ecuador prediction: Under 3.5.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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