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Venezuela vs Chile Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
The fourth matchday of 18 in the grueling CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualification group sees sixth-place Venezuela hosting fifth-place Chile in Maturin. Venezuela are off to a strong start this time around following a bottom of the table finish for the Qatar 2022 qualifiers. La Vinotinto are the only CONMEBOL team to have never qualified for the World Cup. However, the expanded size of the 2026 iteration means that Venezuela have their best ever shot at putting an end to that ignominious streak. The top six qualify automatically while seventh enters into an intercontinental playoff. Through the first three matches, Venezuela find themselves with a win, a draw and a defeat for a points total of four. This puts them sixth, even with their opponents today and five points behind leaders Argentina. Venezuela earned a fantastic point away against Brazil in their 1-1 draw on Thursday. The result marked the end of a three-game losing streak for Venezuela against Brazil.
Chile also missed out on the 2022 World Cup after a seventh-place finish in the qualifying group. They’ll now look to return to the world’s largest stage for the first time since their round of 16 appearance in Brazil 2014. They’re off to a solid start, gaining four points from a 1-1-1 record through the first three games. La Roja earned a well-deserved three points with a 2-0 home win over Peru on Thursday for their first win of the qualifying campaign. They left it somewhat late, securing the go-ahead goal in the 74th minute thanks to a Diego Valdez strike. Chile were on top all game, maintaining 64% of the possession and not allowing Peru a single attempt on target. It was an encouraging performance after a worrying start to the qualifying group. Chile will now have to reconcile with their poor away form if they are to make it back-to-back victories.
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The Best Betting Odds for Venezuela v Chile Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.63 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.55 | 2.97 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.09 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.85 | 3.09 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.53 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.53 | 3.1 | 2.9 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.75 | 2.8 |
|
|
2.58 | 3.1 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.59 | 3.19 | 2.77 |
|
|
2.6 | 3 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.6 | 2.95 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.1 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.71 | 3.02 | 2.99 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Venezuela and Chile?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2023 between Venezuela and Chile in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 51.6% for a win of Venezuela against Chile with odds of 2.85 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Venezuela vs Chile is 24.93% with odds of 3.19 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 23.48% chance ⭐ for a win of Chile vs Venezuela with odds of 3.05 at Unibet.
Venezuela - Chile Prediction and Best Odds:
| Venezuela Chile Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Venezuela wins | 51.6% | 2.85 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 65.03% | 1.62 at William Hill |
| Both Team To Score | 35.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Venezuela | 25.59% | 6 at Bet365 |
Venezuela vs Chile Form
Venezuela and Chile's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8
|
12 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4 |
|
9
|
9 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -11 |
Venezuela and Chile Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
15 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
22 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
29 Mar 2022 - World Cup
28 Jan 2022 - World Cup
16 Nov 2021 - World Cup
10 Oct 2021 - World Cup
7 Oct 2021 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - World Cup
15 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
22 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
1 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
16 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
16 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
27 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
27 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
10 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
8 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
20 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2022 - International Friendlies
23 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
Venezuela vs Chile Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
0 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Oct 2021 - World Cup
17 Nov 2020 - World Cup
Players list
R. Romo
DefenderA. Gonzalez
W. Angel
Y. Osorio
M. Navarro
MidfielderD. Machis
C. Casseres Jr
T. Rincon
Y. Soteldo
J. Moreno
ForwardJ. Martinez
B. Cortes
DefenderP. Diaz
G. Suazo
G. Medel
F. Loyola
MidfielderM. Nunez
D. Osorio
V. Davila
R. Echeverria
ForwardA. Aravena
A. Sanchez
Substitutes
J. Graterol
A. Baroja
DefenderN. Ferraresi
C. Makoun
MidfielderT. Rincon
R. Otero
D. Machis
J. Savarino
C. Casseres Jr
J. Moreno
J. Martinez
S. Cordova
F. De Paul
G. Arias
DefenderM. Zaldivia
T. Galdames
MidfielderC. Fuentes
W. Alarcon
M. Fernandez
M. Nunez
V. Davila
D. Osorio
A. Aravena
D. Rubio
Most goals and assists
Venezuela
Chile
S. Rondon
(3 Goals)
E. Vargas
(3 Goals)
Venezuela - Chile Key Points
- In Venezuela's three qualifying matches so far, there have only been six clear cut scoring chances created by both teams combined.
- The last six consecutive fixtures for Venezuela have all finished under 2.5 goals with four also finishing with under 1.5.
- Venezuela have conceded only four goals in Fernando Batista’s seven matches in charge, keeping three clean sheets along the way.
- There have been under 2.5 goals scored in three of Chile’s last four.
- Chile have failed to score in seven of their last eight matches when not playing on Chilean soil.
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Our Venezuela vs Chile Prediction
Venezuela will be high in confidence following their point in Brazil and should be able to carry that momentum over onto home soil. The team is playing well under Batista and has shown a lot of improvement in the past few months. This is especially true on the defensive end where they have been able to lock teams down. Even in their away defeat against Colombia, they were highly competitive and allowed only a single goal. Chile, meanwhile, were heavily outplayed in their 3-1 away loss to Uruguay. They have a worrying stretch of away results which has seen them struggle immensely to score. Our Venezuela vs Chile prediction is for under 2.5 goals.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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