Venezuela vs Canada Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Kennedy Kechula in Copa America Predictions
Canada’s debut at the Copa America is going well so far in the 2024 edition. Jesse Marsch’s men have booked themselves a slot in the quarter-finals where they will be taking on surprise package Venezuela. The AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, will host this encounter, the second of the four quarter-final matches.
Four points from Group A were enough to guarantee the invitees a second-place finish. Here, the Canadians will be targeting only their second win at the Copa America stage. Meanwhile, Venezuela come into this match as one of the best performing sides from the group stage, having racked up three straight wins.
This knockout round clash will mark the first competitive match between these two nations with their previous two meetings being friendlies. The winner of this tie will advance to the semi-final where they will take on either defending champions Argentina or Ecuador. Can in-form Venezuela reach the last four of the Copa America for the first time since 2011 or will dark horse Canada continue their surprise run? Let's breakdown the statistics and predictions for these two Cinderella teams!
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The Best Betting Odds for Venezuela v Canada Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8 | 3.4 | 1.57 |
|
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2.75 | 2.87 | 2.87 |
|
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39 | 1.03 | 17.4 |
|
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39 | 1.03 | 17.4 |
|
|
2.6 | 3 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.75 | 3 | 3 |
|
|
2.57 | 2.98 | 3.05 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.05 | 2.95 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Venezuela and Canada?
Our prediction for the Venezuela vs Canada match is: Venezuela to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 7/5/24 between Venezuela and Canada in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 46.81% for a win of Venezuela against Canada with odds of 39 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Venezuela vs Canada is 22.24% with odds of 3.4 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.95% chance ⭐ for a win of Canada vs Venezuela with odds of 17.4 at 1xbet.
Venezuela - Canada Prediction and Best Odds:
| Venezuela Canada Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Venezuela wins | 46.81% | 39 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 56.39% | 2.13 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 26.19% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Venezuela | 28.77% | 6.5 at Bet365 |
Venezuela vs Canada Form
Venezuela and Canada Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
10 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Jun 2024 - Copa America
9 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
6 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
Venezuela - Canada: Form Analysis
Only three teams have a 100% record at this Copa America tournament; Venezuela is one of them. They finished their group stage assignments with five points more than Canada which this should give them confidence coming into this match.
La Vinotino overcame Ecuador, Mexico, and most recently, Jamaica in Group B to set up this encounter. A second half blitz saw them trounce the Jamaicans 3-0 in their final group stage game. That was their biggest win since beating Chile by the same margin in October of 2023. It also means that Venezuela come into this game as the bookmakers' favorites, owing to their four match unbeaten run which includes three clean sheets.
This three-game winning streak represents their best consecutive run at the Copa America and Venezuela will hope to extend it as far as possible. Fernando Batista's side has shown excellent grit when it comes to playing in competitive fixtures. When including their World Cup qualifying campaign, Venezuela are undefeated in eight straight matches, winning five.
Canada have grown in strength following their opening day defeat.
This is already a record setting experience for Canada at the Copa America; not many predictions had them as quarterfinalists. They started it off with an expected defeat to holders Argentina in Group A. However, they grew in strength, earning points from a 1-0 win over Peru and securing the vital point to clinch second-place with a 0-0 draw against Chile.
While they have come across as a solid team in defence, Canada have shown signs of struggles in attack. They have managed just one goal in the last five matches – Jonathan David’s strike in the win over Peru at the group stage. That came after Peru had Miguel Araujo sent off in the second half, while they failed to score against a Chilean side that was also reduced to 10 men from the 27th minute.
It is worth noting that Canada’s run to this stage has been patchy. Les Rouges have only managed four wins in their last 14 matches.
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Venezuela against Canada Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
D. Machis
T. Buchanan
Venezuela & Canada Squad Analysis
Venezuela will go into this game without Darwin Machis, who is suspended. An overzealous tackle on Joel Latibeaudiere in the win over Jamaica had the referee check with the VAR for a possible red card. However, the striker’s second yellow card of the competition was upheld and he will miss this game.
With Eduard Bello in top form, Venezuela will not be too worried about Machis' absence. Bello has four goals in the last five matches for Venezuela, with two coming in the group stage.
Canada, on the other hand, will be without Inter Milan midfielder Tajon Buchanan who featured in each of their group stage matches. The midfielder suffered a lower-leg injury while in training ahead of this fixture. No official confirmation of the length of this injury has been issued but it is expected his tournament may be over.
Venezuela - Canada Key Points
- Venezuela have three straight wins ahead of this game.
- Canada have failed to win in 10 of their last 14 matches.
- Canada have scored just one goal in their last five matches.
- Venezuela have only one defeat in six Copa America matches.
- In their last eight competitive matches, Venezuela are unbeaten.
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Our Venezuela vs Canada Prediction
Venezuela are a capable side that is experiencing an excellent stretch of form. They’ve only suffered two defeats in the last 11 outings and are unbeaten in eight straight competitive matches. With La Vinotino competing in the notoriously difficult Conmebol qualifying group, that is a fact that cannot be overstated. They've gone from strength to strength in this tournament so far and will look to continue their 100% winning record.
With this being Canada's first run in the Copa America, it's fair for there to exist some doubts as to how they will react in the knockout rounds. Canada did not perform at their best in the group stage, despite favorable conditions which saw them play vs 10 men for a combined 94 of the 270 total minutes. Our prediction for Venezuela v Canada is for Venezuela to win.
Venezuela vs Canada - Other Interesting Predictions
Both teams to score - No
Venezuela will head into this game not just as favorites but also with a good run defensively. In their last two matches they won without conceding, and they have three clean sheets in the last four matches. They face a side that has struggled in attack, with just one goal scored despite playing against two teams that received red cards in the group stage. Therefore, backing at least one of these two sides to keep a clean sheet looks a good bet at this price.
Under 2.5 goals
With Canada’s issues in attack well documented, we expect them to turn out with a more defensive approach in this game. They have scored just once in their last five matches and kept clean sheets in three of four games. This has resulted in most of their recent matches producing low scores. Meanwhile, 11 of Venezuela’s last 15 matches have returned under three goals. In our third prediction, we will go for under 2.5 goals for this game.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Venezuela Canada
| Venezuela vs Canada | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela wins | 2.4 | 8 | +233.3% |
| Draw | 3.2 | 3.4 | +6.3% |
| Canada wins | 3.1 | 1.57 | -49.4% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Venezuela is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 233.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 41.7% and is now 12.5% (-29.2%)
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Venezuela vs Canada match : Frequently asked questions
The Venezuela v Canada Copa America game will be played on Saturday 6th July starting at 01:00 GMT.
The Venezuela v Canada Copa America game will be played at the AT&T Stadium in Texas.
Venezuela will be without Darwin Machis who is suspended while Canada will miss Tajon Buchanan, ruled out with injury.
The winner from the Venezuela v Canada game will take on either Argentina or Ecuador in the semi-finals.
If watching from Venezuela, Eleven will be airing the Venezuela v Canada game, and in Canada, you can catch the game on TSN (English) and RDN (in French). Fox Sports will air the game for audiences in the USA. Meanwhile, Copa America 2024 Livescores will also have the match’s live updates.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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