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Venezuela vs Argentina Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
We’re at the halfway point in the 2026 CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying campaign with world champions Argentina traveling to Maturín to take on Venezuela. Argentina sit atop the group while Venezuela are in sixth place. Let’s get into the match prediction between La Vinotinto and La Albiceleste.
Venezuela might feel this is one of the best shots they have to qualify for their first ever World Cup. They’ve earned 10 points by way of two victories, four draws and two defeats in their first eight matches, seeing them currently holding the final automatic qualification spot.
The hosts have a slim one-point lead over both seventh-place Paraguay (intercontinental playoff spot) and eighth-placed Bolivia, and trail fifth-place Brazil just on goal differential.
Venezuela walked away with a point in their last outing after a 0-0 home draw against Uruguay. After earning seven points from their first four qualifying matches, Venezuela have now picked up just three in their last four.
However, a positive Copa America which saw them win all three group stage matches and take Canada to penalties should give them confidence.
Argentina were previously on a 12 match unbeaten run, which included 11 victories and a second straight Copa America title, before losing 2-1 away to Colombia last month. They still sit atop the qualifying standings with six victories from eight matches, giving them 18 points and a two-point lead over the Colombians in second.
Away matches are always tricky in this region but Argentina have proved to have a steady hand regardless of the venue. They’ve won three of their four away trips with victories over Bolivia, Peru and Brazil.
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The Best Betting Odds for Venezuela v Argentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
6.25 | 3.7 | 1.6 |
|
|
6 | 2.6 | 1.75 |
|
|
6.66 | 3.69 | 1.58 |
|
|
6.66 | 3.69 | 1.58 |
|
|
6 | 3.8 | 1.57 |
|
|
7.2 | 4.2 | 1.48 |
|
|
7.2 | 4.2 | 1.48 |
|
|
6.4 | 3.7 | 1.58 |
|
|
6.65 | 3.98 | 1.54 |
|
|
6.2 | 4.1 | 1.53 |
|
|
6.7 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
|
|
6 | 3.75 | 1.57 |
|
|
6 | 3.65 | 1.61 |
|
|
6 | 3.6 | 1.57 |
|
|
6.5 | 3.75 | 1.62 |
|
|
7 | 3.75 | 1.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Venezuela and Argentina?
Our prediction for the Venezuela vs Argentina match is: Argentina to win and under 3.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 10/10/2024 between Venezuela and Argentina in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 23.21% for a win of Venezuela against Argentina with odds of 7.2 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Venezuela vs Argentina is 21.79% with odds of 4.2 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 55% chance ⭐ for a win of Argentina vs Venezuela with odds of 1.75 at Ladbrokes.
Venezuela - Argentina Prediction and Best Odds:
| Venezuela Argentina Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina wins | 55% | 1.75 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 52.44% | 2.3 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 34.58% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Argentina | 25.11% | 4.5 at Unibet |
Venezuela vs Argentina Form
Venezuela and Argentina's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
25 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
|
8
|
12 | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | -4 |
Venezuela and Argentina Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5 Jul 2024 - Copa America
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5 Jul 2024 - Copa America
26 Jun 2024 - Copa America
21 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
30 Jun 2024 - Copa America
22 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
10 Dec 2023 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
14 Jul 2024 - Copa America
9 Jul 2024 - Copa America
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
14 Jul 2024 - Copa America
9 Jul 2024 - Copa America
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
29 Jun 2024 - Copa America
20 Jun 2024 - Copa America
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
Venezuela vs Argentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
0 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
25 Mar 2022 - World Cup
2 Sep 2021 - World Cup
28 Jun 2019 - Copa America
22 Mar 2019 - International Friendlies
Players list
R. Romo
DefenderN. Ferraresi
J. Aramburu
A. Gonzalez
Y. Osorio
MidfielderT. Rincon
J. Savarino
J. Martinez
Y. Herrera
Y. Soteldo
ForwardS. Rondon
G. Rulli
DefenderN. Otamendi
G. Pezzella
N. Molina
N. Tagliafico
MidfielderR. De Paul
T. Almada
G. Lo Celso
E. Fernandez
ForwardL. Messi
J. Alvarez
Substitutes
J. Contreras
A. Baroja
DefenderC. Makoun
D. Alfonzo
R. Ramirez
MidfielderE. Bello
T. Segovia
B. Ortega
D. Machis
K. Andrade
E. Castillo
ForwardJ. Cadiz
J. Musso
W. Benitez
DefenderG. Montiel
L. Martinez
L. Balerdi
J. Soler
MidfielderB. Facundo
N. Paz
A. Mac Allister
E. Palacios
L. Paredes
ForwardL. Martinez
Most goals and assists
Venezuela
Argentina
S. Rondon
(3 Goals)
L. Messi
(6 Goals)
Venezuela - Argentina Key Points
- Argentina have suffered only two defeats in their 22 matches since lifting the World Cup back in 2022.
- The visitors have won three of their four away matches in this competition, scoring seven and conceding just two.
- Venezuela have lost their last three straight vs Argentina, two of which came on home soil.
- Of Argentina's last 17 victories during 90 minutes, 15 have been accompanied by under 3.5 goals.
- Six of the last eight appearances for Argentina have seen them win along with under 3.5 goals.
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Our Venezuela vs Argentina Prediction
Venezuela had an encouraging Copa America but haven't yet been able to carry over that form in their return to World Cup qualifying. They've failed to find the net in their last two outings and will now have to face one of the best defensive teams in international football.
Argentina are one of the most consistent sides in the world with their ability to produce results. They tend to control matches which makes it even harder for teams to breach their elite defense, often leading to lower-scoring games. Our Venezuela vs Argentina prediction: Argentina to win + under 3.5 goals.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Venezuela Argentina
| Venezuela vs Argentina | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezuela wins | 6.25 | 6.25 | 0% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 3.7 | -9.8% |
| Argentina wins | 1.5 | 1.6 | +6.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Argentina is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 6.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 66.7% and is now 62.5% (-4.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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