Spain - LaLiga
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by Kennedy Kechula in LaLiga Predictions
Newly promoted sides Real Valladolid and Leganes will face off in the third week of La Liga action. Hosts Valladolid have bagged three points while Leganes have claimed one more. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Valladolid’s return to the topflight has thrown them right into the deep end. They had a successful start, beating Espanyol 1-0 but not much was expected as they headed to the Bernabeu to face Real Madrid. Indeed, they were thrashed, falling 3-0 to the champions.
With another tough away match at Barcelona coming right after this, Valladolid must just beat Leganes. Their last two La Liga seasons ended in relegation and the hosts will want to bank as many points as possible.
A six-game unbeaten streak against Leganes should give them confidence.
These two teams met in the Segunda last season, with both matches producing draws. In Leganes’ perspective, that was positive, having lost the earlier three matches against Valladolid.
Los Pepineros have had a solid start and remain unbeaten after two rounds. However, they haven't faced an opponent close to what Valladolid have experienced. Leganes’ season started with a 1-1 draw at Osasuna and in the second game they beat Las Palmas 2-1.
Back in the second-tier, they beat Valladolid to the title by two points even though their hosts won more matches in the league. In their last six league matches away to Valladolid, Leganes managed just one win and lost twice.
Returning to La Liga after four years out, Leganes will be hoping to bag their first away win in the league since 2020.
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The Best Betting Odds for Valladolid v Leganés Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
17 | 1.04 | 23 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.15 | 3.5 |
|
|
22 | 1.05 | 30 |
|
|
22 | 1.05 | 30 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.95 | 3.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Valladolid and Leganés?
Our prediction for the Valladolid vs Leganés match is: Game to end in a draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 28/08/2024 between Valladolid and Leganés in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.21% for a win of Valladolid against Leganés with odds of 22 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Valladolid vs Leganés is 42.73% with odds of 3.1 at Betsson.
- Our prediction model gives a 17.05% chance ⭐ for a win of Leganés vs Valladolid with odds of 31 at Betfair.
Valladolid - Leganés Prediction and Best Odds:
| Valladolid Leganés Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 42.73% | 3.1 at Betsson |
| Under 2.5 | 61% | 1.93 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 22.16% | 4.2 at Betsson |
Valladolid vs Leganés Form
Valladolid and Leganés's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
19
|
30 | 33 | 6 | 12 | 15 | -19 |
|
20
|
16 | 33 | 4 | 4 | 25 | -57 |
Valladolid and Leganés Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
11 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
28 Apr 2024 - LaLiga 2
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
23 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jun 2024 - LaLiga 2
19 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Jun 2024 - LaLiga 2
18 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
27 Apr 2024 - LaLiga 2
12 Apr 2024 - LaLiga 2
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
12 May 2024 - LaLiga 2
Valladolid vs Leganés Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
50 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
3 Feb 2024 - LaLiga 2
17 Nov 2023 - LaLiga 2
2 Jan 2022 - LaLiga 2
13 Jun 2020 - LaLiga
3 Jan 2020 - LaLiga
4 Apr 2019 - LaLiga
Valladolid against Leganés Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 5 - 1
Most goals and assists
Valladolid
Leganés
M. Sylla
(5 Goals)
D. Raba
(7 Goals)
R. Moro
(3 Assists)
Oscar
(4 Assists)
,
D. Raba
(4 Assists)
Valladolid - Leganés Key Points
- Real Valladolid are unbeaten in 11 home matches, three of them being draws.
- Three of Leganes’ last five away league games at Valladolid produced draws.
- Last season these teams drew in both league meetings.
- Seven of Leganes’ last 12 matches ended in draws.
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Our Valladolid vs Leganés Prediction
Last season these two sides drew both games in the Segunda Division. Those two were seen as positive results for Leganes, who were considered underdogs in this fixture. They still are and after a solid start, the visitors will once again be expected to line up defensively.
Three of their last five league matches at Valladolid have returned draws, and they lost just once. We believe, with confidence from their initial matches, the visiting team will have enough to frustrate Valladolid and take a point. Our prediction for Real Valladolid v Leganes is for the game to end in a draw.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Valladolid Leganés
| Valladolid vs Leganés | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valladolid wins | 2.15 | 17 | +690.7% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 1.04 | -66.5% |
| Leganés wins | 3.4 | 23 | +576.5% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 66.5% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 96.2% (63.9%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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