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Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
A struggling Valencia faces a tough task before the international break as they come up against an in-form Villarreal side. This La Liga match at the Mestalla Stadium in Valencia on Saturday could have more misery in store for the hosts as our prediction favors an away win.
Valencia has zero points from three matches after losing all three games of this league campaign and are the only La Liga side yet to win a point this season. Villarreal has seven points from their three matches with two wins and a draw, starting this round two points behind leaders Barcelona.
The hosts lost 2-1 to Barcelona in their season opener before losing 3-1 to Celta Vigo and 1-0 to Athletic Bilbao. In fact, that makes them the only team yet to win even a single point in this league campaign. Going back to last season, the hosts have lost eight and drawn two of their last ten league matches, making it a tough time for the home fans.
Villarreal are in a better space, drawing one and winning two of their three matches so far. They started with an exciting 2-2 draw with Atletico Madrid before picking up the pace and winning their next two matches. The Yellow Submarine won 2-1 against Sevilla and then won 4-3 against Celta Vigo to come here just behind leaders Barcelona.
The visitors have one of the best scoring records of the season with eight goals, while their defensive record of conceding six is also one of the worst. Will that guarantee goals here? That could be a given, but the visitors are likely to target a win.
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The Best Betting Odds for Valencia v Villarreal Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
8.5 | 1.08 | 41 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.45 | 2.6 |
|
|
3.44 | 2.35 | 2.7 |
|
|
3.44 | 2.35 | 2.7 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.85 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.3 | 2.68 |
|
|
2.65 | 3.3 | 2.68 |
|
|
7 | 1.08 | 33 |
|
|
3.03 | 3.58 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.1 | 3.5 | 2.32 |
|
|
12 | 1.06 | 29 |
|
|
2.75 | 3.5 | 2.48 |
|
|
8.5 | 1.1 | 41 |
|
|
2.55 | 3.2 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.6 | 3.25 | 2.7 |
|
|
3.45 | 1.4 | 29 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Valencia and Villarreal?
Our prediction for the Valencia vs Villarreal match is: Villarreal to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 31/08/2024 between Valencia and Villarreal in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 14.86% for a win of Valencia against Villarreal with odds of 12 at Betway.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Valencia vs Villarreal is 34.77% with odds of 3.58 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 50.37% chance ⭐ for a win of Villarreal vs Valencia with odds of 41 at Bet365.
Valencia - Villarreal Prediction and Best Odds:
| Valencia Villarreal Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Villarreal wins | 50.37% | 41 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.22% | 5.75 at Betway |
| Both Team To Score | 61.67% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Villarreal | 23.27% | 56 at Betfair |
Valencia vs Villarreal Form
Valencia and Villarreal's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
5
|
30 | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 4 |
|
19
|
12 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -10 |
Valencia and Villarreal Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
28 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
23 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
19 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
11 May 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
23 Aug 2024 - LaLiga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
25 May 2024 - LaLiga
Valencia vs Villarreal Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
33 %
17 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
2 Jan 2024 - LaLiga
3 May 2023 - LaLiga
31 Dec 2022 - LaLiga
19 Apr 2022 - LaLiga
30 Oct 2021 - LaLiga
Players list
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderT. Correia
C. Tarrega
C. Mosquera
D. Foulquier
R. Mir
MidfielderPepelu
S. Canos
J. Guerra Moreno
ForwardD. Lopez
H. Duro
D. Conde
DefenderK. Femenia
R. Albiol
L. Costa
S. Cardona
MidfielderS. Comesana
I. Akhomach
P. Gueye
ForwardR. Terrats
T. Barry
J. Bernat
Substitutes
R. Jimenez
S. Dimitrievski
DefenderI. Cordoba
D. Foulquier
Y. Gasiorowski
R. Abajas
MidfielderE. Barrenechea
J. Guerra Moreno
M. Tejon
ForwardD. Gomez
S. Canos
R. Mir
L. Junior
DefenderA. Espigares
P. Navarro
J. Bernat
A. Sola
MidfielderK. Etta
D. Requena
R. Terrats
P. Cabanes
I. Akhomach
Missing players
M. Diakhaby
J. Gaya
A. Pedraza
N. Pepe
Most goals and assists
Valencia
Villarreal
H. Duro
(4 Goals)
A. Perez
(8 Goals)
D. Lopez
(2 Assists)
A. Baena
(6 Assists)
Valencia - Villarreal Key Points
- Valencia have lost eight of their last ten La Liga matches
- At home, Valencia have lost four of their last five league matches
- Villarreal have won their last two league matches
- Away from home, Villarreal have won two and drawn one of their last three league matches
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Our Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction
It has been a struggling start for Valencia in La Liga, losing all three matches so far. With some tough fixtures up next after the international break against Atletico Madrid and Girona, Valencia would want to stop the rut and get into the groove with some points here. Can they halt Villarreal, though? Two straight wins ahead of this trip make them favorites to continue that run, and our prediction for Valencia v Villarreal is a win for Villarreal.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Valencia Villarreal
| Valencia vs Villarreal | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 2.63 | 8.5 | +223.2% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 1.08 | -68.2% |
| Villarreal wins | 2.55 | 41 | +1,507.8% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Villarreal is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1,507.8% since opening
- The probability of this result was 39.2% and is now 2.4% (-36.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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