Spain - LaLiga
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by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Valencia will look to push further away from La Liga's relegation zone as they host midtable Sevilla in a matchday 31 meeting on Friday. This match at the Mestalla Stadium between the 15th-placed Los Ches and the 12th-placed Rojiblancos comes with our prediction of a home win.
Ahead of this round, these sides are separated by just two points, with Valencia (34) six points above the relegation zone and Sevilla two points above their hosts.
Coach Carlos Corberan seems to have wielded a magic wand as Valencia moved out of the relegation zone. A 2-1 away win at title challengers Real Madrid last weekend made it three wins and two draws from their last five league games.
Crucially, their form seems to improve at this venue, as Valencia have won five of their last six league matches played here. The only exception was a 3-0 defeat to Atletico Madrid.
Sevilla lost 2-1 at home to Atletico Madrid last weekend to continue their poor recent run. They were beaten in three consecutive league matches, although each by a single goal margin.
The visitors aren’t in any danger of imminent relegation, but results need to improve to allay fears. They did lose their last away match, a 2-1 derby loss to Real Betis, but had three wins and two draws prior.
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The Best Betting Odds for Valencia v Sevilla Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.35 | 3.1 | 3.3 |
|
|
2.3 | 3.1 | 3.4 |
|
|
2.62 | 2.2 | 3.5 |
|
|
2.17 | 3.05 | 3.55 |
|
|
2.33 | 3.16 | 3.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Valencia and Sevilla?
Our prediction for the Valencia vs Sevilla match is: Valencia wins the match.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 11/04/2025 between Valencia and Sevilla in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 40.02% for a win of Valencia against Sevilla with odds of 2.62 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Valencia vs Sevilla is 27.37% with odds of 3.2 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 32.61% chance ⭐ for a win of Sevilla vs Valencia with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
Valencia - Sevilla Prediction and Best Odds:
| Valencia Sevilla Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 40.02% | 2.62 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.77% | 2.33 at Betwinner |
| Both Team To Score | 49.17% | 2 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Valencia | 18.95% | 5.5 at Betsson |
Valencia vs Sevilla Form
Valencia and Sevilla's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
37 | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | -12 |
|
13
|
36 | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | -8 |
Valencia and Sevilla Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
8 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
22 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
6 Feb 2025 - Copa del Rey
2 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
15 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
2 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
15 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
26 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
14 Jan 2025 - Copa del Rey
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Apr 2025 - LaLiga
16 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
24 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
9 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
25 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
9 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
1 Mar 2025 - LaLiga
16 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
1 Feb 2025 - LaLiga
18 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
Valencia vs Sevilla Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
67 %
17 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
11 Jan 2025 - LaLiga
17 Feb 2024 - LaLiga
11 Aug 2023 - LaLiga
16 Apr 2023 - LaLiga
18 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
19 Jan 2022 - LaLiga
Valencia against Sevilla Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
T. Correia
MidfielderI. Jaime
T. Nianzou
MidfielderR. Vargas
ForwardA. Adams
Most goals and assists
Valencia
Sevilla
H. Duro
(8 Goals)
D. Lukebakio
(11 Goals)
D. Lopez
(3 Assists)
,
L. Rioja
(3 Assists)
,
J. Guerra Moreno
(3 Assists)
, 
A. Almeida
(3 Assists)
S. Niguez
(6 Assists)
Valencia - Sevilla Key Points
- Valencia won three of their last four La Liga matches.
- At home, Valencia won five of their last six league matches.
- Sevilla lost three league matches in a row.
- Sevilla were beaten in four of their last nine away league matches.
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Our Valencia vs Sevilla Prediction
The arrival of Carlos Corberan seems to have revitalised Valencia, as they quickly moved away from the relegation zone. They can pick up another three crucial points here against Sevilla to move further closer towards achieving safety. That doesn’t seem an out-of-this-world proposition, looking at how Valencia have been winning at their home venue. Although Sevilla haven’t been poor on their travels lately, this could be a tough trip for them. Our Valencia vs Sevilla prediction is Valencia wins the match.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Valencia Sevilla
| Valencia vs Sevilla | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 2.25 | 2.35 | +4.4% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.1 | -8.8% |
| Sevilla wins | 3.2 | 3.3 | +3.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Valencia is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 4.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 42.6% (-1.9%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Valencia vs. Sevilla game!
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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