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Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Daniel Ngulu in LaLiga Predictions
The threat of relegation looms large at Valencia and they will be looking to ease the fears when Real Madrid visits. Real Madrid start the year placed second while Valencia are second from bottom in the league standings. Let’s look at the preview and a prediction for this match.
Valencia’s season hasn’t had a lot of positives. They come into this game stuck in the red zone. Los Ches came from losing position in their last two matches to register draws.
The latest of them was the 2-2 outcome at home to CD Alaves, with Dani Gomez scoring the second in stoppage time. That left them winless in five La Liga matches.
Real Madrid had a strong ending to 2024, winning the Intercontinental Cup before wrapping it up by beating Sevilla. A strong performance in beating Sevilla 4-2 extended their good scoring run.
Real Madrid have netted three goals or more in each of their last five matches. They are also unbeaten in those matches, having had a shift in fortunes since falling 2-1 to Athletic Bilbao.
Los Blancos are favorites here but must improve on their 3-3 draw with Rayo Vallecano in their latest away match. They also drew 2-2 with Valencia in their last meeting but lost once in eight matchups.
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The Best Betting Odds for Valencia v Real Madrid Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
7 | 4.75 | 1.42 |
|
|
8 | 5 | 1.36 |
|
|
6.5 | 4.6 | 1.44 |
|
|
8.02 | 4.87 | 1.43 |
|
|
8.02 | 4.87 | 1.43 |
|
|
7.75 | 4.9 | 1.41 |
|
|
7.3 | 4.96 | 1.4 |
|
|
7.3 | 4.96 | 1.4 |
|
|
7.4 | 5 | 1.44 |
|
|
7.8 | 4.76 | 1.4 |
|
|
7.2 | 5 | 1.44 |
|
|
7.5 | 4.7 | 1.38 |
|
|
6.5 | 4.5 | 1.36 |
|
|
7 | 4.75 | 1.45 |
|
|
7.5 | 4.75 | 1.4 |
|
|
7.5 | 4.8 | 1.44 |
|
|
7 | 4.75 | 1.43 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Valencia and Real Madrid?
Our prediction for the Valencia vs Real Madrid match is: over 2.5 goals and Real Madrid to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 03/01/2025 between Valencia and Real Madrid in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 26.26% for a win of Valencia against Real Madrid with odds of 8.02 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Valencia vs Real Madrid is 24.9% with odds of 5 at Betfred.
- Our prediction model gives a 48.85% chance ⭐ for a win of Real Madrid vs Valencia with odds of 1.45 at Betsson.
Valencia - Real Madrid Prediction and Best Odds:
| Valencia Real Madrid Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins | 48.85% | 1.45 at Betsson |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.44% | 1.83 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 51.25% | 1.91 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Real Madrid | 25.89% | 4.4 at Unibet |
Valencia vs Real Madrid Form
Valencia and Real Madrid's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
43 | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 24 |
|
19
|
12 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | -11 |
Valencia and Real Madrid Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
13 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
23 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
21 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
24 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
21 Sep 2024 - LaLiga
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
18 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
13 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2024 - Copa del Rey
29 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
26 Nov 2024 - Copa del Rey
27 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2024 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
22 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
18 Dec 2024 - FIFA Intercontinental Cup
1 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
9 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
5 Nov 2024 - Champions League
26 Oct 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
10 Dec 2024 - Champions League
7 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
4 Dec 2024 - LaLiga
27 Nov 2024 - Champions League
24 Nov 2024 - LaLiga
Valencia vs Real Madrid Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 %
33 %
50 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
2 Mar 2024 - LaLiga
11 Nov 2023 - LaLiga
21 May 2023 - LaLiga
2 Feb 2023 - LaLiga
11 Jan 2023 - Super Cup
8 Jan 2022 - LaLiga
Valencia against Real Madrid Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Missing players
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderM. Diakhaby
T. Correia
J. Gaya
MidfielderF. Perez
ForwardR. Mir
D. Alaba
D. Carvajal
E. Militao
Most goals and assists
Valencia
Real Madrid
H. Duro
(5 Goals)
V. Junior
(13 Goals)
D. Lopez
(2 Assists)
V. Junior
(6 Assists)
, 
J. Bellingham
(6 Assists)
Valencia - Real Madrid Key Points
- Real Madrid are unbeaten in five matches.
- In five La Liga matches, Valencia are winless, losing three.
- Real Madrid have one loss in eight meetings with Valencia.
- The last two matches between these sides produced 10 goals.
- Three of Valencia’s last four home matches had over 2.5 goals.
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Our Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction
Real Madrid hold the favorites tag going into this game. For starters, they’ve recently lost just once against Valencia in eight meetings. Aside from that, they carry a healthy run into this game, having won four of their last five matches. They’ve also been scoring a lot in these matches.
Meanwhile, Valencia have a poor run and we expect them to struggle just as in most of their recent meetings with Real Madrid. Our prediction for Valencia v Real Madrid is for over 2.5 goals and Real Madrid to win.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Valencia Real Madrid
| Valencia vs Real Madrid | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 5 | 7 | +40.0% |
| Draw | 4.1 | 4.75 | +15.9% |
| Real Madrid wins | 1.62 | 1.42 | -12.3% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Real Madrid is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 12.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 61.7% and is now 70.4% (8.7%)
Use £30 free bets for the Valencia vs. Real Madrid game!
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Try your luck on this year's LaLiga! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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