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Valencia vs Barcelona Prediction & Betting Tips - LaLiga
by Sridhar in LaLiga Predictions
Off-field issues continue to stifle Barcelona, but they travel to Valencia with high hopes of starting the new 2024/25 La Liga season off on the right foot. This matchday one fixture at the Mestalla Stadium will be played on Saturday, and our production is a game full of goals.
Valencia surprised quite a few analysts with the way their season went by last year. That was largely due to the influence that club legend Ruben Baraja has brought to the club. He would be keen to lead another impressive season, although starting against Barcelona remains a challenge.
Barcelona are yet to register summer signing Dani Olmo as they struggle with ongoing financial difficulties. There are four more players awaiting registration, which takes some of the sheen off their preparations.
Hansi Flick has taken charge of the club, but will that be enough to spark a change in fortunes and start their title charge with a win? Let’s take a closer look.
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The Best Betting Odds for Valencia v Barcelona Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
451 | 17 | 1.03 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.75 | 1.73 |
|
|
11 | 5.26 | 1.23 |
|
|
11 | 5.26 | 1.23 |
|
|
4.7 | 3.8 | 1.72 |
|
|
4.74 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.74 | 3.9 | 1.7 |
|
|
100 | 11.75 | 1.02 |
|
|
4.8 | 3.88 | 1.7 |
|
|
4.9 | 3.95 | 1.72 |
|
|
251 | 23 | 1.01 |
|
|
4.7 | 3.9 | 1.71 |
|
|
4.75 | 3.8 | 1.75 |
|
|
5 | 3.75 | 1.68 |
|
|
4 | 3.8 | 1.85 |
|
|
301 | 13 | 1.05 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Valencia and Barcelona?
Our prediction for the Valencia vs Barcelona match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/08/2024 between Valencia and Barcelona in LaLiga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 22.29% for a win of Valencia against Barcelona with odds of 451 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Valencia vs Barcelona is 28.59% with odds of 23 at Betway.
- Our prediction model gives a 49.12% chance ⭐ for a win of Barcelona vs Valencia with odds of 1.85 at William Hill.
Valencia - Barcelona Prediction and Best Odds:
| Valencia Barcelona Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins | 49.12% | 1.85 at William Hill |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.9% | 2.06 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 55.42% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Barcelona | 21.23% | 4.8 at Unibet |
Valencia vs Barcelona Form
Valencia and Barcelona's standings in the LaLiga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
38 | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 29 |
|
19
|
12 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -10 |
Valencia and Barcelona Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
31 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
20 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
12 May 2024 - LaLiga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
28 May 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - LaLiga
16 May 2024 - LaLiga
29 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - LaLiga
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - LaLiga
13 May 2024 - LaLiga
29 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
26 May 2024 - LaLiga
16 May 2024 - LaLiga
4 May 2024 - LaLiga
21 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
13 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
Valencia vs Barcelona Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
17 %
83 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
29 Apr 2024 - LaLiga
16 Dec 2023 - LaLiga
5 Mar 2023 - LaLiga
29 Oct 2022 - LaLiga
20 Feb 2022 - LaLiga
17 Oct 2021 - LaLiga
Valencia - Barcelona: Form Analysis
Valencia ended their last friendly with a 3-2 win over Eintracht Frankfurt. That remains their only win across their last six matches, drawing two and losing four.
They finished ninth in the table last season with 49 points, which was a commendable effort. As they look to recreate the positive effects of that season, Valencia knows that it won’t be straight-forward to start well against Barcelona, against whom they have struggled.
Valencia won just one of their last 16 games against Barcelona.
That record could spur on Barcelona, who are coming here on the back of consecutive defeats. They were beaten by AC Milan and Monaco in their last two friendlies, although that was preceded by a sequence of back-to-back wins.
Last season, the Catalans finished second with 85 points, but a whopping ten away from arch rivals and winners Real Madrid.
Away results will likely play a crucial role in determining the 2024/25 league winners. Barcelona were strong on their travels in the prior campaign, averaging 2.05 points won per away trip. However, this was second to Real Madrid, who earned five more away points than the Blaugrana.
With such little room for error, the pressure is already on for Hansi Flick and Barcelona to produce a positive performance.
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Players list
G. Mamardashvili
DefenderT. Correia
C. Mosquera
Y. Gasiorowski
M. Tejon
MidfielderH. Guillamon
Pepelu
D. Gomez
ForwardD. Otorbi
D. Foulquier
H. Duro
M. Ter Stegen
DefenderJ. Kounde
A. Christensen
I. Martinez
G. Martin
MidfielderE. Garcia
M. Casado
ForwardRaphinha
P. Victor
R. Lewandowski
Pedri
Substitutes
S. Dimitrievski
R. Jimenez
DefenderR. Abajas
H. Guillamon
C. Ozkacar
D. Foulquier
A. Serradell
C. Tarrega
MidfielderM. Tejon
Alberto Mari
D. Gomez
D. Otorbi
I. Pena
A. Astralaga
DefenderG. Martin
A. Valle
S. Dominguez
H. Fort
E. Garcia
A. Christensen
Pedri
P. Torre
ForwardP. Victor
Missing players
M. Diakhaby
J. Gaya
Valencia & Barcelona Squad Analysis
Valencia’s injury problems are well documented, with at least four players unavailable for the start of this season’s campaign. Fran Perez, Mouctar Diakhaby, Jaume Domenech, and Jose Gaya are still unavailable for the home team.
Giorgi Mamardashvili is set to leave Valencia.
The Georgian ‘keeper looks to be on his way out of the club, with Liverpool likely to be his destination. Barcelona have a few problems of their own, highlighted by their inability to register players.
Dani Olmo is yet to be registered by Barcelona as they continue to grapple with off-field financial issues. He is unlikely to be available for the start of the season.
Injuries continue to be a problem for the Catalans, who are set to miss Ronald Araujo, Ansu Fati, and Gavi due to injuries. Pedri and Frenkie de Jong remain major doubts for the visitors as the duo is still recuperating from injuries. Lamine Yamal has just returned to full training after his exploits in the Euros, and it could be interesting to see if he’s involved with the team.
Most goals and assists
Valencia
Barcelona
H. Duro
(4 Goals)
R. Lewandowski
(23 Goals)
D. Lopez
(2 Assists)
L. Yamal
(11 Assists)
Valencia - Barcelona Key Points
- Barcelona’s last four matches have all returned over 2.5 goals.
- In five of their last seven league matches, Barcelona have seen at least three goals scored.
- Barcelona have scored exactly two goals in each of their last four away league matches.
- Three of Valencia’s last four matches have returned more than two goals.
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Our Valencia vs Barcelona Prediction
This isn’t a fixture that Valencia has traditionally enjoyed, at least in recent times. They have won just one of their last 16 matches in the league against Barcelona and could once again struggle here.
For the Catalans, this is their first match under new coach Hansi Flick, who will be desperate to start on a positive note with a win. That puts goals in focus here, and that’s why our prediction for Valencia vs Barcelona is for over 2.5 goals to be scored.
Valencia vs Barcelona - Other Interesting Predictions
Robert Lewandowski to score anytime
Robert Lewandowski was one of the consistent strikers for Barcelona last season and looks good to continue his striking prowess. He also scored a hat-trick when these sides last met, so the visiting fans will hope there’s more in the tank left for Lewa.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Valencia Barcelona
| Valencia vs Barcelona | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valencia wins | 3.9 | 451 | +11,464.1% |
| Draw | 3.7 | 17 | +359.5% |
| Barcelona wins | 1.75 | 1.03 | -41.1% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Barcelona is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 41.1% since opening
- The probability of this result was 57.1% and is now 97.1% (39.9%)
Valencia vs Barcelona match : Frequently asked questions
This Valencia vs Barcelona La Liga match will be televised live on DAZN, LaLiga TV, and Movistar.
You can also follow the game through our live scores. Check out our La Liga Livescore page!
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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