USA vs Uruguay Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Devesh Jaganath in Copa America Predictions
Are USMNT headed for a premature Copa America exit?
The United States will be playing to keep their tournament hopes alive when they face unbeaten Uruguay at the Arrowhead Stadium on Tuesday morning.
No team from Group C has qualified or been eliminated from the competition yet, meaning there’s still everything to play for heading into the final match of the round for these sides.
USMNT have got themselves into a tricky situation to qualify for the next round and will exit the tournament if they are unable to match Panama’s result in the other match taking place in this group.
Uruguay, on the other hand, will be brimming with confidence after a resounding 5-0 win in their last match against Bolivia. It will take a defeat by a huge margin to see La Celeste fail to make it through to the last 16.
Let’s run through the full permutations and predictions below.
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The Best Betting Odds for USA v Uruguay Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.9 | 3.2 | 2.55 |
|
|
3.1 | 2.2 | 2.87 |
|
|
3.9 | 2.58 | 2.58 |
|
|
3.9 | 2.58 | 2.58 |
|
|
2.9 | 3.15 | 2.65 |
|
|
2.43 | 3.3 | 2.96 |
|
|
3.75 | 2.45 | 2.6 |
|
|
2.45 | 3.3 | 2.93 |
|
|
2.38 | 3.1 | 2.8 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between USA and Uruguay?
Our prediction for the USA vs Uruguay match is: Double Chance Uruguay or Draw!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 7/1/24 between USA and Uruguay in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 31.02% for a win of USA against Uruguay with odds of 3.9 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between USA vs Uruguay is 35.87% with odds of 3.3 at Betwinner.
- Our prediction model gives a 33.11% chance ⭐ for a win of Uruguay vs USA with odds of 2.96 at Betwinner.
USA - Uruguay Prediction and Best Odds:
| USA Uruguay Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 35.87% | 3.3 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 55.64% | 1.85 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 52.08% | 1.95 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time: Draw/Draw | 13% | 4.75 at Bet365 |
USA vs Uruguay Form
USA and Uruguay's standings in the Copa America
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
|
2
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
USA and Uruguay Last Matches
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
23 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
24 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
21 Mar 2024 - CONCACAF Nations League
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
23 Jun 2024 - Copa America
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
31 May 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
23 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
USA against Uruguay : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
100 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
5 Jun 2022 - International Friendlies
10 Sep 2019 - International Friendlies
USA - Uruguay: Form Analysis
The United States have got themselves into a bit of a mess after losing their second match of the competition 2-1 to Panama on Friday night.
Gregg Berhalter’s side had taken an early lead in that match thanks to Folarin Balogun but their opponents made the most of their advantage, scoring twice after Timothy Weah was sent off in the 18th minute.
That means the US must match Panama’s result against Bolivia to maintain a chance of qualifying for the knockout round.
Should the US and Panama both win their final matches of the group, the group will be decided by the goal difference between the top three teams in the group. Uruguay currently have a massive advantage in that regard, while the US currently lead Panama by two goals. USMNT have now won only one of their last four matches in all competitions, which came in their opening match of this competition against Bolivia.
Notably, the last two matches between these sides ended level!
While all four teams in Group C can still mathematically qualify for the last 16, Uruguay are in a very strong position.
They currently lead the group with a perfect record of two wins in two matches and are three points ahead of the US and Panama. Therefore, all La Celeste need is a point from this match to qualify for the Round of 16 as group winners!
Indeed, Uruguay will still progress to the next round even if they lose this match, provided Panama do not beat Bolivia in the other match in this group.
Marcelo Bielsa’s side are unbeaten in their last four matches in all competitions and have suffered just one defeat in their last 10 competitive matches dating back to the 2022 FIFA World Cup.
La Celeste are the highest-scoring side at Copa America 2024 with eight goals in two games!
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USA against Uruguay Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
T. Weah
S. Bueno
USA & Uruguay Squad Analysis
As mentioned, Timothy Weah was sent off the last match and will be forced to sit out this one.
Matt Turner was withdrawn in the second half against Panama with a knock and is a doubt for this match. Ethan Horvath is the most likely to replace Turner in the starting 11 if he does not return in time.
Folarin Balogun has scored in both of the USA’s matches and became only the second American after Clint Dempsey to score in consecutive Copa America games!
Maximiliano Araujo and Darwin Nunez scored for Uruguay in both matches so far and are in a five-way tie for the Golden Boot with Balogun, Lautaro Martinez and Vinicius Junior.
Ronald Araujo was a minor doubt ahead of the last match against Bolivia but played the full 90 and should be deployed at centre-back again in this match.
USA - Uruguay Key Points
- Uruguay are unbeaten at Copa America 2024
- Uruguay have only lost one of their last 10 competitive matches
- Uruguay are the highest scorers in the competition
- The last two matches between these teams ended in draws
- The US have only won one of their last four games in all competitions
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Our USA vs Uruguay Prediction
While the United States hold the advantage in the world rankings, they have not been at their absolute best in recent times and face an uphill battle in needing to beat an in-form La Celeste outright.
Uruguay have been one of the best teams in the CONMEBOL region in the last year and will be brimming with confidence after hammering Bolivia in the last match. We feel they will be able to avoid defeat in this one. Our United States vs Uruguay prediction: Double Chance Uruguay or Draw!
USA vs Uruguay - Other Interesting Predictions
Over 2.5
Four of Uruguay’s last five matches have ended with over 2.5 gaols. La Celeste have also scored three or more goals in both their matches at Copa America 2024. 2.1
Darwin Nunez to score anytime
The Liverpool attacker has now scored eight goals in Uruguay’s last 10 matches, including five in the last three matches alone.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis USA Uruguay
| USA vs Uruguay | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA wins | 2.8 | 2.9 | +3.6% |
| Draw | 3.1 | 3.2 | +3.2% |
| Uruguay wins | 2.6 | 2.55 | -1.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- A draw is the most likely outcome
- The odds for this bet have increased by 3.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 32.3% and is now 31.3% (-1.0%)
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USA vs Uruguay match : Frequently asked questions
The 2024 Copa America match between the USA and Uruguay will take place on July 2 at 02:00 GMT.
The 2024 Copa America match between the USA and Uruguay will be played at the Arrowhead Stadium in Missouri.
Premier Sports holds the rights to the Copa America tournament in the UK.
Alternatively, you can stay up to date with all the Copa America Livescores right here on SportyTrader!In 4 previous matches between these sides, both teams have won once, while the two most recent encounters ended level.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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