Uruguay vs Paraguay Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
The seventh of 18 scheduled matchdays for the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying campaign sees second-place Uruguay hosting seventh-placed Paraguay on Friday evening. Let’s break down this match between La Celeste and Los Guaraníes.
Uruguay’s total of 13 points sees them just two points behind leaders Argentina. Paraguay are currently occupying the intercontinental playoff spot and sit two points behind sixth-place Brazil for automatic qualification.
The good times continue to roll for Uruguay boss Marcelo Bielsa. A solid showing in the Copa America saw them finish third after a penalty shootout victory over Canada. The tournament raised Marcelo Bielsa’s record to 11 wins, one draw and three defeats in 15 matches in charge of La Celeste.
Uruguay have qualified for four consecutive editions of the World Cup, with their last failed appearance coming in Germany 2006. They’re expected to qualify once again this time around with many fans and experts tipping them to battle Argentina for the top spot.
Paraguay, on the other hand, are very much on the opposite side of the coin. They failed to claim a single point in their Copa America campaign, losing all three matches by a combined score of 8-3.
Their last appearance was the final group stage game of the Copa America, where they suffered a 2-1 loss to Costa Rica after conceding twice in the opening 10 minutes. It was also the last game in charge for former manager Daniel Garnero, who was sacked following the disappointing tournament.
La Albirroja have now managed just a single win in their last eight appearances, drawing twice and losing five.
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The Best Betting Odds for Uruguay v Paraguay Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.57 | 3.75 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.53 | 4 | 6 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.77 | 6.76 |
|
|
1.57 | 3.77 | 6.76 |
|
|
1.49 | 3.8 | 6.5 |
|
|
1.5 | 3.98 | 7.5 |
|
|
1.39 | 4.4 | 8.8 |
|
|
1.55 | 4.04 | 6.15 |
|
|
1.53 | 4.1 | 6.2 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uruguay and Paraguay?
Our prediction for the Uruguay vs Paraguay match is: Uruguay team total over 1.5.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 06/09/2024 between Uruguay and Paraguay in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 56.13% for a win of Uruguay against Paraguay with odds of 1.57 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uruguay vs Paraguay is 24.91% with odds of 4.4 at Stake.
- Our prediction model gives a 18.96% chance ⭐ for a win of Paraguay vs Uruguay with odds of 8.8 at Stake.
Uruguay - Paraguay Prediction and Best Odds:
| Uruguay Paraguay Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Uruguay wins | 56.13% | 1.57 at Bet365 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51.91% | 2.3 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 33.75% | 2.25 at Bet365 |
| Half-time / Full-time : Uruguay/Uruguay | 27.09% | 2.5 at Bet365 |
Uruguay vs Paraguay Form
Uruguay and Paraguay's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
|
7
|
9 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1 |
Uruguay and Paraguay Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Copa America
10 Jul 2024 - Copa America
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
16 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
Uruguay against Paraguay : Head to Head (H2H)
67 %
33 %
0 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
27 Jan 2022 - World Cup
28 Jun 2021 - Copa America
3 Jun 2021 - World Cup
Uruguay vs Paraguay last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Missing players
R. Araujo
O. Alderete
MidfielderM. Rojas
A. Cubas
Uruguay - Paraguay Key Points
- Uruguay have scored 42 goals in 15 matches under Marcelo Bielsa (2.80 per game average).
- Of those 15 matches, 11 have finished with Uruguay scoring at least two goals.
- Paraguay have allowed two or more goals in their last three consecutive matches.
- Uruguay have netted eight goals in just three games on home soil in this World Cup qualifying campaign.
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Our Uruguay vs Paraguay Prediction
Uruguay are a perfect three for three on home soil in this competition, which included an impressive 2-0 win over Brazil back in October of 2023. With this match also being a send-off to all-time record goalscorer Luis Suárez, expect the hosts' tails to be up from the first whistle.
One thing that has been true of all Marcelo Bielsa coached teams: goals are to be expected. The hosts therefore should be able to take advantage of a reeling Paraguayan team that arrive in Montevideo on a really tough run of form. Our Uruguay vs Paraguay prediction: Uruguay team total over 1.5.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Uruguay Paraguay
| Uruguay vs Paraguay | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay wins | 1.55 | 1.57 | +1.3% |
| Draw | 3.9 | 3.75 | -3.8% |
| Paraguay wins | 6.25 | 6.5 | +4.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Uruguay is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 1.3% since opening
- The probability of this result was 64.5% and is now 63.7% (-0.8%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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