Uruguay vs Brazil Prediction & Betting Tips - Copa America
by Ian John | in Copa America Predictions
Two South American giants will clash in Las Vegas as Uruguay face Brazil in the final quarter-final of the Copa America 2024! Along with Argentina, these two teams are two of the most decorated teams in Copa America history, winning the famous trophy 24 times between them (15 for La Celeste, 9 for the Seleção). Let's take a look at the match stats and predictions for these two Conmebol heavyweights!
Uruguay strolled through Group C in the tournament, winning all three of its games, including a 5-0 thumping of Bolivia and a final group game 1-0 win over hosts United States. That result secured Uruguay the top spot in the group and also eliminated the host nation. Marcelo Bielsa’s team are the top goalscorers in the tournament so far, netting nine goals in three games, conceding just once.
Brazil’s journey into the quarterfinals of the Copa America was considerably less impressive. Dorival Jr.’s team began with a very disappointing 0-0 draw against Costa Rica in their opening fixture but then seemed to put things right with a 4-1 victory over Paraguay in their second game. A tough final group game with Colombia, unbeaten in 25 games heading into this match, would decide the winner. A 1-1 draw was not enough for Brazil, meaning they finished second in Group D and now face Uruguay in the quarterfinal. The winner of the tie will go on to face either Colombia or Panama in the second semi-final on July 11th.
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The Best Betting Odds for Uruguay v Brazil Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
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3.1 | 2.88 | 2.63 |
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3.1 | 2.75 | 2.62 |
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29 | 1.04 | 15 |
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29 | 1.04 | 15 |
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2.8 | 3.1 | 2.65 |
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3 | 3.05 | 2.6 |
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2.88 | 3 | 2.69 |
|
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3 | 3.05 | 2.6 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uruguay and Brazil?
Our prediction for the Uruguay vs Brazil match is: Both Teams to Score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 7/6/24 between Uruguay and Brazil in Copa America :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.31% for a win of Uruguay against Brazil with odds of 29 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uruguay vs Brazil is 21.51% with odds of 3.1 at Betobet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Brazil vs Uruguay with odds of 15 at 1xbet.
Uruguay - Brazil Prediction and Best Odds:
| Uruguay Brazil Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Uruguay wins | 43.31% | 29 at 1xbet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.84% | 2.38 at Bet365 |
| Both Team To Score | 57.08% | 2.15 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time / Full-time : Uruguay/Uruguay | 16.99% | 5.5 at Bet365 |
Uruguay vs Brazil Form
Uruguay and Brazil Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
23 Jun 2024 - Copa America
5 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
31 May 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
2 Jul 2024 - Copa America
28 Jun 2024 - Copa America
24 Jun 2024 - Copa America
12 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Uruguay against Brazil : Head to Head (H2H)
25 %
0 %
75 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Oct 2023 - World Cup
14 Oct 2021 - World Cup
17 Nov 2020 - World Cup
16 Nov 2018 - International Friendlies
Uruguay - Brazil: Form Analysis
Uruguay’s form heading into the tournament was excellent and has continued in that vein throughout the group stage. Los Charruas have lost just twice since September 2023, both 2-1 defeats away to Ecuador and then to the Ivory Coast in a friendly game held in Lens, France back in March. They have drawn two other fixtures alongside those defeats, winning the remaining eight.
What has been truly impressive is not just their wins, but the manner in which they have achieved them. They have scored plenty of goals across those 12 games, a total of 28, with wins of 4-0 over Mexico and 5-0 over Bolivia in their last four matches. Furthermore, they can point to wins over Brazil (at home) and Argentina (away from home) in that run, as well as a draw in Colombia, showcasing their ability to get key results in the big games.
Uruguay won its three Group Stage games, defeating Panama 3-1, Bolivia 5-0, and the United States 1-0 in their trickiest game so far.
Only Uruguay, Argentina and Venezuela were able to win all three of their group matches.
Brazil are unbeaten in 2024, but Dorival Jr’s team did lose three games in a row at the end of 2023, which has put them in a very tricky position in their World Cup Qualifying campaign. One of those defeats came at the hands of today’s opponents Uruguay, while the others came away to Colombia (2-1) and at home to Argentina (1-0).
Since then, Brazil have drawn four and won three of their seven fixtures in 2024. That includes two draws in the group stages of the Copa America, a 0-0 draw with Costa Rica and a 1-1 draw with Colombia. Sandwiched in between was their best tournament performance, a 4-1 win over Paraguay at the stadium where this quarter-final clash will be played.
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Uruguay against Brazil Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Formation : 4 - 3 - 3
Missing players
N. Nandez
R. Araujo
V. Junior
Uruguay & Brazil Squad Analysis
Uruguay should have a full strength squad to pick from for the game with Brazil. Their disciplinary record at the tournament has been excellent, with just one booking across the three matches in the group stages so far. However, that was awarded to Darwin Nunez, a player that they will be desperate to have available for any potential semi-final.
Uruguay's star players in the tournament have included defender Ronald Araujo, midfielders Francesco Valverde and Maximiliano Araujo, and striker Darwin Nunez.
Brazil will be without star man Vinicius Jr. due to suspension.
Brazil suffered a massive blow in their 1-1 draw with Colombia. Not only did the result mean that they finished second in the group, thus facing Uruguay in the quarter-finals, but a booking for star man Vinicius Jr. rules him out of this game. As Brazil’s main attacking threat, his absence against Uruguay will be keenly felt, especially with the injured Neymar missing the entire tournament. Arsenal’s Gabriel Martinelli could come in, as could the 17-year-old prodigy Endrick, who will join Real Madrid once the tournament is completed.
Defender Marquinhos is one of Brazil’s most consistent performers, as is goalkeeper Alisson and they will be key against this pacy and dangerous Uruguay attack.
Uruguay - Brazil Key Points
- Uruguay have scored at least one goal in all of their last 12 matches.
- Brazil have scored in six of their last seven games.
- Uruguay are the highest scoring team at the Copa America, with nine goals scored in their three group games.
- Nine of the last 13 games between Brazil and Uruguay have seen both teams score.
- Four of the last five matches between Uruguay and Brazil at the Copa America have finished as a score draw at full time/end of extra time.
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Our Uruguay vs Brazil Prediction
Our prediction for the Uruguay vs Brazil Copa America 2024 quarter-final is for both teams to score
Uruguay have been electric in attack in the Copa America 2024 so far; rattling an average of three goals per game, winning all three group games and looking potent in attack. Add to that their muscular and combative defence and you have the recipe for a team that could well go far in the tournament.
However, they probably weren't banking on meeting Brazil in the quarter-final. After finishing second in Group D to Colombia, the Selecao extended their unbeaten run to seven games in 2024, although four of those have been drawn. The data suggests a close game, but one where attack may be the best form of defence for both teams. As such, backing both teams to score is our main prediction for this classic Copa America tie.
Uruguay vs Brazil - Other Interesting Predictions
Darwin Nunez (Uruguay) to score at any time
Liverpool's much-maligned Uruguayan striker Darwin Nunez may have struggled for goals towards the end of the season at Anfield, but he has found them much easier to come by in a national team shirt. He scored ten goals for Uruguay in their last ten games, including goals against Brazil and Argentina in World Cup qualifying victories over the two.
He also bagged a hat-trick against Mexico in their final warm-up fixture for the tournament and continued his good form with goals in their first two games of the Copa America, scoring in the wins over Panama and Bolivia.
His directness and pace has caused Brazil problems in the recent past and as such, he is our secondary prediction to score at any time in this game.
Uruguay to win and both teams to score
Our final selection is to pair our initial prediction of both teams to score, with a prediction of the winner of the match, which we believe will be Uruguay.
Brazil may be unbeaten in 2024, but they have struggled in World Cup qualifying, losing three games out of six played, including a 2-0 defeat to Uruguay in that run. Their form at the Copa America has also been mixed with poor showings in the draws with Costa Rica and Colombia. Vinicius Jr. scored twice in their 4-1 win over Paraguay, but the Real Madrid man will be suspended for this game with Uruguay, which is a massive blow for Brazil. Especially against a quality defence like Uruguay possesses.
Brazil's defence has been resolute, but they face their biggest tournament test in the form of a free-scoring Uruguay team. With Darwin Nunez in form and legend Luis Suarez likely to be available from the bench if required, the goalscoring threat of Uruguay, compared to that of Brazil, is far greater. Brazil will likely score in this game, they tend to score in most games, but even so, Uruguay's form and quality means that they are our pick to land the win with both teams scoring.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Uruguay Brazil
| Uruguay vs Brazil | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uruguay wins | 2.75 | 3.1 | +12.7% |
| Draw | 3.3 | 2.88 | -12.7% |
| Brazil wins | 2.5 | 2.63 | +5.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Uruguay is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 12.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 36.4% and is now 32.3% (-4.1%)
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Uruguay vs Brazil match : Frequently asked questions
UK customers need to have a subscription with Premier Sports in order to watch the Brazil v Uruguay Copa America 2024 quarter-final tie.
If you do not have a subscription to this service and want to follow the game, SportyTrader offers a detailed Copa America 2024 Livescore service that offers real-time data updates, text commentary and much more besides. All free of charge for fans to view!
The Copa America quarter-final tie between Uruguay and Brazil will kick off at 2 am UK Time on Sunday 7th July 2024.
The game will be contested at Allegiant Stadium in Paradise Nevada, close to the famous Las Vegas strip, and home of the NFL team Las Vegas Raiders.
The weather in Paradise and at Allegiant Stadium will be incredibly hot, with temperatures of 47 degrees centigrade forecast.
However, Allegiant Stadium has a roof, which will likely be closed and with air-conditioning, the temperature inside the stadium is likely to be far cooler than outside temperatures.
Brazil and Uruguay are old adversaries and have met a total of 79 times previously.
Brazil have the upper hand in the fixture, winning 40 of those matches, compared to 22 victories for Uruguay and 17 matches finished as draws.
Last time the teams met, Uruguay ended a 12-game streak without a win against Brazil, winning 2-0 in a FIFA World Cup qualifier in October 2023.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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