Uruguay vs Brazil Prediction & Betting Tips - World Cup
by Joseph King in World Cup Predictions
The fourth matchday of 18 in the CONMEBOL 2026 World Cup qualifying campaign sees fourth-place Uruguay hosting second-place Brazil in Montevideo. The expanded format means that six of the 10 teams in this region will automatically qualify while seventh-place enters into a playoff. Two-time world champions Uruguay will be expected to qualify for their fifth consecutive World Cup after exiting Qatar 2022 in the group stages. They’ve had a decent start to the campaign with a win, a draw and a loss in their first four games. The most recent outing for La Celeste resulted in a back-and-forth 2-2 away draw with Colombia. Uruguay looked to be heading towards their second defeat before a Darwin Nuñez penalty in the 90th minute evened up the score. The result means that former Leeds manager Marcelo Bielsa has improved his record to 3-1-1 since taking over the team in May.
Brazil have experienced a mixed start to the qualifying group by their lofty standards. Things started off smoothly with a dominant 5-1 home win over Bolivia before having to grind out a 1-0 away win against Peru. They looked to be heading towards maintaining their 100% winning record before an 85th minute strike leveled the score at 1-1 in their match against Venezuela. The game would finish in a stalemate as the Brazilians wasted an opportunity on their home soil. Fernando Diniz’s men will now be hoping for a bounce back but will face a tricky opponent in Uruguay. The Seleção Canarinha have been somewhat wasteful in recent matches as their advanced statistics show a team that should have more goals. Brazil have created a total of 13 clear cut scoring chances in their three qualifying games but only seven goals to show for their efforts.
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The Best Betting Odds for Uruguay v Brazil Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
4.33 | 3.5 | 1.91 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.35 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.46 | 1.83 |
|
|
4.6 | 3.46 | 1.83 |
|
|
4.38 | 3.44 | 1.87 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.1 | 1.88 |
|
|
4.2 | 3.42 | 1.91 |
|
|
4.48 | 3.59 | 1.79 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uruguay and Brazil?
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 17/10/2023 between Uruguay and Brazil in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 42.89% for a win of Uruguay against Brazil with odds of 4.6 at 1xbet.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uruguay vs Brazil is 18.95% with odds of 3.59 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 38.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Brazil vs Uruguay with odds of 1.91 at Bet365.
Uruguay - Brazil Prediction and Best Odds:
| Uruguay Brazil Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Uruguay wins | 42.89% | 4.6 at 1xbet |
| Under 2.5 | 57.34% | 1.9 at 1xbet |
| Both Team To Score | 56.25% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Uruguay | 18.78% | 9.2 at Stake |
Uruguay vs Brazil Form
Uruguay and Brazil's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8 |
|
5
|
10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 |
Uruguay and Brazil Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
14 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
28 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
12 Oct 2023 - World Cup
12 Sep 2023 - World Cup
8 Sep 2023 - World Cup
20 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
17 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2023 - International Friendlies
Uruguay against Brazil : Head to Head (H2H)
0 %
0 %
100 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
14 Oct 2021 - World Cup
17 Nov 2020 - World Cup
16 Nov 2018 - International Friendlies
Players list
S. Rochet
DefenderS. Caceres
R. Araujo
M. Vina
MidfielderN. De La Cruz
J. Piquerez
F. Valverde
B. Mendez
M. Ugarte
ForwardM. Vecino
D. Nunez
Ederson
DefenderMarquinhos
D. Neres
G. Magalhaes
G. Arana
MidfielderCasemiro
R. Veiga
ForwardG. Jesus
Rodrygo
M. Cunha
Richarlison
Substitutes
F. Israel
S. Mele
DefenderS. Bueno
B. Mendez
J. Piquerez
M. Vina
G. De Arrascaeta
M. Vecino
B. Rodriguez
A. Canobbio
F. Torres
ForwardC. Olivera
L. Perri
Alisson
DefenderBremer
Emerson
Adryelson
G. Arana
Gerson
R. Veiga
Andre
ForwardD. Neres
M. Cunha
Richarlison
Missing players
R. Araujo
ForwardC. Olivera
Alisson
Uruguay - Brazil Key Points
- Uruguay have scored 12 goals in five matches (2.40 average per game) under Marcelo Bielsa’s leadership.
- The hosts have won their last three straight on home soil, averaging 3.00 goals scored per outing in the process.
- Both teams have scored in six of Uruguay’s previous seven matches.
- Brazil have seen both teams score in seven of their last eight dating back to the World Cup.
- The visitors have scored 19 goals (2.38 average per game) in their last eight appearances across all competitions.
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Our Uruguay vs Brazil Prediction
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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