World - World Cup
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by Kennedy Kechula in World Cup Predictions
World champions Argentina are on the cusp of qualifying for the 2026 World Cup. In the 13th round of qualification matches in the CONMEBOL region, Argentina are traveling to Uruguay. They top the standings with 25 points, five ahead of their hosts, who are second. We have the preview and at least two predictions for this match.
From the remaining 18 points in the qualifiers, Argentina need just seven to secure their place at the 2026 finals. Their title defence is well on course. The man out to derail the defence is an Argentine; the Uruguay coach Marcelo Bielsa.
Uruguay go into this match placed second and a win here will be key for the team. They are just two points ahead of fifth placed Brazil while Ecuador and Colombia are just behind them, trailing by a point. In the last nine matches, Uruguay have managed just one win inside 90 minutes so the pressure will be on here.
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The Best Betting Odds for Uruguay v Argentina Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2.6 | 2.88 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.5 | 2.8 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.87 | 2.15 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.18 | 3.11 |
|
|
2.64 | 3.18 | 3.11 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uruguay and Argentina?
Our prediction for the Uruguay vs Argentina match is: draw.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/03/2025 between Uruguay and Argentina in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.93% for a win of Uruguay against Argentina with odds of 2.87 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uruguay vs Argentina is 31.91% with odds of 3.18 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 39.16% chance ⭐ for a win of Argentina vs Uruguay with odds of 3.25 at Ladbrokes.
Uruguay vs Argentina Form
Uruguay and Argentina's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
25 | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 14 |
|
2
|
20 | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
Uruguay and Argentina Last Matches
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
6 Sep 2024 - World Cup
10 Jul 2024 - Copa America
6 Jul 2024 - Copa America
27 Jun 2024 - Copa America
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
11 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
1 Sep 2024 - International Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Copa America
1 Jul 2024 - Copa America
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
5/6 (83%)
1/6 (17%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - World Cup
15 Oct 2024 - World Cup
5 Sep 2024 - World Cup
14 Jul 2024 - Copa America
9 Jul 2024 - Copa America
4 Jul 2024 - Copa America
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - World Cup
10 Oct 2024 - World Cup
10 Sep 2024 - World Cup
25 Jun 2024 - Copa America
14 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Uruguay vs Argentina Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
20 %
20 %
60 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
16 Nov 2023 - World Cup
12 Nov 2021 - World Cup
10 Oct 2021 - World Cup
18 Jun 2021 - Copa America
18 Nov 2019 - International Friendlies
Uruguay - Argentina: Form Analysis
The CONMEBOL World Cup qualification process is once again proving to be grueling and entertaining in equal measure. Uruguay have the opportunity to slow down Argentina's sprint towards a finals ticket when they host the world champions this Saturday.
This will be a crucial match for Uruguay not just for checking Argentina’s run but also because they’ve slumped in recent times. In their last nine matches, Uruguay managed just a win inside 90 minutes.
They were pegged back by Brazil in the last match, drawing 1-1 on the road. That was their seventh draw in 10 matches.
Argentina lost twice in the last three away World Cup qualifying matches.
Argentina have in recent matches not performed to the expected standards. In their most recent match, they labored through a 1-0 win at home to bottom side Peru.
Their next match will be a tough one and it will need great focus mentally. They have two wins only in the last five outings and one can easily feel the pressure mounting.
At home against Uruguay, Argentina suffered a 2-0 defeat though they won in Montevideo on their last visit. Across their last eight World Cup qualification matches, Argentina won four times and lost three.
They are, however, winless in the last three on the road.
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Uruguay & Argentina Squad Analysis
Uruguay will go into one of their biggest matches in the current qualifiers without a key man in Manuel Ugarte. The Manchester United midfielder is suspended, having collected four yellow cards.
A starter in 10 of his 11 appearances in the qualifiers, Ugarte will be missed more for his defensive performances than attacking prowess. He has scored once in the qualifiers but has been more solid in stopping opposition attacks.
In his 11 appearances, he has won 63.2% of his tackles and won 63.7% of the duels he has gone into. There’s expected to be a lot of focus on the defence for Uruguay in this game. It is expected that Jose Maria Gimenez and Mathias Olivera will be paired up in central defence.
Federico Valverde will be key in midfield in Ugarte’s absence.
The major team news coming from Argentina is that Lionel Messi will miss this match. MRI scans showed the Inter Miami forward will be out with muscular injury, which is a big miss for Argentina.
Messi is the leading scorer in the qualifiers with six goals and has three assists. Still one of the best players in the world, Argentina will miss his massive contribution.
Argentina could still have to do with more bad news, with Lautaro Martinez listed doubtful and Paulo Dybala also dropped due to injury. There’s no place in the team for Alejandro Garnacho but Julian Alvarez will hope to carry his good form from Atletico Madrid.
Most goals and assists
Uruguay
Argentina
D. Nunez
(5 Goals)
L. Messi
(6 Goals)
Uruguay - Argentina Key Points
- Eight of Uruguay’s last 10 matches ended in draws.
- Uruguay drew three of their last four home matches.
- Argentina won in 90 minutes just four of their last nine matches.
- In their last 10 matches, Uruguay managed one win inside 90 minutes.
- Argentina are winless in their last three away World Cup qualifying matches.
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Our Uruguay vs Argentina Prediction
These two nations haven't drawn in their last four meetings. However, a draw is written all over this match. On paper, Argentina are favorites, but their recent form has been quite shaky. They managed just four wins in regular time in the last nine matches.
Away from home in World Cup qualification, they are winless in the last three. Uruguay will offer a tough opposition, though they haven't been winning a lot themselves. Their last six matches in World Cup qualification produced just one win, while four were draws. Our prediction for Uruguay v Argentina is for a draw.
Uruguay vs Argentina - Other Interesting Predictions
Under 2.5 goals
As the two top teams in the qualification table face off, we expect a lot of focus to be on their defending. The fact that Lionel Messi will miss, alongside a number of Argentina’s forward players means the attack will be a bit compromised.
On the other hand, Uruguay haven't been scoring a lot in recent matches, a trait they could carry here. Our second prediction in this game is for under 2.5 goals.
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Uruguay vs Argentina match : Frequently asked questions
The Uruguay v Argentina match will be played on Saturday 22 March.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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