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Union Berlin vs St. Pauli Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Kennedy Kechula in Bundesliga Predictions
Union Berlin will host newly promoted St. Pauli in the opening game of Match Week 2 in the German Bundesliga. Here’s our prediction as both Die Eisernen and Kiezkicker go in search of first league wins of the season.
For the two sides, this will mark the first meeting since a DFB Pokal encounter in 2022. Union Berlin won 2-1 then and will be looking to take it up from there. After their 1-1 draw away to Mainz in the first league game, they’ll be gearing for their first haul of three points.
Laszlo Bénes’ goal saw Union come from behind to bag a point and Bo Svensson may want to see more delivery in attack from his team. It was the second straight game they failed to score more than once, having beaten Greifswalder 1-0 in the DFB Pokal.
As St. Pauli go into their first league meeting with Union since 2019, they’ll be eyeing a repeat of their 3-2 win back then. The visitors hope for a lift-off here following their welcome back to the Bundesliga with a 2-0 home loss against Heidenheim.
With two competitive matches played St. Pauli haven't borne the image of a defensively sound team. They conceded four goals in the two matches, having beaten Hallescher 3-2 in the DFB Pokal.
St. Pauli had to come from behind twice to win that cup game, which went all the way to extra time. In their last 10 competitive matches, the visitors have managed just one clean sheet. They, however, failed to score in only two of 15 outings.
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The Best Betting Odds for Union Berlin v St. Pauli Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.03 | 17 | 501 |
|
|
2.25 | 2.5 | 3.6 |
|
|
1.03 | 17 | 451 |
|
|
1.03 | 17 | 451 |
|
|
1.95 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.5 | 4.24 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.5 | 4.24 |
|
|
1.02 | 12.75 | 100 |
|
|
1.99 | 3.6 | 3.64 |
|
|
2.01 | 3.6 | 3.75 |
|
|
1.03 | 13 | 126 |
|
|
1.01 | 20 | 801 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.5 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.5 | 4 |
|
|
2 | 3.3 | 4 |
|
|
1.05 | 13 | 301 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and St. Pauli?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs St. Pauli match is: Both teams to score.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 30/08/2024 between Union Berlin and St. Pauli in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 36.14% for a win of Union Berlin against St. Pauli with odds of 2.25 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs St. Pauli is 17.35% with odds of 20 at Unibet.
- Our prediction model gives a 46.51% chance ⭐ for a win of St. Pauli vs Union Berlin with odds of 801 at Unibet.
Union Berlin - St. Pauli Prediction and Best Odds:
| Union Berlin St. Pauli Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| St. Pauli wins | 46.51% | 801 at Unibet |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.51% | 17 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 75% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: St. Pauli | 26.41% | 67 at Unibet |
Union Berlin vs St. Pauli Form
Union Berlin and St. Pauli's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
12
|
17 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -5 |
|
14
|
14 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | -7 |
Union Berlin and St. Pauli Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
5 May 2024 - Bundesliga
20 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
28 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
26 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
14 Apr 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
19 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
3 May 2024 - 2nd Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs St. Pauli Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
1 Mar 2022 - DFB Pokal
Players list
F. Ronnow
DefenderD. Doekhi
K. Vogt
D. Leite
L. Querfeld
MidfielderJ. Haberer
A. Schafer
R. Khedira
ForwardT. Skarke
J. Woo-yeong
L. Benes
N. Vasilj
DefenderH. Wahl
K. Mets
P. Treu
C. Boukhalfa
MidfielderA. Dzwigala
E. Saad
J. Irvine
C. Metcalfe
ForwardO. Afolayan
A. Albers
Substitutes
A. Schwolow
DefenderL. Querfeld
C. Trimmel
J. Roussillon
MidfielderA. Kemlein
T. Skarke
A. Schafer
J. Woo-yeong
L. Benes
B. Voll
DefenderM. Saliakas
D. Nemeth
A. Dzwigala
S. Banks
C. Boukhalfa
A. Albers
O. Afolayan
E. Saad
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
St. Pauli
B. Hollerbach
(3 Goals)
J. Eggestein
(3 Goals)
T. Rothe
(2 Assists)
, 
R. Skov
(2 Assists)
,
B. Hollerbach
(2 Assists)
J. Eggestein
(3 Assists)
, 
J. Irvine
(3 Assists)
Union Berlin - St. Pauli Key Points
- Both teams scored in the last three meetings between Union Berlin and St. Pauli.
- Union Berlin scored in all their last seven matches against St. Pauli.
- In Union Berlin’s last four league matches both teams scored.
- St. Pauli failed to score in only two of their last 15 matches.
- St. Pauli have one clean sheet in the last 10 matches.
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Our Union Berlin vs St. Pauli Prediction
With these two teams hunting their first three points of the season, we don’t expect a very closed game. Union Berlin came close away to Mainz last week while St. Pauli were completely overpowered by the impressive Heidenheim.
The two sides have shown they have goals in them as they rarely go without scoring. Their last three matches saw goals netted on both ends. Going by these trends, our prediction for Union Berlin v St. Pauli will be for both teams to score.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Berlin St. Pauli
| Union Berlin vs St. Pauli | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 2 | 1.03 | -48.5% |
| Draw | 3.5 | 17 | +385.7% |
| St. Pauli wins | 3.8 | 501 | +13,084.2% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- St. Pauli is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 13,084.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 26.3% and is now 0.2% (-26.1%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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