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Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Betting Tips - Bundesliga
by Kennedy Kechula in Bundesliga Predictions
Still holding on their unbeaten status, Union Berlin have a reason to fight when they host Hoffenheim in the Bundesliga on Saturday. There are two points between these sides with Union starting the weekend ninth and Hoffenheim 14th. Read on for our prediction of this match.
Union Berlin won the last meeting between these two, and will be holding out for a second straight win. Playing at home and with an undefeated start, the hosts will approach this game high in confidence.
That will be heightened after holding Leipzig to a 0-0 draw. They’ve also upped their game defensively and arrive here having conceded just a goal in their four matches this season.
Three of those were in the Bundesliga, where they have just two goals. Such low-scoring returns have seen All of Union Berlin’s matches return under 2.5 goals.
Matches between these two sides don’t favor the visiting team but last season went against the grain. Hoffenheim won the corresponding fixture 2-0 but then lost 1-0 at home.
Those matches were also different in the sense that this game rarely produces less than three goals. Hoffenheim’s matches this season have yielded more of what this fixture is known for. The visitors haven't had it smooth and are looking to rise from two straight defeats.
After returning from the international break, Hoffenheim lost 4-1 at home to champions Bayer Leverkusen. Earlier they had suffered a 3-1 loss at Eintracht Frankfurt.
Hoffenheim have conceded at least twice in each of their four matches this season. They do not command a great away run, with just two wins in 13 away league games.
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The Best Betting Odds for Union Berlin v Hoffenheim Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.9 | 4.1 |
|
|
2.37 | 2.6 | 3.25 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.82 | 3.47 |
|
|
2.15 | 3.82 | 3.47 |
|
|
2.05 | 3.6 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.72 | 3.56 |
|
|
1.98 | 3.72 | 3.56 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.65 | 3.45 |
|
|
2.07 | 3.68 | 3.34 |
|
|
2.09 | 3.65 | 3.45 |
|
|
1.94 | 3.65 | 3.8 |
|
|
2.2 | 3.5 | 3.3 |
|
|
1.85 | 3.75 | 4.35 |
|
|
1.88 | 3.6 | 4 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.86 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.75 | 4 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim?
Our prediction for the Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim match is: Over 2.5 goals.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 21/09/2024 between Union Berlin and Hoffenheim in Bundesliga :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.15% for a win of Union Berlin against Hoffenheim with odds of 2.37 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim is 24.01% with odds of 3.9 at Bet365.
- Our prediction model gives a 30.83% chance ⭐ for a win of Hoffenheim vs Union Berlin with odds of 4.35 at Betsson.
Union Berlin - Hoffenheim Prediction and Best Odds:
| Union Berlin Hoffenheim Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 45.15% | 2.37 at Ladbrokes |
| Over 2.5 goals | 71.08% | 1.89 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 70% | |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Union Berlin | 16.83% | 5.5 at Betfair |
Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim Form
Union Berlin and Hoffenheim's standings in the Bundesliga
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
10
|
16 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 |
|
13
|
12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -5 |
Union Berlin and Hoffenheim Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
30 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
30 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
9 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
27 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
18 May 2024 - Bundesliga
5 May 2024 - Bundesliga
3/6 (50%)
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
17 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
18 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
6 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
11 May 2024 - Bundesliga
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Sep 2024 - Bundesliga
24 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
10 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
3 Aug 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
30 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
24 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
31 Aug 2024 - Bundesliga
16 Aug 2024 - DFB Pokal
13 Jul 2024 - Clubs Friendlies
12 May 2024 - Bundesliga
26 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
13 Apr 2024 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
50 %
17 %
33 %
Average stats (last H2H results)
17 Feb 2024 - Bundesliga
23 Sep 2023 - Bundesliga
20 May 2023 - Bundesliga
21 Jan 2023 - Bundesliga
15 Jan 2022 - Bundesliga
22 Aug 2021 - Bundesliga
Union Berlin against Hoffenheim Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 4 - 2 - 1
Formation : 3 - 5 - 2
Missing players
Y. Stein
O. Kabak
C. Lenz
MidfielderF. Becker
G. Promel
ForwardI. Bebou
Most goals and assists
Union Berlin
Hoffenheim
Y. Vertessen
(2 Goals)
, 
B. Hollerbach
(2 Goals)
,
T. Rothe
(2 Goals)
M. Bulter
(5 Goals)
, 
A. Kramaric
(5 Goals)
, 
A. Hlozek
(5 Goals)
D. Leite
(1 Assists)
, 
L. Benes
(1 Assists)
,
T. Rothe
(1 Assists)
, 
R. Skov
(1 Assists)
,
B. Hollerbach
(1 Assists)
J. Bruun Larsen
(2 Assists)
,
A. Kramaric
(2 Assists)
Union Berlin - Hoffenheim Key Points
- Half of Union Berlin’s last six league matches had over 2.5 goals.
- Union Berlin’s last five home league matches had 18 goals scored.
- Each of Hoffenheim’s last five league matches had at least three goals.
- All of Hoffenheim’s last 12 away league games produced over 2.5 goals.
- Six of the last 10 meetings between these two sides had at least three goals.
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Our Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim Prediction
After a rather dull opening in Union Berlin’s league matches so far, we expect this encounter to burst into life. This fixture is known for plenty of goals and at least from Hoffenheim’s side, there’s indication that we might have the same here.
Six of the last 10 meetings between these teams have produced three or more goals. This has also been the case in each of Hoffenheim’s last 12 Bundesliga matches away from home. Our prediction for Union Berlin v Hoffenheim will be for over 2.5 goals to be realized.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Union Berlin Hoffenheim
| Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins | 2.3 | 1.83 | -20.4% |
| Draw | 3.4 | 3.9 | +14.7% |
| Hoffenheim wins | 3 | 4.1 | +36.7% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Union Berlin is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 20.4% since opening
- The probability of this result was 43.5% and is now 54.6% (11.2%)
Use £50 free bets for the Union Berlin vs. Hoffenheim game!
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The minimum odds on your bet on the Union Berlin vs. Hoffenheim need to be at least 2.0 (1/1) to qualify for this bonus.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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