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Europe - Euro

Ukraine
26 Mar 2024 15:45
Iceland

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored

 
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Ukraine vs Iceland Prediction & Betting Tips - Euro

 by Ian John in Euro Predictions

Designated the home team, Ukraine faces Iceland in Poland in Tuesday Night's Euro 2024 Path B Playoff Final. Ukraine qualified thanks to a come-from-behind win over Bosnia-Herzegovina with late goals from Roman Yaremchuk (85) and Artem Dovbyk (88) seeing Ukraine claim a 2-1 win in Sarajevo. Iceland qualified in comfortable fashion with a 4-1 win over Israel in Hungary. They too came from behind to secure the win thanks to a hat-trick from Albert Gudmondsson (39,83,87) and a single strike from Arnor-Invi Traustason (42) in reply to Israel's 31st minute opener from Eran Zahavi from the penalty spot.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ukraine v Iceland Match

Bookmaker 1 X 2 Bonus up to
Bet365
1.42 4.2 8
Betfred
1.44 4.2 7.5
Ladbrokes
1.5 4 7
NetBet
1.39 4.1 7
1xbet
1.49 4.25 7.1
22bet
1.49 4.25 7.1
Betwinner
1.46 4.28 7.3
LSbet
1.46 4.28 7.3
Stake
1.53 4.3 6.6
Melbet
1.54 4.08 6.2
Tonybet
1.51 4.3 7
Vbet
1.47 4.4 7.8
Betway
1.5 4 6.5
Unibet
1.48 4.2 7.5
Betfair
1.44 4.1 7.5
Betsson
1.5 4.33 7
Check all Ukraine vs Iceland odds
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ukraine and Iceland?

Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 26/03/2024 between Ukraine and Iceland in Euro :

  • The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 41.11% for a win of Ukraine against Iceland with odds of 1.54 at Melbet.
  • The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ukraine vs Iceland is 26.25% with odds of 4.4 at Vbet.
  • Our prediction model gives a 32.64% chance ⭐ for a win of Iceland vs Ukraine with odds of 8 at Bet365.

Ukraine - Iceland Prediction and Best Odds:

Ukraine Iceland Prediction Probability Odds
Ukraine wins 41.11% 1.54 at Melbet
Under 2.5 68.85% 1.8 at 1xbet
Both Team To Score 39.58% 2.2 at Betfred
Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ukraine 21.18% 4.2 at Betway

Ukraine vs Iceland Form

Ukraine and Iceland Last Matches

Ukraine
Ukraine Last matches
D L W W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

2/6 (33%)

Defeats

1/6 (17%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2.33 Total goals
67% BTTS
1.5 Goals scored
0.83 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2024 - Euro

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  2
Ukraine

20 Nov 2023 - Euro

Ukraine
0 :  0
Italy

17 Oct 2023 - Euro

Malta
1 :  3
Ukraine

14 Oct 2023 - Euro

Ukraine
2 :  0
North Macedonia

12 Sep 2023 - Euro

Italy
2 :  1
Ukraine

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

Ukraine
1 :  1
England
D D W D W D
Victories

2/6 (33%)

Draw

4/6 (67%)

Defeats

0/6 (0%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

1.17 Total goals
33% BTTS
0.83 Goals scored
0.33 Goals conceded
0% Over 2.5
100% Under 2.5

20 Nov 2023 - Euro

Ukraine
0 :  0
Italy

14 Oct 2023 - Euro

Ukraine
2 :  0
North Macedonia

9 Sep 2023 - Euro

Ukraine
1 :  1
England

19 Jun 2023 - Euro

Ukraine
1 :  0
Malta

27 Sep 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
0 :  0
Scotland

14 Jun 2022 - UEFA Nations League

Ukraine
1 :  1
Ireland
L D W L W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.83 Total goals
83% BTTS
2 Goals scored
1.83 Goals conceded
83% Over 2.5
17% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2024 - Euro

Bosnia Herzegovina
1 :  2
Ukraine

17 Oct 2023 - Euro

Malta
1 :  3
Ukraine

12 Sep 2023 - Euro

Italy
2 :  1
Ukraine

16 Jun 2023 - Euro

North Macedonia
2 :  3
Ukraine

12 Jun 2023 - International Friendlies

Germany
3 :  3
Ukraine

26 Mar 2023 - Euro

England
2 :  0
Ukraine
Iceland
Iceland Last matches
W L L W W W
Victories

4/6 (67%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
33% BTTS
2.17 Goals scored
1.17 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2024 - Euro

Israel
1 :  4
Iceland

17 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Honduras
0 :  2
Iceland

13 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Guatemala
0 :  1
Iceland

19 Nov 2023 - Euro

Portugal
2 :  0
Iceland

16 Nov 2023 - Euro

Slovakia
4 :  2
Iceland

16 Oct 2023 - Euro

Iceland
4 :  0
Liechtenstein
W L L W D W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

1/6 (17%)

Defeats

2/6 (33%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

2 Total goals
33% BTTS
1.33 Goals scored
0.67 Goals conceded
33% Over 2.5
67% Under 2.5

16 Oct 2023 - Euro

Iceland
4 :  0
Liechtenstein

13 Oct 2023 - Euro

Iceland
1 :  1
Luxembourg

11 Sep 2023 - Euro

Iceland
1 :  0
Bosnia Herzegovina

20 Jun 2023 - Euro

Iceland
0 :  1
Portugal

17 Jun 2023 - Euro

Iceland
1 :  2
Slovakia

22 Sep 2022 - International Friendlies

Iceland
1 :  0
Venezuela
L L L W W W
Victories

3/6 (50%)

Draw

0/6 (0%)

Defeats

3/6 (50%)

Average stats (Last 6 matchs)

3.33 Total goals
50% BTTS
1.67 Goals scored
1.67 Goals conceded
50% Over 2.5
50% Under 2.5

21 Mar 2024 - Euro

Israel
1 :  4
Iceland

17 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Honduras
0 :  2
Iceland

13 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies

Guatemala
0 :  1
Iceland

19 Nov 2023 - Euro

Portugal
2 :  0
Iceland

16 Nov 2023 - Euro

Slovakia
4 :  2
Iceland

8 Sep 2023 - Euro

Luxembourg
3 :  1
Iceland

Ukraine vs Iceland Stats: Head to Head (H2H)

5 Sep 2017 - World Cup

Iceland
2 :  0
Ukraine
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Ukraine - Iceland: Form Analysis

Sergei Rebrov's Ukrainian team comes into this Playoff Final in excellent form. They have lost just one of their last ten games, a 2-1 defeat to Italy in Rome, winning six of those matches and drawing three (against Germany, England and Italy). Since that Italy defeat, they have won four of the last five, including the dramatic come-from-behind win over Bosnia-Herzegovina on Thursday night, which saw them score twice in the final few minutes of the game to secure the win. They also have also scored two or more goals in four of their last five, only failing to do so in their 0-0 draw with Italy in their final Euro 2024 Qualifying Group game. 

Iceland made a mockery of their FIFA ranking (73) when defeating Israel 4-1 in their Euro 2024 Playoff Semi Final. They now face a stiffer test though against the 24th ranked Ukraine in this Path B final. Aga Hareide's team finished a disappointing 4th in Group J in qualifying, losing their last two games, but have won the three games they have faced since, all away from home. They have scored seven goals in those games, conceding just one, a penalty to Israel in the game last week. Prior to those three recent wins, Iceland had lost six of their last ten, winning three and drawing the other. There have been 41 goals scored in the last 13 games Iceland have played, which suggests goals should be on the cards in Tuesday's win-and-in Playoff Final. 

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Ukraine against Iceland Lineups: Starting 11

Ukraine

Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1

23
A. Lunin
2
Y. Konoplya
13
I. Zabarnyi
22
M. Matvienko
16
V. Mykolenko
8
R. Malinovskyi
14
V. Brazhko
15
V. Tsygankov
7
G. Sudakov
10
M. Mudryk
9
R. Yaremchuk
10
A. Gudmundsson
22
A. Gudjohnsen
9
J. Thorsteinsson
21
A. Traustason
17
H. Haraldsson
7
J. Gudmundsson
3
G. Thorarinsson
18
D. Gretarsson
5
S. Ingason
4
V. Palsson
12
H. Valdimarsson

Formation : 4 - 4 - 2

Iceland

Ukraine & Iceland Squad Analysis

Ukraine's biggest absentee for this fixture is their second most capped player Andriy Yarmolenko (116 caps, 46 goals), who is injured for this game. The same is true for Inter Miami defender Sehiy Kryvtsov. Manager Sergei Rebrov still has a very experienced squad to pick from for the game with Iceland which includes the likes of Premier League stars Oleksandr Zinchenko (Arsenal), Mykhailo Mudryk (Chelsea), Vitaly Mykolenko (Everton) and Illya Zabarnyi (Bournemouth). A couple of players to watch include midfielder Heorhiy Sudakov, who has been on the radar of many top European clubs for a while now and in-form Girona striker Artem Dovbyk, who grabbed the winner against Bosnia-Herzegovina in the semi-final.

Iceland should also have a strong squad to pick from for this crucial playoff fixture. Defender Horour Magnusson remains injured with an ACL injury that will keep him out of the finals while Gylfi Sigurdsson and Saevar Atli Magnusson are two others ruled out through injury. Veterans Birkir Bjarnason and Aron Gunnarsson were not selected in this squad and neither, surprisingly, was Iceland's most experienced keeper Runar Runarsson, who last featured for the team against Portugal back in November. This young squad features just eight players aged over the age of 27 and much will rely on Genoa striker Albert Gudmondsson who hit a hat-trick in the win over Israel.

Most goals and assists

CD Huachipato Ukraine
CD Huachipato Iceland
Top Goalscorer
Ukraine V. Tsygankov (5 Goals)
Top Goalscorer
Iceland A. Gudmundsson (12 Goals)
Best assists
Ukraine G. Sudakov (6 Assists)
Best assists
Iceland J. Thorsteinsson (5 Assists)

Ukraine - Iceland Key Points

  1. Both Playoff B Semi Finals saw Both Teams Score and Over 2.5 Goals scored.
  2. All of Ukraine's last five away games have seen over 2.5 goals scored and while this is designated a home game for them, it will be played in Poland.
  3. Three of Iceland's last four competitive (non-friendly) games have seen Over 2.5 goals scored
  4. Iceland's last six games have seen 20 goals scored in total. Ukraine's last six have seen 14 goals scored in total.
  5. The teams have met four times previously. Iceland winning once, Ukraine once and the other two games have finished as score draws.
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Our Ukraine vs Iceland Prediction

The data for the Ukraine v Iceland Euro 2024 Path B Playoff Final is somewhat mixed. Both teams come into the game in relatively solid form over the last 3-4 games. Both achieved excellent away wins to qualify for the final and both teams have recent European Championship Finals experience. Ukraine are ranked higher in the FIFA rankings, but that doesn't always mean a guaranteed win. Instead, I think in a game where both teams know it is win or bust, we could see an open match and with both teams' having strikers in great form, our prediction here is for there to be Over 2.5 Goals scored in the game. 

Prediction :

 

Over 2.5 Goals to be Scored

 
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Ukraine vs Iceland - Other Interesting Predictions

Total Goals Exact - 3 Goals

Odds 4
Playoff fixtures do tend to be very tight games, even if goals are scored by both teams, and while Iceland did score four away at Israel, they generally don't score that many goals against teams ranked higher than them in the FIFA Rankings. Ukraine games are also generally tight, so our secondary prediction here is for the somewhat flexible total goals market with 3 seeming to be the perfect choice to get a winner from this game .
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2 Goals Ahead Early Payout Offer

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Ukraine vs Iceland match : Frequently asked questions

The European Championships 2024 Path B Playoff Final will be contested between Ukraine and Iceland. It will be Ukraine's home game, but due to the situation in their home country, the team will play this fixture at the Wroclaw Stadium in Wroclaw, Poland.

Kick off time is 7.45pm UK Time on Tuesday 26th March 2024. 

The winner of this game will go into Group E in the Euro 2024 Finals in Germany this summer alongside Belgium, Slovakia and Romania. 

In Germany the winner will begin their Euro 2024 Finals campaign against Romania on the 17th June, then face Slovakia on the 21st June and finally Belgium on the 26th June. 

In the United Kingdom, you can tune in to the action from the Path B Playoff Final between Ukraine and Iceland through Viaplay Sports. This is a subscription channel which can be added to existing Virgin Media and Sky TV packages.

If you don't have that subscription available, or you are unable to watch the game in front of a TV, then you can also tune in to follow all the Euro 2024 Playoff Finals action on our dedicated Livescore page for Ukraine v Iceland. 

French Referee Clement Turpin will be the man in control of the action when Ukraine and Iceland meet for a place in Group E of the Euro 2024 Finals in Germany next summer.

The vastly experienced French official, who has officiated the top games at the highest level for many years, will be assisted by compatriots Nicolas Danos and Erwan Finjean as assistant referees and Francois Letexier who will be the fourth official.

VAR duties will be controlled by the Video Assistant Referee Jerome Brisard and his assistant Willy Delajod, both also from France. 

All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

Ukraine vs Iceland Prediction
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