Europe - UEFA Nations League
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by Devesh Jaganath in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Ukraine and Belgium will face off in the first leg of their Nations League promotion/relegation play-off at Estadio Enrique Roca de Murcia on Thursday evening. The Blue and Yellow finished second in Group B1, while the Red Devils came third in Group A2. Check out our match prediction below.
Ukraine earned their shot at promotion to League A in a fiercely competitiove group which was separated by just four points after the six round-robin matches.
The Blue and Yellow split their six games two wins, two draws and two defeats. Notably, though, they lost their first two matches and ended the group stage unbeaten in their last four games.
The hosts have only faced this opponent in one competitive match previously, which came at the European Championship last year and ended in goalless draw.
Meanwhile, Belgium had a very poor group stage by their own standards, finishing level with automatically relegated Isral on four points in their six matches (W1 D1 L4).
The Red Devils only victory was against the Israeli’s on matchday one, and since then they failed to score in three of their next five games in the competition, including in each of their last two.
Excluding the European Championship, the visitors are winless in their last five away games. They conceded two or more goals and failed to score in three matches during that period.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ukraine v Belgium Match
Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
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4.75 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
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4.2 | 3.5 | 1.8 |
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4 | 2.5 | 2.1 |
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4.58 | 3.85 | 1.86 |
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4.58 | 3.85 | 1.86 |
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ukraine and Belgium?
Our prediction for the Ukraine vs Belgium match is: Ukraine or X.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 20/03/2025 between Ukraine and Belgium in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 33.83% for a win of Ukraine against Belgium with odds of 4.75 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ukraine vs Belgium is 46.99% with odds of 3.85 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 19.18% chance ⭐ for a win of Belgium vs Ukraine with odds of 2.1 at Ladbrokes.
Ukraine vs Belgium Form
Ukraine and Belgium Last Matches

2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
11 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
7 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - Euro
20 Nov 2023 - Euro
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
16 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies

1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
14 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
14 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
6 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
22 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
8 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
17 Nov 2024 - UEFA Nations League
10 Oct 2024 - UEFA Nations League
9 Sep 2024 - UEFA Nations League
1 Jul 2024 - Euro
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Ukraine vs Belgium Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
Ukraine vs Belgium last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 2 - 1 - 2 - 1
Most goals and assists




















Ukraine and Belgium Stats in UEFA Nations League


Ukraine - Belgium Key Points
- Ukraine are unbeaten in their last four Nations League games.
- Ukraine scored in all six of their group-stage matches.
- Belgium are winless in their last five Nations League games.
- Belgium have failed to score in three of their last five away matches.
- These sides played out a goalless draw in their last encounter.
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Our Ukraine vs Belgium Prediction
While Belgium enter this match as the clear favourites at the books, they have been a long way from their best in recent times and were unable to breach Denmark’s defence when they met at the Euros last year.
Granted, there is a case to be made that Ukraine faced easier opposition in their group in this competition, but they do have home advantage here and did score in every match to date. We feel the hosts will take something from this one. Our Ukraine vs Belgium prediction is Ukraine or X.
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.

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