Ukraine vs Albania Prediction & Betting Tips - UEFA Nations League
by Sridhar in UEFA Nations League Predictions
Ukraine will play its first game of the Nations League 2024-25 campaign against Albania at the neutral venue of epet ARENA in Prague. This match of League B Group 1 will be played on Saturday, with our prediction backing the Ukrainians to start with a win.
This group also features Czechia and Georgia, with the top two teams getting a shot at promotion to League A and the bottom two teams in threat of relegation to League C. A poor performance in the Euro 2024 campaign left Ukraine crash out of the group with four points. A large portion of the blame lies on their starting game, where they were beaten 3-0 by Romania. Taking lessons from that, the Ukrainians will be targeting a better start to this tournament.
They did well in the 2022–23 edition of the Nations League, finishing second in their group with three wins and two draws, only two points behind Scotland. Having won five and drawn two of their eight designated home matches, Ukraine will be confident of a good start here.
Albania also crashed out of the group stages in the Euros but held their own in a tight group featuring Italy, Croatia, and Spain. They eventually finished with one draw and two losses, but both losses came by a single-goal margin.
The visitors have a lot of catch-up to do in this tournament, though, having finished third in a group of three teams in the 2022–23 edition. They drew and lost two games each, and only because Russia was banned did Albania escape relegation.
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The Best Betting Odds for Ukraine v Albania Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 3.4 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.6 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.62 | 5.21 |
|
|
1.81 | 3.62 | 5.21 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.55 | 4.7 |
|
|
1.75 | 3.5 | 5.05 |
|
|
1.77 | 3.7 | 4.9 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Ukraine and Albania?
Our prediction for the Ukraine vs Albania match is: Ukraine to win.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 07/09/2024 between Ukraine and Albania in UEFA Nations League :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 45.49% for a win of Ukraine against Albania with odds of 1.83 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Ukraine vs Albania is 39.2% with odds of 3.7 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 15.3% chance ⭐ for a win of Albania vs Ukraine with odds of 5.21 at 1xbet.
Ukraine - Albania Prediction and Best Odds:
| Ukraine Albania Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine wins | 45.49% | 1.83 at Bet365 |
| Under 2.5 | 57.77% | 1.86 at Stake |
| Both Team To Score | 54.76% | 2.1 at Bet365 |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Ukraine | 22.19% | 4.5 at Bet365 |
Ukraine vs Albania Form
Ukraine and Albania's standings in the UEFA Nations League
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
|
4
|
0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 |
Ukraine and Albania Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
26 Jun 2024 - Euro
21 Jun 2024 - Euro
17 Jun 2024 - Euro
11 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
24 Jun 2024 - Euro
19 Jun 2024 - Euro
15 Jun 2024 - Euro
7 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
3 Jun 2024 - International Friendlies
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
Ukraine against Albania Lineups: Starting 11
Formation : 3 - 1 - 4 - 2
Formation : 4 - 2 - 3 - 1
Ukraine - Albania Key Points
- Albania have lost two of their last three matches in the Nations League
- In all competitions, Albania lost two and drew one of their last three matches
- Ukraine won three and drew two of their last six Nations League matches
- Away from home, Ukraine has two wins from their last three Nations League trips
- Ukraine have won five of their six matches against Albania, although the last of those was played in 2018
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Our Ukraine vs Albania Prediction
Ukraine had a poor Euro 2024 campaign, although many tipped them to go far. They have a shot at redemption in this Nations League campaign, although they wouldn’t want to take things for granted. With dark horses Georgia and Czech Republic also part of this group, anything less than a win here against Albania would make things difficult for Ukraine. They are going to push hard for a win, and hence our prediction for Ukraine vs Albania is a win for Ukraine.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Ukraine Albania
| Ukraine vs Albania | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine wins | 1.7 | 1.83 | +7.6% |
| Draw | 3.6 | 3.4 | -5.6% |
| Albania wins | 5 | 4.5 | -10.0% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Ukraine is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have increased by 7.6% since opening
- The probability of this result was 58.8% and is now 54.6% (-4.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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