Africa - AFCON
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Uganda vs South Africa Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
Uganda and South Africa are set to lock horns in a crucial top-of-the-table matchup in the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers at Mandela National Stadium on Friday afternoon. The Cranes currently lead Group K, while Bafana Bafana are in second place in the standings. Check out our match prediction below.
Both these sides will be putting their unbeaten records in this competition on the line here, but Uganda have only dropped points once in their four games, which was against this opponent in their thrilling 2-2 draw during the opening round. With the Cranes on 10 points and South Africa on eight, a win for either side will guarantee them qualification for the 2025 AFCON.
Despite their record and playing at home, bookmakers have made the hosts the marginal underdogs in this match. Can the Cranes defy the odds or will Bafana Bafana rise to the challenge in Kampala? To the key stats!
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The Best Betting Odds for Uganda v South Africa Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.3 | 2.05 | 3 |
|
|
3.19 | 2.7 | 2.88 |
|
|
3.19 | 2.7 | 2.88 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.65 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.65 | 2.75 | 2.95 |
|
|
2.99 | 3.05 | 2.56 |
|
|
2.95 | 2.9 | 2.5 |
|
|
3.03 | 2.45 | 3.21 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.4 | 3.1 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.55 | 3.12 |
|
|
2.7 | 2.45 | 2.75 |
|
|
2.8 | 2.65 | 3 |
|
|
2.75 | 2.88 | 2.5 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uganda and South Africa?
Our prediction for the Uganda vs South Africa match is: Over 1.5!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 15/11/2024 between Uganda and South Africa in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 28.01% for a win of Uganda against South Africa with odds of 3.3 at Ladbrokes.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uganda vs South Africa is 46.64% with odds of 3.05 at Melbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 25.35% chance ⭐ for a win of South Africa vs Uganda with odds of 3.21 at Vbet.
Uganda - South Africa Prediction and Best Odds:
| Uganda South Africa Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Draw | 46.64% | 3.05 at Melbet |
| Under 2.5 | 53.73% | 1.91 at Unibet |
| Both Team To Score | 64.58% | 2.45 at Betsson |
| Half-time: Uganda / Full-time: Draw | 20.35% | 17 at Vbet |
Uganda vs South Africa Form
Uganda and South Africa's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1
|
14 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
|
2
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
Uganda and South Africa Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
19 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
3/6 (50%)
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
2 Jul 2024 - COSAFA Cup
29 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
26 Jun 2024 - COSAFA Cup
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
1/6 (17%)
5/6 (83%)
0/6 (0%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
7 Feb 2024 - AFCON
3 Feb 2024 - AFCON
Uganda vs South Africa Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
Uganda - South Africa: Form Analysis
Uganda originally entered this group as third-favourite to qualify, but they are now in a commanding position, needing just one point from their next two games to book their place in Morocco next year.
After that 2-2 draw against South Africa in round one, the Cranes have rattled off three consecutive victories, beating Congo in September and South Sudan home and away last month.
The hosts have won both their home matches in this competition so far and have only lost one of their last five on home soil, which was against Algeria back in June.
Uganda have kept four clean sheets in their last five home games across all competitions!
Meanwhile, after thumping Congo 5-0 in Gqeberha on matchday three, South Africa were unable to follow up on that performance, drawing 1-1 against the same opponent four days later.
Still, Bafana Bafana have been one of the most improved sides in Africa over the last couple of years and are now unbeaten in their last 12 matches across all competitions.
The last time the visitors lost a match was in the semi-final of the previous AFCON to rivals Nigeria. That was also their only defeat in their last 17 matches dating back to mid-January.
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Uganda & South Africa Squad Analysis
Uganda head coach Paul Put has selected a fairly similar squad to the one he put in October, though he has opted to call up two uncapped players for this month’s double-header.
The new faces for the Cranes are teenager John Paul Dembe, who plays for Allsvenskan outfit Hacken, as well as Mutwalibi Mugolofa, who has kept five clean sheets in six games this season.
Dembe finished as the top scorer in the zonal Under-20 African Championship qualifiers with six goals!
Hugo Broos was forced into a few tough decisions with his selection this month, with the likes of Lyle Foster and Themba Zwane both currently sidelined with injuries.
As a result, Mothobi Mvala, Evidence Makgopa and Mihlali Mayambela make a return to the national team setup, while third-choice goalkeeper Sage Stephens also earned a call-up.
Notably, despite featuring on the preliminary player list, there is still no place in the squad for Al Ahly’s Percy Tau.
Most goals and assists
Uganda
South Africa
T. Zwane
(2 Goals)
,
T. Mokoena
(2 Goals)
T. Mokoena
(1 Assists)
,
E. Makgopa
(1 Assists)
,
T. Zwane
(1 Assists)
,
T. Morena
(1 Assists)
Uganda - South Africa Key Points
- Three of Uganda’s four games in this competition have ended with over 1.5 goals.
- Uganda have only failed to score in one of their last 10 games in all competitions.
- All four of South Africa’s games in this competition have ended with over 1.5 goals.
- South Africa have only failed to score in one of their last 10 games in all competitions.
- Two or more goals have been scored in each of the last four matches between these sides.
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Our Uganda vs South Africa Prediction
Uganda will be brimming with confidence heading into this match, as they are riding a three-match win streak and need only a single point to book their spot at the AFCON for the first time since 2018-19.
South Africa are also unbeaten, and while their recent successes have been attributable to their solid defence, they have been very good in attack in this competition, currently the second-highest scorers behind Morocco.
The reverse fixture between these two was a thrilling one that delivered four goals, and we feel there will be at least a couple more in this one. Our Uganda vs South Africa prediction: Over 1.5!
Uganda vs South Africa - Other Interesting Predictions
South Africa Draw No Bet
South Africa are unbeaten in 12 matches and have only conceded one defeat in their last 17 across all competitions. Additionally, Bafana Bafana have never lost to Uganda in any of their five previous encounters (W4 D1 L0).
Use £30 free bets for the Uganda vs. South Africa game!
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Try your luck on this year's AFCON! You need to make your qualifying bet of £10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
Uganda vs South Africa match : Frequently asked questions
The AFCON qualifier match between Uganda and South Africa will be played on November 15 at 13:00 GMT.
The AFCON qualifier match between Uganda and South Africa will take place at the Mandela National Stadium in Kampala.
The AFCON qualifier match between Uganda and South Africa will be broadcast on DSTV’s Supersport across Africa and on SABC in South Africa.
Alternatively, you can stay up to the minute with all the AFCON Livescores right here on SportyTrader!
Alhadji Allaoi Mahamat will take charge of this match, with the assistance of Issa Bogola and Moussa Hafiz as the assistant referees.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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