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by Ita Emmanuel in World Cup Predictions
Matchday 6 of CAF 2026 World Cup Qualifiers will see fifth-placed Uganda host third-placed Guinea in Group G on Tuesday. A win for either of the teams will narrow the gap on the top two positions in the group. Can the Cranes reignite qualification hopes with a win over the National Elephants? Here is our prediction for the match.
Uganda lost their last 2026 World Cup qualifiers fixture, suffering a 3-1 away defeat to second-placed Mozambique on matchday 5. This result snapped a three-match winning streak in competitive fixtures for the Cranes. It also marked their third defeat in the competition. Paul Put's side have won three of their last four home fixtures (L1), all of which ending with a clean sheet for one of the teams.
Guinea drew their last 2026 World Cup Qualifiers fixture, settling for a shock goalless draw against Group G's bottom-placed Somalia. This result saw Michel Dussuyer's side fall five points behind the top-two positions in the group, leaving their qualification hopes hanging by a thread.
Also, Guinea have been inconsistent on the road. They have won and lost two of their last four competitive away fixtures. Their most recent away trip ended in a 2-1 victory over Guinea-Bissau in African Nations Championship qualifiers.
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The Best Betting Odds for Uganda v Guinea Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3.6 | 3 | 2.25 |
|
|
3.4 | 2.88 | 2.3 |
|
|
3.6 | 2.1 | 2.7 |
|
|
3.44 | 3.02 | 2.33 |
|
|
3.44 | 3.02 | 2.33 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uganda and Guinea?
Our prediction for the Uganda vs Guinea match is: one of the teams to keep a clean sheet.
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 25/03/2025 between Uganda and Guinea in World Cup :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 38.97% for a win of Uganda against Guinea with odds of 3.6 at Bet365.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uganda vs Guinea is 8.22% with odds of 3.02 at 1xbet.
- Our prediction model gives a 52.81% chance ⭐ for a win of Guinea vs Uganda with odds of 2.7 at Ladbrokes.
Uganda - Guinea Prediction and Best Odds:
| Uganda Guinea Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Guinea wins | 52.81% | 2.7 at Ladbrokes |
| Under 2.5 | 51.92% | 1.82 at Tonybet |
| Both Team To Score | 43.75% | 2.37 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Guinea | 33.36% | 5.5 at Betfair |
Uganda vs Guinea Form
Uganda and Guinea's standings in the World Cup
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
3
|
7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
|
5
|
6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -2 |
Uganda and Guinea Last Matches
4/6 (67%)
0/6 (0%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
15 Nov 2024 - AFCON
11 Oct 2024 - AFCON
9 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
20 Mar 2025 - World Cup
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
4/6 (67%)
1/6 (17%)
1/6 (17%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Dec 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
3/6 (50%)
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
21 Mar 2025 - World Cup
20 Dec 2024 - International Friendlies
16 Nov 2024 - AFCON
12 Oct 2024 - AFCON
10 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
3/6 (50%)
0/6 (0%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
19 Nov 2024 - AFCON
15 Oct 2024 - AFCON
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
6 Jun 2024 - World Cup
2 Feb 2024 - AFCON
28 Jan 2024 - AFCON
Uganda vs Guinea Stats: Head to Head (H2H)
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
Uganda vs Guinea last Lineups
Formation : 4 - 1 - 4 - 1
Formation : 4 - 4 - 2
Uganda - Guinea Key Points
- One of the teams has kept a clean sheet in four of Uganda’s last five matches.
- One of the teams has kept a clean sheet in five of Uganda’s last six home matches.
- One of the teams has failed to score in four of Guinea’s last six competitive fixtures.
- One of the teams has kept a clean sheet in three of Guinea’s last four competitive away fixtures.
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Our Uganda vs Guinea Prediction
Uganda will hope to count on home support to ace this tie and boost their 2026 World Cup qualification hopes. However, we expect a tough match between the two sides with one of the teams keeping a clean sheet.
Five of Uganda's last six home matches have ended with one of the teams keeping a clean sheet. Also, three of Guinea's last five away competitive fixtures have seen one of the teams failing to score. Given this trend, our Uganda vs Guinea prediction is one of the teams to keep a clean sheet.
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Uganda Guinea
| Uganda vs Guinea | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda wins | 3.1 | 3.6 | +16.1% |
| Draw | 2.88 | 3 | +4.2% |
| Guinea wins | 2.45 | 2.25 | -8.2% |
A few minutes before kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Guinea is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 8.2% since opening
- The probability of this result was 40.8% and is now 44.4% (3.6%)
Use £/€50 free bets for the Uganda vs. Guinea game!
Are you planning to bet on the upcoming match between Uganda and Guinea? Why not take advantage of the free bets from Bet365? Use our promo code STYVIP1 and open your account. Bet365 offers a welcome package of €/£50 free bet credits if you bet €/£10 as a new player.
Try your luck on this year's World Cup! You need to make your qualifying bet of €/£10 within 30 days of opening an account and this can be on any sport with at least one selection priced at 1.2 (1/5) or bigger.
All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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