Africa - AFCON
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Uganda vs Congo Republic Prediction & Betting Tips - AFCON
by Devesh Jaganath in AFCON Predictions
The second round of matches in Group K of the Africa Cup of Nations qualifiers will see Uganda taking on Congo at the Mandela National Stadium in Kampala on Monday. The Cranes are in second place in the group, while the Red Devils lead the standings. Check out our match prediction below.
Uganda looked as though they were going to pull off an against-the-odds victory over South Africa in their opening match of qualifying but conceded a late goal which saw the match end in a 2-2 draw.
With that result, the Cranes are now aiming to avoid a third consecutive match without a victory. Over their last five games, they have a record of one win, two draws and two losses.
Over the years, Uganda have reached the AFCON main draw on seven occasions but not since the 2018-19 competition when they were knocked out in the last 16 by Senegal.
Meanwhile, Congo made a winning start to their AFCON qualifiers, beating South Sudan 1-0 at home with Hatayspor’s Chandrel Massanga scoring the only goal of the match early in the first half.
That victory brought an end to a five-match winless run for the Red Devils, which included three defeats and two draws dating back to March last year.
Congo have only won one of their last 10 away matches in all competitions and have failed to beat their upcoming opponent in their last three attempts, drawing once and losing twice.
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The Best Betting Odds for Uganda v Congo Republic Match
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Bonus up to |
|---|---|---|---|---|
|
1.83 | 2.9 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.1 | 3.84 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.1 | 3.84 |
|
|
1.83 | 3.05 | 5 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.18 | 3.88 |
|
|
2.03 | 3.18 | 3.88 |
|
|
1.84 | 3.05 | 4.8 |
|
|
1.93 | 3.1 | 3.84 |
|
|
1.76 | 3.5 | 4.5 |
|
|
1.91 | 3.05 | 5.1 |
|
|
1.91 | 2.9 | 4.33 |
|
|
1.8 | 2.8 | 4.6 |
|
|
1.87 | 3.1 | 4.75 |
|
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What is the prediction for the football match between Uganda and Congo Republic?
Our prediction for the Uganda vs Congo Republic match is: Both teams to score!
Probabilities according to our algorithm* of possible 1X2 football predictions and best odds for the match on 09/09/2024 between Uganda and Congo Republic in AFCON :
- The Sportytrader ⭐ algorithm estimates a probability of 43.31% for a win of Uganda against Congo Republic with odds of 2.03 at Betwinner.
- The probability according to Sportytrader ⭐ for a draw between Uganda vs Congo Republic is 21.12% with odds of 3.5 at Tonybet.
- Our prediction model gives a 35.57% chance ⭐ for a win of Congo Republic vs Uganda with odds of 5.1 at Vbet.
Uganda - Congo Republic Prediction and Best Odds:
| Uganda Congo Republic Prediction | Probability | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Uganda wins | 43.31% | 2.03 at Betwinner |
| Under 2.5 | 50.1% | 1.73 at Vbet |
| Both Team To Score | 47.62% | 2.4 at Ladbrokes |
| Half-time: Draw / Full-time: Uganda | 17.56% | 4.5 at Betfair |
Uganda vs Congo Republic Form
Uganda and Congo Republic's standings in the AFCON
| Teams | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
2
|
13 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 |
|
3
|
4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -8 |
Uganda and Congo Republic Last Matches
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
19 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
2/6 (33%)
0/6 (0%)
4/6 (67%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
10 Jun 2024 - World Cup
7 Jun 2024 - World Cup
19 Jan 2024 - International Friendlies
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
24 Mar 2023 - AFCON
22 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
2/6 (33%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
6 Sep 2024 - AFCON
26 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
22 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
21 Nov 2023 - World Cup
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
7 Sep 2023 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
10 Sep 2023 - AFCON
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
2/6 (33%)
1/6 (17%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
5 Sep 2024 - AFCON
11 Jun 2024 - World Cup
18 Jun 2023 - AFCON
23 Mar 2023 - AFCON
20 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
8 Jun 2022 - AFCON
1/6 (17%)
2/6 (33%)
3/6 (50%)
Average stats (Last 6 matchs)
25 Mar 2024 - International Friendlies
17 Nov 2023 - World Cup
10 Sep 2023 - AFCON
27 Mar 2023 - AFCON
16 Jan 2023 - African Nations Championship
4 Jun 2022 - AFCON
Uganda - Congo Republic Key Points
- Four of Uganda’s last five matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Uganda have only kept one clean sheet in their last seven home games.
- Four of Congo’s last six away matches have ended with both teams scoring.
- Congo have only kept one clean sheet in their last 10 away matches.
- The last match between these sides ended in a 1-1 draw.
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Our Uganda vs Congo Republic Prediction
While Uganda put on an impressive display against South Africa last time out, they were fairly poor defensively and could have conceded a fair few more goals than the two that they did let in.
Congo, meanwhile, shut out South Sudan, but their record on the road is far from impressive, with just one clean sheet maintained in their last 10 outings. This one could go either way, but we feel that both sides will find the back of the net at least once. Our Uganda vs Congo prediction: Both teams to score!
Last Minute: Pre-match odds analysis Uganda Congo Republic
| Uganda vs Congo Republic | Opening odds | Pre-match odds | Odds Movements |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda wins | 2.25 | 1.83 | -18.7% |
| Draw | 2.2 | 2.9 | +31.8% |
| Congo Republic wins | 4.6 | 4.33 | -5.9% |
After kick-off, the latest odds movements show that:
- Uganda is most likely to win
- The odds for this bet have decreased by 18.7% since opening
- The probability of this result was 44.4% and is now 54.6% (10.2%)
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All tips are fully researched and given in good faith, but profits cannot be guaranteed.
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